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Ilkka Rauvola Profile picture
@jukka235
Aug 19, 2021 • 6 tweets • 3 min read • Read on X
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Suomen epidemia 19.8.2021: tartunnat vähenevät entistä nopeammin. THL:n tänään ilmoittama korkea määrä tartuntoja (866) johtuu siitä, että THL otti raportoinnin viivettä kiinni ainakin 160 tartunnan verran.
1/x
Näyttää siltä, että isohko osa sairaanhoitopiirien ilmoittamista tartunnoista ei ole päätymässä THL:n lukuihin. Päättelen näiden olevan ulkomaalaisia (marjanpoimijat?). Kuvassa keltainen alue.
2/x
Tartuntojen määrä laskee. Tänään THL ilmoitti 866 tartuntaa, ei poistanut yhtään, ja otti tunnettua raportoinnin viivettä kiinni 147 tartunnan verran (ei siis 160). Yhteensä 866+0-147=719 (punainen viiva).
3/x
Alle 10-vuotiaiden tartunnat kasvavat vahvasti edelleen. 90 prosenttia tartuntojen kasvusta tulee alle 10-vuotiaiden saamista tartunnoista, ja loput yli 70-vuotiaista. 10-69 -vuotiaiden tartunnat vähenevät.
4/x
Täysin rokottamattomien 0-9 -vuotiaiden tartunnat kasvavat eksponentiaalisesti (suora viiva log asteikolla). Niiden määrä on 7-kertaistunut 15.7. jälkeen. Kuukaudessa tartuntojen määrä 5.4-kertaistuu (2 kuukaudessa 5.4x5.4= 29-kertaistuu jne.), kasvu 5.8 prosenttia päivässä.
5/x
Kouluissa havaittujen altistumistapahtumien määrä, siten kuin ne on raportoitu kuntien tai median toimesta, on tähän mennessä (15.8.2021) ollut 23-kertainen vuoden 2020 samaan ajankohtaan verrattuna (15.8.2020). Tarkat paikat kartalla: altistumiset.fi
6/x
#altistumiset

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More from @jukka235

Ilkka Rauvola Profile picture
Nov 30
Congenital malformations, deformations and chromosomal abnormalities. For 1-6 year olds,
- the condition showing largest increase since 2022 is Down's syndrome (Q90)
- the condition showing fastest growth since 2022 is Congenital malformations of great arteries (Q25)
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1-6 year olds / chromosomal abnormalities (Q90-Q99).
- Down's syndrome (Q90): average patient growth (2022-2025e) 14% per year = 10x in 18 years)
- fastest growing condition: other sex chromosome abnormalities, male phenotype (Q98), up 150% in 2025e
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<1 year olds / chromosomal abnormalities (Q90-Q99):
- Down's syndrome (Q90) is the most frequent diagnosis
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Read 9 tweets
Ilkka Rauvola Profile picture
Nov 11
Intellectual disabilities (F70-F79): <1 year olds are leading in terms of y/y growth. Ten percent of <1 year olds will have an intellectual disability diagnosis in 14 year's time (2039), if current growth rates continue.
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The rise in intellectual disability among <1 year olds also shows in number of diagnoses: up roughly 11 times in 4 years. Also note the rise among 1-6 year olds.
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7-14 and 15-24 year olds are showing the highest levels of intellectual disability. If current growth rates continue, 5 percent of 7-14 and 15-24 year olds will have an intellectual disability diagnosis by 2048 (24 years from now).
3/x Image
Read 6 tweets
Ilkka Rauvola Profile picture
Nov 3
Last time I checked, unvaccinated 30-49 year olds were dying at a rate 39 times higher than those who had received two vaccine doses. Finland.

(link below) Image
Link to thread:
Grok confirms.
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Read 6 tweets
Ilkka Rauvola Profile picture
Oct 27
In 30 years from now, 5 percent of 1–6 year olds and 8 percent of 25–49 year olds will be walking with white sticks, if current growth trends continue. Image
Here is the graph for all age groups, all of which are showing quite uniform y/y growth. Patients / public outpatient healthcare.
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For total population, visual disturbances and blindness have doubled since the onset of the pandemic. There has been no letup in recent years. Average growth rate is power(1.97, 1/5) = 14.5 percent per year (= 10x every ln(10)/ln(1.145)= 17 years).
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Read 9 tweets
Ilkka Rauvola Profile picture
Sep 18
Malignant neoplasms (C00-C97): number of diagnoses is up year-on-year in all age groups below 50.
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Meant to say either diagnoses or patients. For 25-49 year olds, diagnoses are down 12% y/y in 2025e, but patients are up 12% y/y in 2025e.
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For 15-24 year olds, number of patients is up 1.2% y/y in 2025e while number of diagnoses is down.
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Read 33 tweets
Ilkka Rauvola Profile picture
Sep 14
Finland's epidemic 14 Sep 2025: year-to-date number of patients in 2025 is already higher than at any time during the pandemic. There are 5 more months to go. 1/x Image
Suomen epidemia 14.9.2025: kaikkien sairauksien potilasmäärä vuoden 2025 alusta ylittää jo nyt pandemian edellisten vuosien potilasmäärät, ja vuotta on vielä 5 kuukautta jäljellä.
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Almost 80 percent of pregnancies and childbirths now involve complications and diseases.
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Read 7 tweets

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