Gerald Knaus Profile picture
Aug 22, 2021 11 tweets 13 min read Read on X
Factfulness

10 Klischees & IRRTÜMER zu Flucht & Migration. Aus: grenzen.eu

Klischee 1:

“Migration ist wie Wasser in kommunizierenden Röhren: Irreguläre Migration lässt sich nicht stoppen, nur umleiten.”

Dazu: wienerstadtgespraech.at/video/knaus/
Klischee 2:

“Die demografische Entwicklung Afrikas und die Effekte des Kli- mawandels erhöhen den Migrationsdruck: Dies führt zwangsläufig zu mehr irregulärer Migration aus Afrika nach Europa.”

Dazu:

@UNHCR_de @IOMGermany @dominik_bartsch @bendel_petra
Klischee 3:

“Wirtschaftliche Entwicklung führt zu mehr irregulärer Migration: Wenn Länder wohlhabender werden, können sich mehr Menschen Migration leisten.”

🇪🇺-Afrika & Gambia Plan:

Und: chronicle.gm/plan-to-accept…

@YahyaSonko14 @Mokendeh1
Klischee 4:

“Seenotretter verursachen einen Pull-Effekt: Um das Sterben im Mittelmeer zu beenden, muss man die Seenotretter abziehen.”

@buergerrat_de:
Klischee 5:

“Mehr Seenotretter bedeuten weniger Tote im Mittelmeer: Um zu verhindern, dass Tausende sterben, brauchen wir vor allem mehr Seenotretter vor Ort.”

Vortrag:

@gaborsteingart: fb.watch/7xJ-gP5YEW/
Klischee 6:

“Um Migration zu bewältigen, muss Europa gemeinsam vorge- hen: Nationale Alleingänge und kleine Koalitionen williger Mitgliedsstaaten schwächen die Europäische Union.”

März 2020: zdf.de/nachrichten/po…
Klischee 7:

“Das Dublin-System der Europäischen Union ist ungerecht: Es geht zulasten der Mittelmeerländer. Fair wäre es, eine gerechte Verteilung von Flüchtlingen auf die gesamte EU vorzunehmen.”
Klischee 8:

“Mehr Grenzschützer können Migration reduzieren: Um irre- guläre Migration an den EU-Außengrenzen zurückzufahren, brauchen wir dringend einen Ausbau von Frontex (Europäi- sche Agentur für Grenz- und Küstenwache).”

@CamdenConf:
Klischee 9:

“Die deutsche Grenzöffnung war vermeidbar: Angela Merkel hätte die deutsche Grenze im September 2015 auch wieder schließen können, denn dafür gab es einsatzbereite Pläne.”

@ZDF @marcbrost: zdf.de/dokumentation/…
Klischee 10:

“Den Europäern fehlt es an Empathie: Europa schottet sich ab, und als Folge daraus werden die meisten Flüchtlinge von ar- men Ländern aufgenommen.”

@NZZ @ericgujer @KGentinetta:
nzz.ch/international/…

esiweb.org/pdf/ESI_Die%20…
Warum diese 10 Klischees falsch sind:

Wie die EU zu humanen Grenzen kommen & die Flüchtlingskonvention retten könnte:

Was 🇩🇪🇦🇹🇨🇭 tun könnten:

Mehr in grenzen.eu

Hier: grenzen.eu/medien/

Und hier: esiweb.org/proposals/70-y…

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More from @rumeliobserver

Mar 1
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In order to deliver one unacceptable punch line.

🧵
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Read 4 tweets
Feb 4
Was Grenzkontrollen nicht bewirken: nur Fakten (ohne Ideologie) 👇

In Frankreich haben sich Asylantragszahlen nach Einführung von Kontrollen 2016-2019 verdoppelt.
x.com/rumeliobserver…

In Österreich lagen Asylantragszahlen 2022 (109.000!) über denen von 2015!

Es ist leicht zu verstehen warum auch 🇩🇪 Grenzkontrollen wenig bewirken werden

Konkretes Beispiel vom letzten Wochenende: Bundespolizei Rosenheim berichtet👇

Februar Wochenende: durch Kontrollen werden ~ 40 Migranten “festgestellt”.

Kontrolle “wirkt”. Die Polizei macht ihre Arbeit.

Was passierte dann?Image
🇩🇪 Bundespolizei sagt:

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(15 am Tag wären ~ 105 die Woche ~ 5500 im Jahr).

10 blieben in Deutschland.

Was passierte mit den anderen 30?
An diesem ersten Wochenende im Februar 2025 kündigte 🇩🇪 österreichischen Behörden 33 “Einreiseverweigerungen” an.

In sechs (!) Fällen wurden die Personen von 🇦🇹 übernommen.

In 27 Fällen nicht. Es gab keinen rechtlichen Grund.

19 Migranten, die in Tirol von deutscher Seite angekündigt wurden, wurden in 🇦🇹 nicht aufgegriffen.

Niemand von ihnen stellten in 🇦🇹 einen Asylantrag. Man kann davon ausgehen, dass sie nicht, oder nicht mehr, in 🇦🇹 sind.

Sondern wohl: in 🇩🇪. An oberflächlichen Kontrollen vorbei. Weil man das so oft probieren kann bis es klappt.

Was passierte mit 6 “Übernommenen”?

Sie wurden in 🇦🇹 befragt. Festgehalten wurde niemand. Dafür gab es keinen Grund.

Dann wurde ihnen - wie üblich - mitgeteilt, sie sollten 🇦🇹 verlassen.

Wohin? 🤷

(Insgesamt gab es im ganzen Januar 2025 ~ 100 Rückübernahmen aus Deutschland.)
Read 5 tweets
Feb 19, 2024
🇽🇰🇷🇸🇧🇦

New @ESI_eu - online later tonight

„Invented pogroms - Statistics, lies and confusion in Kosovo“

On a matter of great importance: how many Kosovo Serbs live in Kosovo?

How many left in recent years?

And how to explain these trends?

@adicerimagic @kristofbender @tschinderle @joerglau @thkirchner @Andric1961 @aliciakearns @RoryStewartUKImage
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Two numbers should guide this debate.

Kosovo Serbs in Kosovo:

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In 2024: 100,000

This is a decline of 22 %. Which is dramatic.

But … Image
… the decline of pupils in Kosovo Serbs schools is even higher:

In 2004: 14,368
In 2023: 10,700

But note: the SAME is happening right across Serbia, with the exceptions Belgrade & Novi Sad.

In 22 of 25 Serbian districts the decline in number of pupils is in fact higher than in Kosovo!Image
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Read 6 tweets
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🦏

Alas, violence is an option.

As poet Seamus Heaney, who grew up near Derry and saw Northern Ireland descend into hell in 1969, once wrote: “history says, don’t hope.”

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🧵

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… to the rhetoric of 1990s.

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The EU dialogue, launched 2010, successful for a few years, has collapsed.

Intense mediation for a well-intentioned “Basic Agreement” between 🇽🇰🇷🇸 accelerated this.

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Read 7 tweets
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So what might make it happen? 🧵

Overview of voices
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