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David Rothschild 🌻 Profile picture
@DavMicRot
Aug 23, 2021 • 9 tweets • 4 min read • Read on X
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Paper w/ @KonitzerTobias @_JenAllen @stephnie Howland @markusmobius @duncanjwatts "Comparing Estimates of News Consumption from Survey and Passively Collected Behavioral Data" academic.oup.com/poq/advance-ar… confirms & extends earlier results on over-reporting news consumption in surveys
Way more people report watching FNC & MSNBC in past week than ever watch in a month, roughly as many report FNC most used station as ever watch in a month, but MSNBC more realistic reporting of most used 2/9
Plausible that social desirability bias of over-reporting news consumption much more important for Republicans reporting FNC, than other non-politically aligned news consumption patterns 3/9
Massive differences exist between "FNC Viewers" & "non-FNC Viewers" in sentiment & knowledge tricky: half of self-reported "FNC Viewers" don't actually watch Fox News, so either real difference is much bigger or actual treatment comes from larger Republican ecosystem 4/9
Results extend to online & social media news consumption, where survey self-reports far outstrip reasonable estimates from passive data. Note flexibility of passive data that can easily answer various types of outcomes a researcher may reasonability wish to explore 5/9
Passive data also captures trends missed by survey data 6/9
Sometimes survey data may be technically correct but misinterpreted by researchers: e.g. Pew defines news consumption as “information about events & issues that involve more than just your friends or family” which technically includes lots most of us would not consider "news" 7/9
Further, in eagerness to promote impact of new news sources, reporting on survey data about news consumption on social media tends to cherry-pick & exaggerate survey results, in way that survey did not technically report: e.g. of NYT misreporting 8/9
Paper goes on at length to discuss how future needs to be mixture of passive data for behavior and survey data for sentiment: together they hold the key to understanding the impact of news on the general population academic.oup.com/poq/advance-ar… 9/9

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More from @DavMicRot

David Rothschild 🌻 Profile picture
May 5, 2023
Getting closer every hour ...
Aging like a fine wine ...
This tweet should be hung around the neck of every media & political elite whose job it was to monitor the Supreme Court of US for shame!
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David Rothschild 🌻 Profile picture
Apr 3, 2023
No matter what Republicans or their friends @peterbakernyt @maggieNYT or any of his other complicit water-carriers say: Getting indicted for multiple felonies, likely in multi jurisdictions, for different sets of brazen public crimes against US, is bad for entire Trump Family
Republican Elite falling over themselves to show their devotion after his indictment may help Trump's Republican nomination (that he already had in the bag), unless the indictments become too cumbersome for him to continue
But Trump faces real possibility of accountability for the first time in his horrific 50+ years of brazenly defrauding everyone: he stole classified documents, he cooked his books to cheat in election (but also to cheat on his taxes), he orchestrated an insurrection against US
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David Rothschild 🌻 Profile picture
Mar 27, 2023
Guns are the leading cause of death for children in US
If someone wants to talk to US about protecting children, but they don't support gun safety regulations, they are not interested in protecting children
Yearly death toll from drag shows remains at 0
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David Rothschild 🌻 Profile picture
Mar 19, 2023
If someone publicly commits a bunch of crimes, but they are not charged because they threaten violence if they are held accountable, they have effectively ended rule-of-law
If this person is a credible threat to incite violence against US (they have incited violence against US before), it is even more imperative they are held accountable: otherwise our government is incentivizing people to incite violence against US to avoid accountability
If a political party's position is that our government should not hold their leaders accountable for breaking the law, and they will lead violence against US if the government tries (1) they are not the party of law-and-order (2) they are not loyal to rule-of-law or the republic
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David Rothschild 🌻 Profile picture
Mar 14, 2023
Both Republican front-runners want US to end aid to Ukraine and force them to surrender to Russia. Their theory is that Ukraine fully capitulating to Putin would bring "peace" & "save Ukrainians dying in war", but reality is their plan would assure endless war & untold death.
If Ukraine surrenders (1) Putin can declare victory, retrench support, rebuild military, and move onto next war of expansion with knowledge that US will allow it to succeed (2) Putin would cause massive suffering for occupied Ukrainians, while constraining free Ukraine's growth.
Only path to peace is for Ukraine, backed by its allies: prove to Putin the futility of his dream of regaining a Russian Empire. Force Putin to take generous offer that Ukraine & west have given this monster: bring his military back to Russian now and he keeps his wealth & power.
Read 5 tweets
David Rothschild 🌻 Profile picture
Mar 12, 2023
Silicon Valley, despite all of the amazing wealth & technology it has created for US, has a serious PR problem because their most of vocal leaders are so dismissive of what they owe society for the education, infrastructure, and regulations that made whatever they did possible.
(1) government should do everything reasonable to ensure trust in the banking system for depositors (2) while ensuring that people who took risks and lost, actually lose, to avoid creating a moral hazard that encourages inefficiently high risk …
(3) those people who profited off of the bank run, especially if they have public statements contradicting private actions, should be scrutinized (4) every business, media, political elite calling for government action after spending career scorning government action …
Read 5 tweets

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