Brazil's Military Police are a living legacy of the dictatorship that was never purged of its torturers and death squad actors after 1985. Controlled by the state governors, officers aren't required to respond to the regular rule of law, having their own parallel courts. Thread
Active duty military police are barred from participating in protests or making public statements about politics. This week Military Police in São Paulo, Rio, Santa Catarina, Espírito Santo, Ceará and Paraíba, have publicly supported Sept. 7 anti-Supreme Court protest.
Last week, São Paulo governor Doria fired Military Police Colonel Aleksander Lacerda, who oversaw 7 battalions and 5000 police officers, after he made a series of threats against the Supreme Court online and called on active duty officers to go to the Sept. 7 protest in Brasilia.
Yesterday, during a meeting between 25 state governors in Brasilia, there was a long conversation about the issue of active duty police officers supporting an "institutional rupture", because the apparently purpose of the September 7 protest is to storm the Supreme Court building
It looks like, despite his purge of non-supportive generals, President Bolsonaro has been unable to get the armed forces on board with his plan of an Institutional Act 5 style autocoup on September 7. Instead, he is working with militias (who are made up of off duty and ex-cops).
The problem is, in practical terms, there is no real operational hierarchy above the state government level when it comes to military police. This fact went over most anglo journalist's heads in 2013 when they blamed police violence against protesters on President Rousseff.
Steve Bannon has been advising the Bolsonaros since the 2018 election season. I believe they all know that a Jan 6 Capitol incursion style attack on the Brazilian Supreme Court will not succeed but are doing it to spread confusion on the legitimacy of democratic institutions.
Brazil has 26 military police hierarchies. Policing styles vary drastically between states. Ex: Rio de Janeiro police killed 1500 people in 2019. In, larger, neighboring Minas Gerais, they killed 105. It's doubtful they will all come together to overthrow the Supreme Court.
I think there will a failed attempt to storm the building on Sept 7, some military police officers will be involved, and it will be used to strengthen the preemptive narrative Bannon INC. is helping Bolsonaro build about the illegitimacy of the 2022 presidential elections.
In short Bolsonaro family and their comprador bourgeoisie and international financial elite backers in the fossil fuel, hedge fund, agribusiness and mining industries know they can't beat Lula in a free and fair election, so they are trying to destroy the elections.
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Using out of context information and a Delaware-based NGO with 0 financial transparency called Coffee Watch, the New York Times and Guardian are running a coordinated hit job on Brazil's coffee industry. Recently hit by Trump tariffs, the sector employs an estimated 1.5 million.+
Like many countries, including the US, Brazil has forced labor problems. Police regularly raid coffee farms to rescue workers in these conditions. The highest annual number of rescued workers since 2000 was 313 in 2023, according to Coffee Watch's own partner Reporter Brasil.
Studies on Brazilian workers suffering in slave-like conditions estimate that for every rescued worker, an estimated 2-3 go unreported. Let's estimate that 939 (313x3), out of 1.5 million workers in 2023 were forced laborers. That's 0.063% - a far cry from "most", Guardian.
The death knell chimes for the PSDB (Social Democratic Party of Brazil). Once the most powerful party in Brazil and perennial favorite of US Democrats. After a series of dismal elections, it announced it's merging with another right-wing party, Podemos. How did it fall so fast?
1) Like Gorbachev, Brazil's ex-President Fernando Henrique Cardoso had a better reputation abroad than at home. In Brazil, he's despised for his privatizations, like state mining company Vale do Rio Doce, sold to a group of cronies for the equivalent of 1/4 of its annual profits
2) In the 2000s, Cardoso’s PSDB successor, José Serra—seen here faking an injury after being hit by a paper ball—adopted an electoral strategy called "anti-PTism": smearing PT leaders under an anti-corruption banner, with full U.S. media backing.
Valério Arcary, one of Brazil's greatest Marxist historians, unaffiliated with the PT since 1991, warns radicals from repeating the errors of 2013-2016: "Unfortunately, a segment of the radical militant left does not agree that we need to buy time, much less that we need Lula+
"Some declare themselves independent of the government, while others adopt the strategy of left-wing opposition. Independence means criticizing what one believes is wrong while prioritizing the defense of the government against Bolsonarism...
"Those who argue that the government maintains an intact neoliberal economic policy and relies on the bourgeoisie against the workers have chosen to be in opposition...
Glenn Greenwald may by whining about protecting the political rights of fascists now, but in 2017 a billionaire allegedly flew him to Canada so he could promote a US DOJ-backed lawfare operation in Brazil.
His role in Operation Spoofing later turn the public against the prosecutors he awarded the Allard Prize to. However it seems like he sat on a massive trove of evidence of US collaboration w/ Lava Jato until Intercept lost its monopoly on the info+ fair.org/home/greenwald…
Greewald likes to brag about "getting Lula out of jail." As I explained to Eoin Higgins, when he interviewed me for his excellent new book "Owned" the real story is a little more complicated.
Here's "Owned" Glenn Greenwald misleading Americans about Brazil, while revealing his true, millionaire nature by engaging in the long tradition of US elites denying coups in Latin America: 1) Jair Bolsonaro was not declared "guilty" of anything;+
2) This weeks Court procedure was not a trial. It was a formal review of evidence;
3) It’s routine for Supreme Court panels—groups of 5 justices—to review evidence. So much so that when Bolsonaro’s defense petitioned to move the review to the full plenary, his appointee Nunes Marques voted against it, resulting in a 9-1 ruling to keep it in the 1st Panel;
After ex-President Jair Bolsonaro was formally charged with leading an armed criminal organization to plot a military coup by the Supreme Court today, he said, "discussing hypotheses isn't a crime." Not only is he wrong, he's confessed again. I'll explain why here.+
Bolsonaro's argument that merely discussing a coup is not illegal fails because, 1) Intent matters: If discussions involve planning, recruitment, or incitement, they cross into criminal conspiracy;
2) National security laws do not require the coup to succeed—preparatory acts (like organizing meetings, securing weapons, or drafting plans) are already crimes; and