Kasper Planeta Kepp Profile picture
Aug 25, 2021 8 tweets 7 min read Read on X
This Danish article surprisingly argues for boosters ("3rd shot") for *full* population, due to: 1) waning antibodies 2) "looks like vaccinated people in Israel, where they vaccinated long before us, are getting sick again."

A few comments below.
1/6
dr.dk/nyheder/viden/…
Claim 2: "People previously vaccinated are getting sick again." This claim is based on early reports from Israel.
However the actual data as other places: >85% VE for disease, & VE waning non-significant. Vaccines work!
3/6


Boosters for vulnerable is desirable before Winter.
But for ethical & epidemiological reasons, most experts think boosters for healthy non-risk pop is *not* warranted.

The particular expert in the article disagrees, but Ab waning & Israel data do not justify this i.m.o.

4/6
Also, the article is written as if just a matter of time before all need boosters (the interviewed is part of the panel deciding). 🧐
Next time @DRNyheder conveys a scientific minority opinion on a topic with evident complexity & huge special interests, show #balance please.

6/6
Just for perspective: 99% of deaths were 50+.
The marginal extra-effect on deaths/hosp of mass-applying boosters to millions of healthy young/adults who *already* had 2 shots becomes unethical due to misplaced focus vs. other things killing people (incl. covid elsewhere).
Risk is exponential in age (99% deaths 50+) -this fact seems to still confuse some people proposing policy.

Reducing deaths & hosp this Winter by boosting old & vulnerable very important.

But those arguing for mass-boosting young/adults don't seem to understand exp functions.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Kasper Planeta Kepp

Kasper Planeta Kepp Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @KasperKepp

Aug 22
Reg. this "wonder drug" @Telegraph article:
1) The article claims that "experts" suggest the "beginning of the end" of Alzheimer's disease.
There is no indication we are seeing an end to Alzheimer's disease. This is misleading, harmful hype, playing with patient fears and hopes.
Image
2) The article claims that "most common side effects were headaches and the Aria swelling". In this risk "summary" deaths are omitted entirely. And while %efficacy is stated the substantial %adverse effects is omitted-critical benefit-risk context not reaching @telegraph readers.
3) It turns out the "end" claim comes from a single (!) interviewed expert (so not "experts", that is misleading why add the s?). So while obscuring the risk side, Argumentum ad populum is used here in a curious false-premise version of "appeal to many".
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Argumentu…
Read 8 tweets
Nov 24, 2023
Since IndieSAGE now tries to revise history to appear mainstream, a short thread on what they actually were, what they did, who they were associated with, and why it matters for science and our democracy. /1
First of all, IndieSAGE is a zerocovid group: It recommended zerocovid in England as late as Aug 2020 and members supported zerocovid even into 2021. Trying to revise history, claiming "advice was largely in line with SAGE" is thus misinformation. /2


Image
Image
Image
Image
Second, IndieSAGE is closely affiliated with World Health Network led by Yaneer Bar-Yam and Eric Feigl-Ding. The appendix with ~130 WHN co-signatures is a revelation to anyone interested in pandemic Twitter and lists all their partner ZC groups /3
thelancet.com/journals/lance…
Image
Read 14 tweets
Sep 17, 2023
Below a list of misinformation from @DrEricDing from the zero-covid group World Health Network who has been repeatedly debunked by others, documenting the scientific problem of @peterhotez's endorsement. whn.global/meet-our-team/
1. Danish @SSI_dk debunking misinformation on Danish covid numbers. cphpost.dk/?p=131358
Image
2. @WHO debunking misinformation about monkeypox, incl. a "pandemic declaration" by the similarly sounding "World Health Network" (a zerocovid group).

Image
Read 12 tweets
Aug 31, 2023
Just noting that the editor has a company selling N95 masks so for legal reasons and in democratic/public interest it may be fair to label the below advocating for intense post-pandemic use of HCW masks as a commercial / marketing advertisement.
co2radical.com.au/co2-monitoring…


Image
Image
Other views from same editor:
1) vaccines "last resort" that you "don't want to have to use" 2) chronic disability a "catastrophe for our species"; 3) "they killed the last queen by infecting her with covid"; 4) amplifying debunked Mpox fake news.




Image
Image
Image
Image
The editors of the "John Snow Project" were systematically involved in spreading monkeypox misinformation, incl. the fake news from Spain implicating community transmission that was debunked by e.g. @kallmemeg @MarionKoopmans
@benryanwriter @SaskiaPopescu




Image
Image
Image
Image
Read 4 tweets
Jun 30, 2023
@US_FDA is likely to approve #lecanemab next week after advisors "voted" for efficacy. Yet while statistically significant, this effect is very small (2.5%) & below clinically meaningful (MCID) (figure by my dear colleague prof. Poul Høilund-carlsen). /1
https://t.co/DmVr64jHvQcontent.iospress.com/articles/journ…
Three papers on minimal important difference exist; they all set CDR-SB at >1. https://t.co/gbeJU92EUB https://t.co/dUeSzdGrr8 Unfortunately Van Dyck et al. did not cite any of them when they claimed this regarding their 0.45 effect: /2 https://t.co/3uu5wI2ytPpubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/36641605/
pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/31417957/
ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/P…
Also, the effect is very heterogeneous, raising the concern that the groups could not be treated as one in the prespecified endpoint, which would then be statistically inappropriate. A small very heterogeneous effect increases the risk of bias. /3
Read 10 tweets
Jun 16, 2023
Jeg havde egentlig lagt pandemidebatten bag mig, men nødt til at reagere, da det her er Alternativets kampagneleder. Skolelukninger er nok det mest afklarede spørgsmål overhovedet i den pandemiske debat -holdning i strid med lang række studier og udmeldinger fra organisationer.
Konsekvenser:
1) Scale of education loss ‘nearly insurmountable’ @UNICEF unicef.org/press-releases…

2) 15% flere børn ikke i stand til at læse simpel tekst
unicef.org/press-releases…

3) 39 milliarder tabte måltider, mange børn mistet vigtigste ernæringskilde
dlvr.it/RryRW8
4) World Bank: estimeret 17 tusind milliarder💲 tabt livsindtjening
worldbank.org/en/news/press-…

5) PNAS: Social slagside, hjemmeskoling hindrede ikke:
pnas.org/content/118/17…

6) Nature Human Behavior Metaanalyse: Læringstab m. social slagside
nature.com/articles/s4156…
Read 7 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(