Thread by @WheatNOil

This is good thread by WG and I think Sask should display the data this way too (in the red box). Using that data, we can actually do something interesting. We can calculate "excess hospitalizations".

Hospitalizations in excess of those we'd expect if everyone was vaccinated.

https://twitter.com/Woodguy55/status/1430998292184420362

See that red box that WG put together. Risk of current hospitalization in Alberta of those who are double-vaxxed is 1.6 per 100,000.

If we applied that to non-vaxxed population, you'd have ~13 people in hospital instead (checks notes) 206!!

~193 excess people in hospital!

We can do more than though. We can attribute a hospitalization cost to that.

CIHI data gives a Canadian average cost of $3592 per day in ICU and $1135 per day in a general medical ward.

That's money paid for by taxpayers.

So how many people in ICU?

Well, on Aug 24th (when @Woodguy55 pulled the data), Alberta had 55 people in ICU who were unvaxxed.
And ONE poor soul who was in ICU fully vaccinated.

ONE.

Let's do some crude math

If everyone >12 in Alberta who is unvaxxed was actually fully vaccinated, we'd expect
~13.5 ppl in hospital instead of 206
ZERO in ICU instead of 55

We'd expect to pay ~$15,322 per day for their hospitalization

Instead we're paying: ~$398, 945 per day!

People who are eligible to be vaccinated but NOT being vaccinated cost the system roughly $383,623 EXTRA in tax payer money.

In one day.

JUST in hospital costs.

And it's rising.

The public pays a lot of hard cash for this personal choice.

Of course this is a crude calculation. There's more to it.
E.g. the unvaccinated are disproportionately younger. They're less likely to get hospitalized at baseline.

Which means if they were vaccinated, we'd expect LESS than 13.5 hospitalizations.

This may be an underestimate!

Of course, whenever I do this math, I have to add that we don't do public health to save money.

We do it to save lives.

To improve quality of life. To improve health.

That would be worth it even if it COST money.

That it SAVES money is bonus.

There is also, of course, this.

In a universal healthcare system, hospital beds should be open to everyone, even those who make less than ideal decisions.

But there's a cost to others for those decisions.

And the fix here is remarkably easy.

#GetVaxxed

https://twitter.com/nvan97/status/1431026011810910209?s=20

By the way, using today's Alberta data, the estimated excess in hospitalization costs for unvaccinated individuals is $412,249.

So, Alberta taxpayers paid an estimated $412,249 extra in hospital costs due to people choosing not to get vaccinated. For YESTERDAY ALONE.

I'd do the same calculation for Saskatchewan but the government of Saskatchewan is only releasing how many hospitalized are vaccinated, not how many in ICU are vaccinated.