Asfu Profile picture
Aug 28, 2021 9 tweets 4 min read Read on X
@OlympusDAO Liquidity Bonds versus Liquidity Mining:

2 ways to bootstrap token liquidity but with different financial and psychological implications for token holders.

A thread exploring the cost of acquiring + maintaining liquidity through two different methods. Image
1. What is Liquidity Mining?

Token XYZ launches, offering high APRs in XYZ terms.

This encourages yield seekers to create Liquidity Pools or LP tokens on a DEX like Uniswap.🦄

APRs are kept high to compensate liquidity providers against "impermanent loss". 📉 Image
2. What is impermanent loss?

It is loss borne by an LP token holder when price of two tokens diverges from the point an LP token was minted.

Much longer discussion here.

TL;DR: there’s plenty of risk here so be aware liquidity providers. Image
3. . What is the problem with Liquidity Mining?

A. Impermanent loss risk compensation is high

B. LP rugging risk looms.

At some point the high APRs offered have to be lowered, when this happens mercenary capital will sell LP tokens of XYZ and remove their liquidity. Image
4. What are Olympus liquidity bonds?

Olympus liquidity bonds offer LP token holders an incentive to sell LP tokens because the @OlympusDAO protocol is willing to buy such tokens at a discount to market price of $OHM.

The result is Protocol Owned Liquidity (POL). Image
5. Why do people sell LP tokens for bonds?

Bonds are "usually" available for a discount to the price available on a DEX.

Olympus bonds vest over 5 days.

A typical $OHM bond buyer is essentially giving 5 days worth of liquidity in exchange for getting $OHM at a discount. Image
6. How is bond discount determined?

Bond discount is determined by the market and fluctuates because of Debt Ratio.
——

Bond Price = 1 + BCV * Debt Ratio where

- BCV = Policy recommended input, stands for Bond Control Variable
- Debt Ratio = Bonds Outstanding / OHM Supply Image
7. What is the benefit of Protocol Owned Liquidity?

A. Psychological assurance that liquidity is deep and benevolent because it is protocol owned, so it won’t rug.

B. Fees. To date Olympus has earned over $2 mm in fees from its LP positions while spending 264k OHM on it. Image
8. What is the delta between Pool 2 cost of acquiring + sustaining liquidity VS Olympus liquidity bonds?

Hard to compute.

However, considering POL offers revenues to protocol + psychological comfort to token holders, one can argue that:

Olympus Liq bonds > Pool 2

• • •

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More from @asfoooooom

Mar 15, 2022
What is @BeanstalkFarms creating and why does it matter?
- How to ape
- Protocol design
- Founder due diligence
1. Look I get it. You’re here to ape. But I want to be clear.

This. Is. A. Fucking. Experiment.

But there is an interesting deal in it offering a 70x return. It’s called buying “pods” when there is “soil”

Here’s what it means in plain English….
2. When soil is available (rarely these days) you can buy pods. Interest rate on those pods is called “weather”. Currently 7,000%.

That’s where the 70x comes from.

But here’s the thing: you only realize this 70x when supply grows to ~1.387 bn $BEAN (currently at 43 million)
Read 22 tweets
Mar 13, 2022
There’s a computer program that is trying to keep the value of a bean as close to $1 as possible.

These beans are not real beans but more like records in a database that everyone can see, all the time.

When the value of this bean is above $1, this program prints more beans and
Distributes these beans to people who give money to this computer program.

When people give money to the program they receive more bean, but this only happens when price of 1 bean is above $1.

When price of bean is less than $1, this program tries to attract buyers by…
Offering them a good deal. This good deal means new buyers can get many more beans over time than they purchased.

This program is an experiment and has been running for 7 months. It’s working well so far.

But big questions remain related to the deals offered to people…
Read 5 tweets
Feb 20, 2022
What is @OlympusDAO creating and why does it matter?
- Money vs Currency
- Reserve Currency Traits
- 11 month Performance
- Olympus bonds
- Staking and APY
- Bank-run scenario
- Bonds deep dive
- Non-bond revenue
- Community strength
- Why $OHM matters
1. OlympusDAO is creating a decentralized reserve currency that is backed by a community governed treasury.

Money and currency are used interchangeably but are different as illustrated in this graphic made by @MessariCrypto.

Gold, $ETH, $BTC are money, the USD is a currency.
2. Defi today relies on dollar pegged coins to settle transactions and provide liquidity.

Challenge with this dependence is shown in the Impossibility Trinity which says all 3 can't co-exist but 2 can:
1) Fixed Exchange Rate
2) Free Capital Flow
3) Sovereign Monetary Policy
Read 34 tweets
Jan 19, 2022
Some analysis about $OHM for you if you bought the top:

On November 23 2021:
Mcap: $4.3 bn
$OHM price: $906
Index: 37
Risk Free Value / $OHM: $37 + some $ETH, $CVX et al

> You spent $906 to get a minimum $37 claim on Olympus Treasury.

56 days later here’s where you are at.
January 18 2022:
Mcap: $946 mm
$OHM price: $110
Index: 67
Risk Free Value / $OHM: $25

> You now have 1.81 $OHM (Index today / Index on purchase date) and a $45 claim (1.81*$25) on Olympus treasury

Your claim grew by 22.3% during a migration and ugly market conditions.
You may say that this rising $ value claim on Olympus treasury is meaningless because there is no redemption option.

I find measuring progress through rising claim on treasury as a better KPI than market cap because mcap is always going to be volatile for such an asset.
Read 18 tweets
Dec 23, 2021
@KlimaDAO is primed for a mega bull run in 2022. In this thread I’m going to review $KLIMA fundamentals and speculate on what to expect next quarter.

🧵 🪡 it’s threadoooor time Klimates.
1. The undistributed claim on $KLIMA treasury stands at 82.23%.

Since Risk Free Value is 6.1 million BCT, this implies that minimum 5 million BCT worth of value remains undistributed.

What’s that worth? Depends on price of BCT.
2. At current prices that’s an undistributed risk free claim of about $30 million.

Taking the all time low of $2.5/BCT, we get a risk free undistributed claim $12.5 million.

This is the value a staker gets for just staying staked assuming zero revenues come in from today.
Read 12 tweets
Dec 22, 2021
Web3 can’t be explained, it has to be experienced.

People in developing countries like Pakistan couldn’t invest in Web2 companies even if they wanted to, but can do so in Web3 initiatives.

Why is this a big deal?
Web3 aligns incentives of a global talent pool that was previously not possible.

$OHM and $KLIMA holders in different countries are actively collaborating to make these protocols succeed. Investors and customers of Tesla and Twitter aren’t doing that.
Web3 gives people in developing countries access to a reliable legal system whereas Web2 powers were mainly accessible to folks living in the developed world.

With Ethereum, my niece and nephew in Pakistan can launch an NFT project and “know” their rights will be protected.
Read 5 tweets

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