This is the key problem with offsets. Residual emissions mean planting a forest the size of Australia to keep below 1.5c, and we don't have a spare Australia sitting around. If we use offsets for emissions we could instead cut, we'll need even _more_ land.
Now don't get me wrong - I'm totally up for planting an Australia (or India) worth of biodiverse forest, and having credits money pay for it. The problem is where.

That's why we need an offsets regulator, as proposed here: green-alliance.org.uk/The_flight_pat…
Incidentally, we have a good idea where to prioritise for protecting nature and carbon - the bits in red below. nature.com/articles/s4155…
Unfortunately, those places we should protect are pretty well correlated with places we're deforesting (deforestation since 2000 in pink): globalforestwatch.org/map/?mainMap=e…
Why are we cutting down all these trees in places we know (and have often committed to, legally) protect? Trade in food is the major reason, with european countries having relatively high shares of overseas deforestation (often because we've deforested our countries already...)
Sorry, forgot to add the source: nature.com/articles/s4155…
All of this is to say that there's an inevitable conflict between food and fossil fuel offsets. Even if we get offset rules right (no fraud, good land rights, right treesin the right place, etc) the more land used to mop up fossil emissions we don't need to emit the less for food

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More from @dustin_benton

1 Sep
A 'supply ourselves' consumption frame is the wrong one for a declining oil/gas resource. Instead, we should be asking what we pay to extend UK oil/gas production, and whether it's worth it. A short thread:
OGCS's latest publication makes it look like new oil/gas extraction magically fits into carbon budgets (left image). This is misleading. Around half of gas use requires CCS by 2035 (right image), even though total use declines by close to half over this period.
Who pays for this CCS? The polluter should pay - but UK oil/gas extraction is getting tax rebates, never mind paying for the cost of pollution. The taxpayer is also on the hook for £24bn of decommissioning cost already. news.sky.com/story/revealed…
Read 4 tweets
15 Jul
The National Food Strategy is out! It's big, it's bold. Want to fix the nation's health, restore nature, and stop climate change? Look no further: nationalfoodstrategy.org
You'll be hearing the headlines but I want to tell some of the story about nature and climate - alongside health, this is the biggest impact of the food system. Why? Land: we use 70% of the land area of the UK, and about the same area overseas to feed ourselves.
Here's how we turn the land use use for food into the calories we eat - plants make up 2/3 of our calories but use just 15% of the land needed to feed us.
Read 8 tweets

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