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Francis - Analyst Profile picture
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1 Sep, 4 tweets, 2 min read
"A.I Will Eat All Of Software"
- CEO/Founder of Databricks, Ali Ghodsi.

Databricks is a core data science/AI platform that I believe will be one of the biggest companies in the world by 2030.

This was a good interview. I can't wait for an IPO (1/3)
2/ Key Highlights:

+ They believe that more companies will go towards multi-clouds
+ CEO believes that platforms like $SNOW's data warehouse will envelop into Data Lakehouse (interesting)
+ Some Databricks Metrics:
- $600M+ ARR
- 75% YoY Growth Rate
- Growing slower than $SNOW
3/3: When I wrote about Snowflake last month. I wrote briefly about Databricks in that article.

If Databricks did an IPO or continue to make significant enhancements on their storage/compute capabilities, this could lead to multiple compression for $SNOW

seekingalpha.com/article/444142…
cc: @hhhypergrowth @StackInvesting
+Do you guys agree that companies don't want to pick btw one Cloud Provider? and the second piece around Data Lakehouse replacing warehouse?

Sounds logical. I could see it happening, but not anytime soon. Happy to hear if you have any thoughts

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More from @InvestiAnalyst

Francis - Analyst Profile picture
10 Sep
Portfolio Holdings as of Sept 10: (As Earnings wraps up)

$UPST - 19
$CRWD- 16
$AFRM- 10
$UPWK - 9
$PLTR - 9
$NET- 7.5
$APPS - 4
$CFLT - 3.5
$WELL.TO - 3
$PATH - 2
$AGC (Grab) - 1

+ Organic growth of the portfolio especially $AFRM & $UPST
+ Invested: 85%
+ Cash: 15%

Thread 1/
2/
 Portfolio 2: (Balanced/Slightly conservative Portfolio):

$SE - 19%
$AMD - 18%
$ZIM - 13%
$CRWD
$ZS
$CTS.TO
$FCX
$STLD
$LC
$EXPI

Invested: 87%
Cash: 13%
Criteria for this portfolio is primarily quants, profitability and high cash-flow companies.
3/
 Actions:
+ New Buy: $CFLT in my core A/C
+ Increased allocation to $SE & $ZIM post earnings
+ Temporal Exits of $ETSY $SOFI $CARE.TO $LMND.
+ For $ETSY & $SOFI - Growth has significantly slowed down, there are a few metrics I'll track in Q4 for both to re-purchase.
Read 12 tweets
Francis - Analyst Profile picture
8 Sep
Welcome $CFLT - A New shareholder!

Brief Thesis
- #1 leading open-source platform
- 80% market-share among F-500
- A centralized event-streaming for Data
- Top Founder-Led
- Going to be an important tool in the future of ML/AI!

This is my first new stock-buy in over 5-months! Image
Sold $LMND- Owned since IPO @ $54, so this was a good profit. I like LMND but $CFLT is more dominant

This is a tracker buy in my core Acct after DD. Valuation is high, but hoping to add more LT

I have more info about $CFLT, so I'll share a future thread!
Guys, any experience using A- Kafta as part of your ETL or production on software deployments? @clueless_1337 @FrankYanWang
Read 4 tweets
Francis - Analyst Profile picture
7 Sep
$PATH Reports AH today - I'm slightly neutral:

These are street consensus:
+ Q3 2021 Rev: $185M (Roughly 35%+ growth) on EPS of -$0.06
+ FY 2021: 855M

My expectations based on my thesis:
+We should see Q3 $190M and FY Guide of $900M.

Below is a quick thread on my preview: 1/
2/
 For the 4th year in a row, $PATH was named a leader within the RPA & Automation market. A difficult feat to achieve in a competitive industry!

I want this Gartner review to show a correlation to revenues, but I am aware, they gave a low guidance in Q2
3/ Better breakdown of Revenue:

ARR Revenue Growth and Quarterly Recognised Revenue continues to be very tricky with $PATH. Investors need to rmbr to focus on ARR

It's hard to differentiate between their Cloud and On-Prem revenue.
I hope they provide some clarity on this call.
Read 6 tweets
Francis - Analyst Profile picture
6 Sep
The last decade's most successful investments were consumer-focused companies like $NFLX $AAPL $FB

IMHO, Enterprise B2B & Cloud-native businesses will be the most successful companies over the next decade like $SNOW $PLTR $CRWD

Here are key reasons: 0/
1/ During the crisis of Covid most of the innovation that happened in the world was primarily within the Enterprise.

Consumers had to adjust to the new ways of working within the next Enterprise 2.0

The next wave of trends include: Cloud, PaaS, SaaS, Developer Tooling, Security
2/ I still generally prefer Enterprise B2B Models over > Consumer B2C Models. Why?

Some traits - These businesses are more:
1. Essential tools
2. Customer Stickiness
3. More Recurring revenue streams
4. Scalable with a few players
5. Easier to land & expand
Read 8 tweets
Francis - Analyst Profile picture
28 Aug
Knowledge Digest:

Investment Process, Investing Principles, Analysis, and Company Threads, etc.

This is a compilation of the best articles, threads, and analyses I reviewed over the last 30-days:
1/ Jim Simmons Investment Strategy and How he managed to generate 66% CAGR returns (before fees) is fascinating. Composed by @TrungTPhan.

Lots of lessons to learn:

2/ The original story behind Amazon's AWS by @businessbarista

A fantastic story behind the People, Technology, and Process that led to the Founding of the World's leading Cloud Provider. Amazon's AWS.

Read 23 tweets
Francis - Analyst Profile picture
19 Aug
My Investment Thesis on the Rise of The Gig and Freelance Work Economy.

The contrarian reason I chose $UPWK over $FVRR.

Full Thread Below:
1/The Market Opportunity:

+ 80% of gig transactions are still happening offline
+ The share of full-time freelancers and job market grew from 17% to 28% from 2014 to 2019.
+ 59Million Freelanced in 2020
+ 10+ Million Freelancers last year.
+ Over 50% are Gen Z and Millennials.
2/ Key Drivers for Work Marketplaces:

1/ Trust: Ability to trust the ratings and reviews
2/ Access to Buyers
3/ Product Offering
4/ Transaction Fees
5/ Network Effects (especially cross-border)
6/ Commoditized vs Differentiated Supply
7/ Economic Value
8/ Aggregating Demand
Read 30 tweets

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