Bjorn Lomborg Profile picture
Sep 1, 2021 โ€ข 8 tweets โ€ข 5 min read โ€ข Read on X
You're being lied to:

Report claims disasters 5x over past 50 years

But because of better reporting

How do we know?

Take well-measured US tornados:

WMO thinks they've ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐Ÿญ๐Ÿฏ๐˜…
In reality, ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—น๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ
library.wmo.int/doc_num.php?exโ€ฆ
bbc.com/news/science-eโ€ฆ Image
Incompetent WMO report tells you that disasters 5x over past 50 years

But because of better reporting

How do we know?

Take well-measured US hurricanes:

WMO thinks they've ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐Ÿฐ๐˜…
They haven't increased at all

library.wmo.int/doc_num.php?exโ€ฆ
bbc.com/news/science-eโ€ฆ Image
You're being lied to:

Report claims disasters 5x over past 50 years

But because of better reporting

How do we know?

Take well-measured US tornados:

WMO thinks they've ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐Ÿญ๐Ÿฏ๐˜…
In reality, ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—น๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ
library.wmo.int/doc_num.php?exโ€ฆ
bbc.com/news/science-eโ€ฆ Image
Using EMDAT data to falsely suggest that catastrophes are increasing is simply dishonest

Increase is from better reporting, data does *not* support claims that # catastrophes are increasing

This lie has been exposed *so* many times

When will media stop misrepresenting better reporting as worse climate outcomes?

@MattMcGrathBBC โ€” looking at you โ€” will you update your story to highlight that this is simply better reporting?

bbc.com/news/science-eโ€ฆ Image
Maybe instead, the media could find some time to point out that societal vulnerability to climate-related disasters has *dramatically* dropped over the past century:

deaths dropped by more than 96-98% (while global population quadrupled)

facebook.com/bjornlomborg/pโ€ฆ Image
Here is my long twitter-thread from last year, when another UN organization disgracefully made the same bad report
Here are all the main categories from the disaster database โ€” *all* increase dramatically

If you with this data wrongly want to claim climate change makes more weather disasters

you also have to wrongly argue climate makes more derailings and volcanos

public.emdat.be Image

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More from @BjornLomborg

Apr 30
Two days ago, Spain lost 55% of its power, most from solar

Perception: Everyone wants to blame anything but renewables

Reality: With renewables, the grid gets vulnerable (missing inertia, mainly from fossil fuels) so we need more costly renewable management

So Reuters deceptively tells us, "don't blame renewables," blame "management of renewables"

reuters.com/business/energโ€ฆImage
"By continuously reducing inertia, Spainโ€™s policymakers engineered a vulnerability."

"Spainโ€™s electrical grid was operating with very little margin for error, a risky game that the Spanish government has been playing more aggressively each year since energy-transitionist ideologues took power two decades ago."

archive.ph/eonJRImage
Read 5 tweets
Jan 25
The myth that the green energy transition is inevitable and will make cheap electricity for everyone is one of the most dangerous self-delusions of the global elite

My piece for Sunday Telegraph

archive.ph/EufH0Image
Globally, fossil fuels supply 81% today (2022)

only marginally down from 81.2% in 2000

On current trends, fossil fuels are not on track to end in 2050
but in 4-9 centuries
iea.org/data-and-statiโ€ฆImage
You are told that solar and wind are cheap

But cramming in more solar and wind just makes power more and more costly

because solar and wind are worthless when not sunny and windy

iea.org/data-and-statiโ€ฆโ€ฆ

x.com/i/web/status/1โ€ฆ Image
Read 4 tweets
Oct 31, 2024
Spanish floods are tragic โ€” as they are everywhere

But remember flood deaths down dramatically

Globally, floods now kill 5,400/year, down from 400,000/year in 1930s

Deaths from European floods down 7-fold to less than 100 per year today

nature.com/articles/s4146โ€ฆImage
Despite breathless climate reporting,

not only are European floods causing fewer deaths (tweet above) but

Losses from floods in Europe are declining, not increasing

nature.com/articles/s4146โ€ฆImage
Death from flooding declining (2nd row)

not only for rich countries but for poor countries

Deaths declining for almost all extreme weather for rich and poor

for flood, flash flood, coastal flood, cold and wind

and for all extreme weather

sciencedirect.com/science/articlโ€ฆImage
Read 5 tweets
Sep 15, 2024
New study: Climate change saves 282,000 babies

Higher temperatures mean more heat, and more babies dying from heat

but it also means less cold, and many more babies not dying from cold

In total, higher temps saved 282,251 babies in 29 poorer countries from 2000-19

Did you read that anywhere?

nature.com/articles/s4146โ€ฆImage
As we have come to expect from studies of heat and cold, they use unequal scales, which makes heat and cold look about the same

โ€” they're not, as you can see on the right


nature.com/articles/s4146โ€ฆ

Image
The study is very explicit in pointing out that the change in extra heat deaths and fewer cold deaths is caused by climate change

nature.com/articles/s4146โ€ฆ
Image
Read 6 tweets
Sep 11, 2024
EU climate policy has enormous costs

Industry electricity prices have increased 70% in real terms since 2000

EU industries now pay 2.7x the electricity price in the US (and 1.9x in China)

EU households now pay 2x US electricity price (and 3.3x China)

iea.org/data-and-statiโ€ฆImage
EU climate policy causes high electricity costs

Consequently, EU can afford much less electricity per person

In this century, the EU has managed to get access to almost as much electricity per person as the US got in 1968


iea.org/data-and-statiโ€ฆ
data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.Pโ€ฆImage
EU climate policy has enormous costs

Electricity prices for industry have increased 78% in real terms since 1978

EU industries now pay 2.5x the electricity price in the US (and 1.9x in China)

EU households pay 2x US electricity price (and 3.3x China)

iea.org/data-and-statiโ€ฆImage
Read 5 tweets
Aug 30, 2024
Outrageously misleading climate scare from the UN

Today, 85% more old people die from heat

What they don't tell you:

There are now 86% more old people



un.org/sg/en/content/โ€ฆ
thelancet.com/journals/lanceโ€ฆ
population.un.org/dataportal/
I write about this and many other heat scares from the UN in today's WSJ

wsj.com/opinion/unitedโ€ฆ
Here is UNICEF misinforming on heat
Image
Read 5 tweets

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