Bjorn Lomborg Profile picture
Sep 1, 2021 โ€ข 8 tweets โ€ข 5 min read โ€ข Read on X
You're being lied to:

Report claims disasters 5x over past 50 years

But because of better reporting

How do we know?

Take well-measured US tornados:

WMO thinks they've ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐Ÿญ๐Ÿฏ๐˜…
In reality, ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—น๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ
library.wmo.int/doc_num.php?exโ€ฆ
bbc.com/news/science-eโ€ฆ Image
Incompetent WMO report tells you that disasters 5x over past 50 years

But because of better reporting

How do we know?

Take well-measured US hurricanes:

WMO thinks they've ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐Ÿฐ๐˜…
They haven't increased at all

library.wmo.int/doc_num.php?exโ€ฆ
bbc.com/news/science-eโ€ฆ Image
You're being lied to:

Report claims disasters 5x over past 50 years

But because of better reporting

How do we know?

Take well-measured US tornados:

WMO thinks they've ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐Ÿญ๐Ÿฏ๐˜…
In reality, ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—น๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ
library.wmo.int/doc_num.php?exโ€ฆ
bbc.com/news/science-eโ€ฆ Image
Using EMDAT data to falsely suggest that catastrophes are increasing is simply dishonest

Increase is from better reporting, data does *not* support claims that # catastrophes are increasing

This lie has been exposed *so* many times

When will media stop misrepresenting better reporting as worse climate outcomes?

@MattMcGrathBBC โ€” looking at you โ€” will you update your story to highlight that this is simply better reporting?

bbc.com/news/science-eโ€ฆ Image
Maybe instead, the media could find some time to point out that societal vulnerability to climate-related disasters has *dramatically* dropped over the past century:

deaths dropped by more than 96-98% (while global population quadrupled)

facebook.com/bjornlomborg/pโ€ฆ Image
Here is my long twitter-thread from last year, when another UN organization disgracefully made the same bad report
Here are all the main categories from the disaster database โ€” *all* increase dramatically

If you with this data wrongly want to claim climate change makes more weather disasters

you also have to wrongly argue climate makes more derailings and volcanos

public.emdat.be Image

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More from @BjornLomborg

Sep 2
The world is burning less, not more

That's contrary to the climate narrative

2025 has seen dramatically less fire in Africa, the Americas, Asia, and Europe

On this trajectory, 2025 could become the lowest-burn year in the 21st century

Did you see this reported anywhere?

Data: from satellites circling the planet 24/7 (MODIS), modis.gsfc.nasa.gov/data/dataprod/โ€ฆ

2025 data from Jan 1-Sept 2 shows 80% as much burned area as normally for same period 2012-24 from Global Wildfire Information System, gwis.jrc.ec.europa.eu/apps/gwis.statโ€ฆ

Light blue data shows extrapolation on current trajectory to full 2025Image
In 2025, the world is burning less, not more

That's contrary to the climate narrative

2025 has seen extraordinarily little fire in Africa, much less than average, and even less than the minimum, from 2012-24

Did you see this reported anywhere?

Data from Global Wildfire Information System gwis.jrc.ec.europa.eu/apps/gwis.statโ€ฆImage
In 2025, the world is burning less, not more

That's contrary to the climate narrative

2025 has seen extraordinarily little fire in the Americas, much less than average, and even less than the minimum, from 2012-24

Did you see this reported anywhere?

Data from Global Wildfire Information System gwis.jrc.ec.europa.eu/apps/gwis.statโ€ฆImage
Read 7 tweets
Jun 30
Awful climate scare

New Nature study claims climate means less food, โ€œlike everyone giving up breakfast."

Media even spins "mass starvation"

No, study's small print reveals ever more food, tempered slightly by climate

+ many other issues

The scare is the point

๐ŸงตImage
New study claims climate leads to much less food

Reality? "Reduction" is merely a deviation from increasing baseline yields

So, not less food overall, but slightly less of much more food

Still, the researchers tell the "less food" story to the public

nature.com/articles/s4158โ€ฆImage
New study claims climate means food loss like giving up breakfast

Only true IF agricultural innovation halts today

Preposterous to assume progress stops โ€” global yields up 8% since 2015, 1%+ annually since 1961

The researchers don't believe it, but they tell journalists Image
Read 9 tweets
May 4
The cheap green lie

You are told that solar and wind are cheap

But cramming in more solar and wind just makes electricity more and more costly

because solar and wind are worthless when not sunny and windy

iea.org/data-and-statiโ€ฆImage
The cheap green lie

You are told that solar and wind are cheap

But cramming in more solar and wind makes power more and more costly

because solar and wind are worthless when not sunny and windy

True for both 2023 and 2019, before Covid and Ukraine

iea.org/data-and-statiโ€ฆImage
There are no high-solar&wind, low-cost nations

You are told that solar and wind are cheap

But cramming in more solar and wind just makes electricity more and more costly

because solar and wind are worthless when not sunny and windy

iea.org/data-and-statiโ€ฆImage
Read 4 tweets
Apr 30
Two days ago, Spain lost 55% of its power, most from solar

Perception: Everyone wants to blame anything but renewables

Reality: With renewables, the grid gets vulnerable (missing inertia, mainly from fossil fuels) so we need more costly renewable management

So Reuters deceptively tells us, "don't blame renewables," blame "management of renewables"

reuters.com/business/energโ€ฆImage
"By continuously reducing inertia, Spainโ€™s policymakers engineered a vulnerability."

"Spainโ€™s electrical grid was operating with very little margin for error, a risky game that the Spanish government has been playing more aggressively each year since energy-transitionist ideologues took power two decades ago."

archive.ph/eonJRImage
Read 5 tweets
Jan 25
The myth that the green energy transition is inevitable and will make cheap electricity for everyone is one of the most dangerous self-delusions of the global elite

My piece for Sunday Telegraph

archive.ph/EufH0Image
Globally, fossil fuels supply 81% today (2022)

only marginally down from 81.2% in 2000

On current trends, fossil fuels are not on track to end in 2050
but in 4-9 centuries
iea.org/data-and-statiโ€ฆImage
You are told that solar and wind are cheap

But cramming in more solar and wind just makes power more and more costly

because solar and wind are worthless when not sunny and windy

iea.org/data-and-statiโ€ฆโ€ฆ

x.com/i/web/status/1โ€ฆ Image
Read 4 tweets
Oct 31, 2024
Spanish floods are tragic โ€” as they are everywhere

But remember flood deaths down dramatically

Globally, floods now kill 5,400/year, down from 400,000/year in 1930s

Deaths from European floods down 7-fold to less than 100 per year today

nature.com/articles/s4146โ€ฆImage
Despite breathless climate reporting,

not only are European floods causing fewer deaths (tweet above) but

Losses from floods in Europe are declining, not increasing

nature.com/articles/s4146โ€ฆImage
Death from flooding declining (2nd row)

not only for rich countries but for poor countries

Deaths declining for almost all extreme weather for rich and poor

for flood, flash flood, coastal flood, cold and wind

and for all extreme weather

sciencedirect.com/science/articlโ€ฆImage
Read 5 tweets

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