This is an interesting read, but commentators are failing to grapple with just how unusual the present posture of this case is and how novel SB8 is as a legal instrument specifically designed to avoid pre-enforcement review.
In other words, I don't think SCOTUS is going to be silent or indifferent on the procedural issues here. I bet that's why it's taking so long.

And those procedural problems come *before* we even get to the question of just what this SCOTUS is going to do with Casey/June Medical.
Too much of the commentary is skipping to: is Roe going to be overturned (even though they mean Casey and June Medical).

When there's a whole mess of procedural issues to resolve before we get to the underlying abortion question.
And, again, that was done *intentionally* to prevent the usual pre-enforcement challenges that have knocked down other fetal heartbeat laws.
I don't think they can stay the law on this case's procedural posture. Who can SCOTUS enjoin? Every citizen inside the state? Forget about it. Every judge? They're nonparties.

And I expect the delay is because we're getting some heated dissents and possibly concurring ops.
So I expect to see something like

Per curiam: the application is denied; applicants have not demonstrated that an injunction will remedy the harm complained of.
J. Alito, concurring, arguing against dissent's claim that the majority is ignoring Casey/June Medical.

Sotomayor, dissenting, arguing the majority is ignoring Casey/June Medical.
Oh, and look for at least one of the justices (maybe both sides!) to rely on the novel circumstance with SB8 as one reason for justifying their view.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Gabriel Malor

Gabriel Malor Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @gabrielmalor

2 Sep
SCOTUS will not block Texas SB8, the fetal heartbeat law.

Count is 5-4. The majority holds that the "complex and novel antecedent procedural questions" prevent plaintiffs from carrying their burden.
CJ Roberts writes a dissent. Breyer writes a dissent. Sotomayor writes a dissent. Kagan writes a dissent.
Here's the majority reasoning in full.
Read 27 tweets
1 Sep
More chaos in the Oklahoma courts as the McGirt fallout continues.

To recap, last month the state's highest criminal court ruled that McGirt would not apply retroactively—that is, to cases decided before McGirt issued.
Yesterday, the high court vacated and withdrew four previous orders granting McGirt-based relief, citing its new holding that McGirt does not apply retroactively.

Here's what that looks like. Note, Oklahoma is presently seeking cert. from SCOTUS in Bosse. So that might be moot? Image
This all wraps around to whether state convictions that took place on Indian land that had never been disestablished under federal law were valid.

SCOTUS said no in McGirt. So the question then is whether McGirt applies retroactively.
Read 5 tweets
31 Aug
Update in this one. Texas has filed its response in opposition --> supremecourt.gov/DocketPDF/21/2…

And the private defendant has filed his opposition too --> supremecourt.gov/DocketPDF/21/2…

Now we wait for SCOTUS (or, I suppose, the 5th Cir.) to act.
(I don't think it's very likely that the 5th Cir. will save SCOTUS from having to act, but it is, technically, a possibility.)
Still waiting on potential SCOTUS action on the Texas fetal heartbeat law.

The law goes into effect at midnight, Central Time.
Read 8 tweets
31 Aug
This one is going to come back to haunt.
This is one of those things that'll be true right up until the moment it's not, and worth nothing.

The relevant question will be, having departed Afghanistan, can we *keep terrorist groups on the ground there from acquiring the capacity to attack the United States at home?*
There is this little pesky matter of precedent for Afghanistan-based, Taliban-sponsored attacks, ya know.
Read 5 tweets
18 Aug
Oh wow. Fed. judge orders as a condition of bail that defendant must get the coronavirus vaccine.

"that, prior to her release, she receive at least the first coronavirus vaccine shot, to be followed by a second shot within the following month." law.com/newyorklawjour…
"[T]the Court's responsibility is to set conditions . . . that will prevent a danger to the community, in this case, an enhanced risk of infecting other, innocent people and even potentially causing their deaths."
Court notes broad authority to set conditions, reasons that if it can impose home confinement, GPS tracking, urine tests, drug patches, medical and psychiatric exams, it can "take the much more modest step of requiring vaccination as a condition of . . . being released on bail."
Read 7 tweets
17 Aug
Fed. judge holds that Hawaii's firearm laws that only allows folks to buy a handgun w/in 10 days of obtaining a permit, and then requires them to present the gun to police for inspection and registration w/in 5 days violates the Second Amendment. storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.usco…
The court applied the intermediate scrutiny standard, and asked Hawaii how a 10-day permit use period furthers public safety. Was not impressed by the answer Hawaii came up with: "common sense."
To come back to this, these two Hawaii restrictions on firearms are not common in other states, so there isn't a lot of similar case law.

What may draw further attention is the emphasis the court placed on whether "common sense" is sufficient to meet intermediate scrutiny.
Read 4 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(