"How small are the chances of the average vaccinated American contracting Covid? Probably about one in 5,000 per day, and even lower for people who take precautions or live in a highly vaccinated community." @DLeonhardt: nytimes.com/2021/09/07/bri…
"Here’s one way to think about a one-in-10,000 daily chance: It would take more than three months for the combined risk to reach just 1 percent."
"In Britain, many people have become comfortable w/ Covid risks. The vaccines make serious illness rare in adults, and the risks to young kids are so low Britain may never recommend that most receive vaccine. Letting the virus continue to dominate life, OTOH, has large costs..."
"...Our level of Covid anxiety is higher, especially in communities that lean to the left politically...At least one part of the American anxiety does seem to have become disconnected from the facts in recent weeks: the effectiveness of the vaccines."
Whole article worth reading.
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A key point in this @jimtankersley article: the Delta variant's economic impact has been strongest in the states with higher vaccination rates and lower case rates. People are reining in their activity in response to rising rates in other parts of country. nytimes.com/2021/09/09/us/…
"Biden’s inability thus far to break through vaccine hesitancy...has become a psychological spending drag on those in highly vaccinated areas. That is because vaccinated Americans appear more likely to pull back on travel, dining out and other activity out of fear of the virus."
"In some heavily vaccinated parts of the country — including liberal states packed with Mr. Biden’s supporters — virus-wary Americans have pulled back on economic activity, even though infection rates in their areas are low."
Olaf Scholz, candidate of Germany's unexpectedly resurgent SPD (center-left), getting some serious presumptive-victor treatment in Berlin's largest newspaper today, three weeks before the election.
A striking moment in the long interview that accompanied that big front-page spread: Scholz says politics has never made him cry, but that what *did* make him cry was reading Hillbilly Elegy: "It stirred me deeply." plus.tagesspiegel.de/politik/spd-ka…
Rough translation: "[The book] stirred me very deeply. It always stirs me when it comes to people's dignity and hopes. That's why I became a politician, to work to protect dignity and to ensure that no one is helplessly consigned to a bleak fate, that they can have hope..." 1/2
"Teenage loneliness was relatively stable between 2000 and 2012, with fewer than 18 percent reporting high levels of loneliness. But in the six years after 2012, rates increased dramatically." nytimes.com/2021/07/31/opi…
"To test our hypothesis, we sought data on many global trends that might have an impact on teenage loneliness...The results were clear: Only smartphone access and internet use increased in lock step w/ teenage loneliness. The other factors were unrelated or inversely correlated."
This is key: the phone doesn't change your own behavior, it changes the social context in which we move and operate.
"American’s technology superstars have launched into a completely different stratosphere than even other wildly successful companies in tech and beyond." Some incredible figures in this @ShiraOvide column: nytimes.com/2021/07/29/tec…
"The current stock market value of the Big Five ($9.3 trillion) is more than the value of the next 27 most valuable U.S. companies put together, including corporate giants like Tesla, Walmart and JPMorgan Chase."
"Apple’s profit just from the past three months ($21.7 billion) was nearly double the combined annual profits of the five largest U.S. airlines in prepandemic 2019."
The US homicide rate jumped 25% in a single year. NY, LA and some other cities are still far from their early '90s peak, thank god. But many others are breaking records. I went to one to make sense of what's happening. Here is my story for @propublica: propublica.org/article/philad… 1/2
OK, here is this week's Sunday evening geography quiz: what are the five Major League Baseball cities whose population is *smaller* than that of their team's AAA affiliate towns?
Answer at 9:30pm ET. h/t to @jimmyshi03 for inspiring this Q.