Our paper quantifying the economic return from test-trace-quarantine policies during pandemics is now out @RSocPublishing. TL;DR version is that returns are massive royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rs… 1/5
Preprint thread that emphasizes optimal setting of the risk threshold for quarantine linked here. UK #pingdemic would be a good application
https://twitter.com/JoannaMasel/status/13330835584417177602/5
Key insight is that if some control process keeps the geometric mean of R(t) near 1 one way or another, better it should happen via targeted measures than indiscriminately. Value is calculated without needing to trade off lives for livelihoods 
https://twitter.com/JoannaMasel/status/13346534178813583363/5
The value of even seemingly unimpressive interventions, eg exposure notifications with modest adoption, can be large, in increasing the degree to which we return to normal while keeping R(t)~1. 4/5
Returns are smaller for endemic disease than for outbreaks, because preventing infection sometimes merely delays it and the accompanying immunity boost. But still significant, because it might also get you through to your next vaccine booster. Working on that next 5/5
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