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Dec 30, 2021 15 tweets 4 min read
Many are torn between frustration and sympathy for @CDCgov. Given all the things CDC are failing to get done (eg rapid data dissemination and analysis), I am shocked by what they DO they spend time on. 🧵sharing observations from my interactions with CDC staff. 1/14 I was happy when CDC contacted me in Dec 2020 after this NYT story nytimes.com/2020/12/07/tec…, to urge rapid publication of the data supporting our claim of exposure notifications for up to 12% of transmission. The fact of CDC outreach got data release unblocked at @uarizona 2/14
Sep 8, 2021 5 tweets 2 min read
Our paper quantifying the economic return from test-trace-quarantine policies during pandemics is now out @RSocPublishing. TL;DR version is that returns are massive royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rs… 1/5 Preprint thread that emphasizes optimal setting of the risk threshold for quarantine linked here. UK #pingdemic would be a good application 2/5
Aug 20, 2020 11 tweets 5 min read
Thread on why the launch of @CovidWatch in Arizona yesterday is different from other launches. This GAEN app is superior re risk scoring, re rollout strategy, and re customizability (the last two related) blog.covidwatch.org/en/covid-watch… 1/10 Other apps try to reproduce 6 feet (or 1 meter or 2 meters) for 15 minutes. But how infectious someone is also varies ~10-fold as function of timing relative to the day their symptoms begin 2/10
Jun 23, 2020 4 tweets 2 min read
Longer viral shedding in asymptomatics, if true, would matter. With limited testing, it would mean very long quarantines. So I pulled the easily available data from this @NatureMedicine paper and tried to do a meta-analysis including other data 1/4 @mugecevik kindly pointed me to 3 other papers with similar comparisons for covid-19 (plus one for flu). None deposited their data. Two corresponding authors did not reply, the third refused, citing ethics. All I want is shedding durations 2/4