When COVID hit, I began hearing rumblings of a book called Unrestricted Warfare, written by 2 former Chinese Peoples Liberation Army (PLA) senior colonels & published by PLA

In short, it describes what war will look like in a post-nuclear, mutually assured destruction, age
I read the book cover to cover and I thought you might be interested in some quotes/passages I highlighted, which I encourage you to read w current events in mind.

“the media has become an immediate and integral part of warfare”

“China can pump propaganda into the American media while restricting American media’s access to the Chinese media landscape”

A non-military attack could “cause the enemy nation to fall into social panic, street riots, and a political crisis”

“The battlefield is next to you and the enemy is on the network. Only there is no smell of gunpowder or the odor of blood. However, it is war as before, because it accords with the definition of modern warfare: forcing the enemy to satisfy one’s own interests.”

Modern warfare is “impeding the enemy’s ability to wage war & to defend itself against a barrage of attacks against its economy, its civil institutions, its governmental structures, and its actual belief system”

“If one party is at war w another, & the other party does not realize it is at war, the party who knows it is at war almost always has the advantage & usually wins”(Tzu)

"social spaces such as the military, politics, economics, culture, & the psyche are also battlefields”

“The biggest difference between contemporary wars and the wars of the past is that, in contemporary wars, the overt goal and the covert goal are often two different matters”

“Precisely in the same way that modern technology is changing weapons and the battlefield, it is also at the same time blurring the concept of who the war participants are. From now on, soldiers no longer have a monopoly on war.”

“a defeat on the economic front precipitates a near collapse of social & political order. The casualties resulting from the constant chaos r no less than those resulting from a regional war, & injury done to the living social organism even exceeds injury inflicted by...war”

“financial war is easily manipulated and allows for concealed actions, and is also highly destructive”

“Can special funds be set up to exert greater influence on another country’s government and legislature through lobbying?”

There are “a number of other means and methods used to fight a non-military war…[including]…psychological warfare (spreading rumors to intimidate the enemy and break down his will); …throwing markets into confusion and attacking economic order; …media warfare ...

(manipulating what people see and hear in order to lead public opinion along); …fabrication warfare (presenting a counterfeit appearance of real strength before the eyes of the enemy);… (not to mention the cross combining and creative use of these means and methods)”

“in all future wars, in addition to the basic method of military strikes, the force of the media will increasingly be another player in the war and will play a role comparable to that of military strikes in promoting the course of the war”

“Ever since the Vietnam War, both the military & American society have been sensitized to human casualties”

“cultural infiltration, media propaganda, formulating & applying international rules, using UN resolutions,etc belong… more & more now as standard military means”

“If we want to have victory in future wars, we must be fully prepared intellectually for this scenario, that is, to be ready to carry out a war which, affecting all areas of life of the countries involved, may be conducted in a sphere not dominated by military actions”

When at war w a powerful adversary, a country “must adjust its own financial strategy, use currency revaluation or devaluation as primary, & combine means such as getting the upper hand in public opinion & changing the rules sufficiently to make financial turbulence and..

...economic crisis appear in the targeted country or area, weakening its overall power, including its military strength.”

If “the United States would…have suffered heavy economic losses…such an outcome would certainly be better than a military strike”


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More from @the_brumby

29 Sep
It remains unclear to me whether there is a path forward in the big Blue cities out of Covid myopia. Most of these cities have extremely high vaccination rates--certainly anyone that wants one has received it--yet only 20-30% of workers are back in offices.

New York City has not even recovered half of the ~1.1m jobs lost due to the lockdowns.

Having spent time in these cities myself over last yr or having friends/family residing there, you could effectively use the below (job losses) as a ranking for Covid monomania (though I think SF worse than NY. DC is Covid crazy but of course has thrived during the madness)

Read 8 tweets
10 Sep
Even in the Zerocovid police states of Australia& NZ, pediatricians talk more sense than those in USA regarding child Delta:

"Its important to note that many [child hospitalizations] were for social reasons..so hospitalisation statistics do not provide a good marker of severity"
We "would like to reassure children and their parents that while the COVID delta variant has shown that
children are able to be infected and transmit COVID-19, COVID-19 is and generally remains a
mild infection in children."
"children are affected by...restrictions causing impacts on education and mental health.”

"Although one death has been recorded, the child in question was a 15-year-old boy who
was being treated for pneumococcal meningitis"
Read 5 tweets
9 Sep
As predicted, nothing in Biden's plan will accomplish anything other than to further & dangerously divide the nation

Interestingly, some data from the UK came out today that refutes everything in his plan (other than increasing treatments which is of course good)

Let's look...
1. "Vaccinating the Unvaccinated" (mandates for workplaces)

Case rates are comparable or higher in vaccinated adults than unvaccinated.

Seems like it should be a personal choice given it clearly doesn't stop transmission.
2. "Protecting the Vaccinated"

Ugh, isn't that what the vaccine is for?

Anyway, the data looks decent, though nothing like what we were promised.

As the prior chart demonstrates, transmission is not stopped by the vaccine anyhow, meaning it offers personal protection only.
Read 7 tweets
30 Aug
Another day, another European country embarrassing the US with its rational child COVID policies (this time courtesy of Norway):

First, and most importantly: "Children under 12 years are not recommended to use face masks"

"Children who play together do not have to keep a distance. Children can have friends for sleepovers if everyone is well"

"Leisure activities are important for the physical & mental well-being of children & adolescents. Therefore, leisure activities should be maintained"

"Transmission in schools and childcare centres contributes only to a small extent in the spread of COVID-19 in the society"

"in areas where adults are mainly vaccinated, it is expected that an increasing proportion of all cases will occur among the child population"

Read 10 tweets
26 Aug
A brief meandering thread

1. Many argue over the cost-benefit analysis of COVID measures (eg lockdowns, masks). This is jumping the gun: first, an actual benefit must be established, which has not occurred for either masks or lockdowns. So all we have are the immense costs.
2. "Odious debt" is a legal theory that sovereign debt incurred to oppress a population is unenforceable

Govts have spent $trillions locking ppl in their homes, promoting an environment of fear, closing schools & businesses, & banning worship, dating, & visitation of the ill 🤔
3. If Im being pessimistic, it strikes me we r basically in same place as 18 mths ago despite having implemented catastrophic lockdowns & administered billions of vax doses: w a virus that hits the elderly/comorbid very hard but which all others overcome w minor, if any, symptoms
Read 6 tweets
20 Aug
On Wed, Biden said he'll "say a lot more about children & schools next week"

I think a Natl mask mandate is coming. Why? To prevent disenrollment in pub schools & to prevent data frm showing it makes no difference

Consider this study on disenrollment bc of remote learning:
Just released today:

"Specifically, our estimates suggest that offering remote-only instruction increased disenrollment by
42 percent... relative to in-person instruction"

The same will hold for masks IF other options are available


Biden and the US left's continuing demand for masks on kids in schools is a complete world outlier. There is ZERO evidence of effectiveness (let alone cost-benefit analysis). It's pure sunk cost fallacy at this point given how rabid the debate has been.

Read 4 tweets

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