Leading indicators continue to show accelerating spread of infection.
7-day average Test Positivity 11.73% against all-time record 11.75%.
Severe Outcomes: Hospital, ICU and Death all surging faster than ever. Obviously NOT Decoupled.
ICU Capacity taking a huge hit.
169 Albertans just with COVID-19, against total ICU capacity for all needs 173.
Look at the difference two days makes on the curve. See also comparison to AHS CEO Dr Yiu charts on 17 May 2021.
Great presentation by Sarah Mackey of @ab_vax who teaches that we can't just look at the unvaccinated as one big blob, and just write them off.
IIRC, she says we have to look at different reasons:
• Access
• Complacency
• Hesitancy
And count the removal of barriers, not 💉
@ab_vax Working from AB Health's published stats, I provide this Vaccine Effectiveness by share of population.
• Fully Vax, Partly Vax, No Vax
• Hospital & ICU Case Rates
• Risk Ratio (how much lower your risk as you get your shots)
• Odds Ratio (how much worse than fully vax).
Correction: 54 Albertans died of Covid-19 in the last week, not 49 as I had shown earlier.
Tied with Ontario.
Alberta's 12% of 🇨🇦 population has 33% of the Deaths.
But the City doesn't tell you the $17m/yr is a mortgage payment, of which only the interest portion is operating revenue.
The City lies to you these are all Lease Payments.
On this mortgage, at best the City is getting a breakeven. The City is showing no Interest Income on it.
Let's pretend this is a lease:
• payments starting at $17m/yr
• rising at ridiculously low 1%/yr
• as if CSEC is an affordable housing client needing a rent cap.
CSEC gets ALL the revenues of $1.2b of taxpayer dollars, custom-built, for only $17m/yr.
🧵 Stampede Park Arena aka "future Culture & Entertainment District Event Centre"
City of Calgary's presentation of the financials is deceptive:
• overstating direct benefits to City
• overstating CSEC investment
• understating City investment
• especially from Reserves
Citizens of Calgary do not get a referendum on the deal. In fact, "public consultation" was limited to an announcement on 25 April 2023, releasing this deceptive report.
Our "Referendum" is the Provincial Election Monday 29 May, and its advance voting.
How is City's report deceptive?
• Pretends $316m worth of CSEC mortgage repayment over 35 yrs is upfront capital investment
• Hides the fact the City needs another $316m up front to build arena complex - from Where?
• Disguises $17m/yr of mortgage payments as Lease Income
@JorgeDe83010797 Hi. The other night we chatted briefly about locomotive axle bearings on @MriyaReport and I decided to get up to speed on it a bit. If you want to chat about this on the Spaces, let me know. I can cover generally while you dive deeper.
@JorgeDe83010797@MriyaReport This video goes deeper into the assemblies. I gathered from the Spaces that Russia does not make the bearings themselves, but was curious about their domestic capability for fabrication and maintenance of all parts of the axle box, or even the bogeys.
Let me know if I misunderstand.
• 2 wheels + axle + gear = WAG = wheel set
• 2 or 3 wheel sets assembled into bogey aka truck(?)
• axle box contains the (tapered) roller bearing and transfers load to axle
• have to track roller bearing wear & replace
🧵 Gov of Alberta's Backdoor Prohibition
on School Mask Mandates
IMO, this is the policy holding back EPSB and other school boards in mandating masks in any school, for any period of time, no matter how bad the outbreak.
How is a 6 Sep 2022 Policy a collateral attack on a 26 Oct 2022 Decision?
Because Justice Dunlop made it clear in August that Minister Lagrange would have to enact a Regulation to prohibit masks, not just write a letter and threaten school boards.