Gray Connolly Profile picture
Sep 13, 2021 16 tweets 6 min read Read on X
The Europeans who went big into fantasy solar/wind & 'big batteries' now suffering & now more dependent than ever on Russian gas. Well, except for France & others that kept reliable & scalable Nuclear, and others prepared to rely on Coal. Madness.

wsj.com/articles/energ…
"France gets more than two-thirds of its electricity from nuclear — giving it the lowest emissions of any major economy.....Germany, where nuclear generates 11 percent of power, while fossil fuels account for 44 percent — 24 percent of that from coal."

politico.eu/article/climat…
Coal, Gas, Nuclear ... make your pick for your national baseload power source(s). There is no fantasy fourth option, no matter how much disinformation is spun at you by the various "green energy" spivs looking for government subsidies.

afr.com/companies/ener…
"Power prices are also high because of policies to limit carbon emissions. Power plants that burn fossil fuels have to pay a price for every metric ton of carbon they emit into the atmosphere. That price has surged close to 90% this year."

bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Europe made itself the Kremlin's energy hostage

"Even though wind supply patterns and Russian gas deliveries are seen as market wild cards, the current backdrop means a significant power supply crunch is likely, traders and analysts say"

reuters.com/business/energ…
See @ShellenbergerMD here

"The return to coal was most dramatic in Germany. Electricity from wind was 20% lower in Germany in the first half of 2021 than the first half of 2020, resulting in a 24% higher use of fossil fuels and 28% greater emissions..."

forbes.com/sites/michaels…
If only there was a reliable, zero emissions, scalable, 24/7/365 alternative energy source, that actually works:
"The calm weather highlights the shortcomings of Britain’s growing reliance on green energy at a time fossil fuels are also expensive."

bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Newcastle port coal futures as of today (per metric ton) ... Australian black (thermal) coal is much cleaner than (iirc) any mined elsewhere. Something is happening in commodities/energy markets this northern autumn and it is not belief in 'the renewables'. Image
The Russians flexing their gas muscles ....

"Gazprom has been accused by the International Energy Agency and some lawmakers in the European Parliament of not doing enough to increase its natural gas supplies to Europe"

reuters.com/business/energ…
The European gas shortage is about to be felt everywhere else - not just as an economic issue but a life/death issue in cold climates. Good for gas producers/exporters like Australia & the US … but even better news for the Kremlin

bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Gas ... Gas ... Gas ... Merkel taking the Germans off nuclear & onto Russian gas & brown coal was stupid at the time but has just got 'stupider'

If only there was a reliable, baseload, zero-emissions, 24/7 alternative?

"The global shortfalls are tied to natural gas’s growing popularity as a fuel for generating electrical power, because it creates less greenhouse gas emissions than coal."

nytimes.com/2021/10/01/bus…
The French are the only major European power with any smarts about energy policy - approx 75% of French energy comes from zero emissions, reliable & nationally-owned nuclear power. The Germans by contrast have made themselves energy hostages to the Kremlin
latimes.com/world-nation/s…
Europeans are the crash test model for "Green Energy" policies

"The energy crisis has touched on some of the EU’s most sensitive internal debates, from the bloc’s approach to carbon taxes, dependence on Russian gas, upcoming rules for sustainable finance"
ft.com/content/5805c3…
Europe's rising energy costs leading to "energy poverty" and fears of civil unrest as the northern Winter approaches - "There could be a rise in 'Gilet Jaunes'-type movements across Europe"

edition.cnn.com/2021/09/30/bus…
UK went big on "Renewables" & is now France's energy hostage [France generates its own power from domestic nuclear]: "The U.K. is reliant on two massive power cables that transport electricity from France’s nuclear power stations across the Channel"

bloomberg.com/news/articles/…

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More from @GrayConnolly

Jan 4
This @Telegraph long read by @SAshworthHayes @CDP1882 on the UK's long-running rape (and in some cases murder) gang scandal is bracing reading and not for the squeamish. But it must be read - and acted upon.

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Read 11 tweets
Nov 25, 2024
Social media bill is another very poorly drafted law from the very same people who drafted the Voice constitutional alteration (which failed) & the Misinformation/Disinformation bill (which was withdrawn). Sheer lunacy for the Coalition to support the social media bill #Auspol
One of many problems we have with our Parliament in 2024 is its membership is simply not across how modern economies & communications work - you do not have to be any expert but you do need some lay understanding. One saw this in the Misinformation/Disinformation bill #Auspol
As a matter of public law - which binds everyone & should be as simple to follow as law can - the social media bill has ridiculous complexity & carve-outs ... and it is unreal to legislate on social media access separate from AI & exposure to its knowledge & also 'fakes' #Auspol
Read 5 tweets
Sep 7, 2024
I am finally watching the @martyrmade / Tucker discussion on Churchill. I am not sure who among the critics have actually watched it. As I dislike Twitter pile-ons, I think everyone should watch what X says before X is put in the tumbril. My response as a Churchillian below.
Firstly, it astounds me (and no doubt many in the old Empire) why Americans in 2024 are so invested in the British Empire in the 1930s when the Americans of the 1939-1941 period wanted no part of WW2 & the US had to be bombed into WW2 & it was the Nazis who declared war on the US
Secondly, there is very little Darryl says that was not said earlier by many Revisionist historians of the same period, esp British ones wondering why they went through two continental wars that cost them their vast seaborne empire - cf Alan Clark, John Charmley, AJP Taylor etal
Read 25 tweets
May 8, 2024
US delaying arms & munitions to Israel is all about domestic US politics - US allies especially in the Middle East see Biden Admin wiling to dirk *even Israel* here means Egypt, Jordan, Gulf Kingdoms etal start to reevaluate relying on the US vs an Iranian arc with PRC/RUS ‘help’ Image
Rightly or wrongly, the US' allies seeing that if the Biden WH will cut *even Israel* adrift on arms and munitions supplies in a war after a massive terrorist attack, that their alliance with the US, too, operates purely at the whim of domestic US politics ... Obama's 3rd term Image
A global military alliance of intelligence support & arms sharing (going to standardisation of kit & calibres etc) is only sustainable, ultimately, to the degree that allies trust in the support of each other, esp when the going is hard... no one respects disloyalty esp enemies
Read 4 tweets
Feb 8, 2024
Putting Tucker to one side here .... weirdest part of Putin's villain role in the contemporary Western mind (admittedly an historically illiterate mind] is that if Putin dropped dead tomorrow, his successor would follow the same policies, probably more aggressively.
In July 2018, I wrote this piece, "The Sources Of Russian Conduct", on my blog, in an effort to put "The Russians" in some context for that part of the lay Western readership that was not totally brain damaged by America's internal convulsions

strategycounsel.blogspot.com/2018/07/source…
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Reality is that the West will never be close to Russia - we will have bouts of accomodation & OK times - but we also have many friction points. But we will need a modus vivendi with Russia in space, Arctic, and esp as Russia spans 11 time zones & Eurasian landmass Image
Read 5 tweets
Dec 12, 2023
I am shocked - shocked I tell you - that the same people who were (catastrophically) wrong about Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya, Syria, etal, have now been proven wrong about the war in Ukraine ....


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The auguries of genius statecraft Image
The true classic of the genre Image
Read 5 tweets

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