As health select committee chair most of the time I focus on holding the Govt to account on health. But occasionally opposition parties need to be called out too - never more so than today….
It’s outrageous that Lab & Lib Dems will vote against £12bn extra for the NHS & soc care after the year we’ve had. This is politicking of the worst kind because the crisis in the NHS & care system is real. Any wealth tax v unlikely to raise the sums needed for ageing population.
But even though it was tough for a Conservative PM & Chx to raise taxes, what comes next - turning money into results with proper reform - will be even tougher. Having dipped our hands into their pockets voters will be very angry if they don't see tangible improvements fast.
So here are 3 traps to avoid from someone who has probably fallen into every trap in the book….
Firstly, unless we urgently address the workforce crisis, all the worst fears about pouring money into a black hole will be realised. You can give the NHS £8 bn extra for the next 3 years but without £8 bn of extra doctors and nurses to do the work nothing will change.
The Health Foundation told @CommonsHealth last week it will take 4,000 more doctors & 18,000 more nurses to clear the backlog - but so far there is no plan to find them.
Relaxing immigration rules for overseas clinicians is only short term option (not great for developing countries) but only one sensible solution long term, so far rejected by govt: an ind body to make workforce projections on training enough doctors and nurses for the future.
2nd trap is to sleepwalk into another Mid Staffs: this happened when funding was going up not down so the problem was not ££ but targets culture which made no.s more important than people. NHS has moved on but as we tackle waiting lists we must redouble our focus safety & quality
Final trap is social care funding. This levy is supposed to be principally about social care reform overall, but even in a generous settlement there wasn’t enough for soc care in the short term. After that there remains a big risk the NHS continues to gobble up the settlement.
The govt should therefore ringfence the social care allocation. If we can’t give the sector ££ it needs right away, we can at least give it stability and certainty for future.
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Lots of noise on social care and a possible new tax to pay for it...my thoughts in this thread.
It’s progress that the soc care debate has moved on from 'whether' to 'how.' This isn’t just because it wld breach the PM's words on the steps of Downing Street, but a growing realisation that with the Covid backlog we’ll never get the NHS back on its feet without soc care reform
Let's take as starting point the HSC report which said the sector needs min £7 bn annual raise in its budget over 4-5 years. This covers a cap, demographic changes and increases in the national living wage but not a big expansion of quality or eligibility committees.parliament.uk/work/136/socia…
Here’s an early take on our two bumper select committee grillings over the last two weeks - Dominic Cummings and Matt Hancock. A thread...
There was more melodrama than normal but it is not possible to stack up the most sensational revelations without evidence. Today's new @Dominic2306 tweets show the PM's total frustration ('f***ing useless' etc.) but do not prove anyone 'lied.'
Personal accusations are of course the most media-friendly but should not expose the much more serious failures in the functioning of the state in a national emergency, including key revelations about both scientific advice/herd immunity and test and trace.
Big news for the NHS that Sir Simon Stevens is stepping down. A thread...
When we recruited for a successor to Sir David Nicholson in 2013, there was a good deal of trepidation about the role following controversy over the 2012 Act. Simon, however, was the standout candidate and hiring him remains one of the best decisions I have ever taken.
Despite his time as a special adviser in No 10 and in the private sector in the US, SImon has always been NHS to his core. But neither he nor I knew just how bumpy things would become with immense operational and financial pressures across the NHS and social care system.
Hospital acquired COVID-19 remains a major problem as it STILL accounts for 15% of COVID hospital patients: assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl… It remains the biggest undiscussed problem in the pandemic to date: a thread.
It was even worse: a paper by PHE and LSHTM for SAGE in January stated that 20-25% of infections in hospital patients in the first wave were hospital acquired: assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl…
Upper estimates of this data suggest that around 36,000 cases in the first wave were caught this way which could mean 8,000 deaths related to hospital acquired COVID occurred in that wave: dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9…
Deeply disappointed to hear UK govt is halving aid to Yemen. Timing is inexplicable with the UN warning only last week that Yemen faces the worst famine the world has seen for decades. In their words it is ‘falling off a cliff’. Thread...
In their appeal for MORE funding, the UN cited aid cuts from other countries last year which cut 4 million people off from food aid, who are now ‘in the long, slow, brutal, painful, agonizing process of starving to death’. washingtonpost.com/world/middle_e…
UNICEF say 2 million children are acutely malnourished and over 368,000 children under 5 are suffering from severe acute malnutrition. 1.7million children are internally displaced. Only 1 in 3 people have access to running water. unicef.org.uk/donate/yemen/
Why lockdown isn’t working fast enough and what we should do next: a thread..... Not just borders and monitoring new strains, but time to fix the biggest flaw in our current strategy, namely that three quarters of those with symptoms do not self-isolate.
6.3 million have had their first jab, infections are down 22% (7 day avg) & hospital patients 4% below Jan 18 peak. So why should we be cautious? hsj.co.uk/coronavirus/25…
The answer is uncertainty over new strains: whilst vaccine seems to work as well against UK/Kent strain, this may not be the case with the S African strain (already here) and the Brazilian strains (one of which is already here but not yet the Manaus one): reuters.com/article/uk-hea…