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Tara Moriarty Profile picture
@MoriartyLab
Sep 14, 2021 • 7 tweets • 4 min read • Read on X
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For example, see here hospitalizations/100K for Saskatchewan compared to Alberta (far right column).

These data are from @covid_canada Tracker.

SK is in worse shape for hospitalization than Alberta, with a lot fewer healthcare resources.
And here is the rate of full vaccination in Saskatchewan compared to Alberta and other Canadian regions.

The only region worse is Nunavut, which has major challenges with access due to its remote location.
Actives cases/100K are as high in Saskatchewan as in Alberta (look at the colour on this map from @covid_canada, not the numbers, which are total active cases in each province).

The preceding map was from @GovCanHealth
Here are cases/100K over last 14 days from @GovCanHealth

Saskatchewan is higher/comparable to Alberta.
@GovCanHealth Here are deaths/100K over last 14 days from @GovCanHealth

Alberta and Saskatchewan are the same
And a source of profound concern, Saskatchewan has seen by FAR the highest per capita rate of COVID-19 infections among First Nations peoples of any other region in Canada.

Cc @KindrachukJason @awong37 @angie_rasmussen in case this helps with advocacy for Saskatchewan

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More from @MoriartyLab

Tara Moriarty Profile picture
Apr 14
Canadian COVID Forecast Apr 13-26, 2024

CANADA

MODERATE (no change)

About 1 in every 75 people infected

Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:

-Infections ~4X higher
-Long COVID ~5X higher
-Hospitalizations ~5X higher
-Deaths ~2X higher This image describes the Canadian COVID Forecast for Apr 13-26, 2024 by COVID-19 Resources Canada. Canada’s COVID Forecast outlook is MODERATE (no change) with a COVID INDEX SCORE of 3.55 About 1 of every 75 people is infected. Estimated infections this week: 275,500-469,000 How much higher are key indicators compared to the lowest point in the COVID pandemic in Canada? Waste water, infections: MODERATE; 4.12X higher Long COVID estimate: HIGH; 5.03X higher Hospitalizations, ICU: MODERATE; 4.87X higher Deaths: MODERATE; 1.66X higher HOW TO HELP: EVERYONE: UPDATE vaccines every 6 months WEAR ...
Prévisions régionales sur la COVID-19 se trouvent ici :

Canadian COVID Forecast Apr 13-26, 2024

NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR

MODERATE (no change)

About 1 in every 75 people infected

Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:

-Infections ~4X higher
-Long COVID ~5X higher
-Hospitalizations ~7X higher
-Deaths ~3X higher This image describes the Canadian COVID Forecast for Apr 13-26, 2024 by COVID-19 Resources Canada. Newfoundland & Labrador’s COVID Forecast outlook is MODERATE (no change) with a COVID INDEX SCORE of 4.46 About 1 of every 75 people is infected. Estimated infections this week: 3,700-6,300 How much higher are key indicators compared to the lowest point in the COVID pandemic in Canada? Waste water, infections: MODERATE; 4.01X higher Long COVID estimate: HIGH; 5.01X higher Hospitalizations, ICU: HIGH; 6.79X higher Deaths: MODERATE; 2.58X higher HOW TO HELP: EVERYONE: UPDATE vaccines every 6 mon...
Read 17 tweets
Tara Moriarty Profile picture
Apr 5
People have been asking about accounts to follow for H5N1 info.

Here are accounts that provide excellent, fast, thorough and judicious reporting and H5N1 discussions on Twitter geared toward people who are not technical experts

@HelenBranswell @Laurie_Garrett

cont'd...
@HelenBranswell @Laurie_Garrett @DelthiaRicks @weese_scott @deonandan @NGrandvaux @ProMED_mail (technical)

The wonderful @MackayIM is still here, but his account is now closed.
@HelenBranswell @Laurie_Garrett @DelthiaRicks @weese_scott @deonandan @NGrandvaux @ProMED_mail @MackayIM These are just a few people whose accounts I keep an eye on regularly to help me catch up/point me toward emerging info--they often share other good info and discussions.
Read 5 tweets
Tara Moriarty Profile picture
Mar 31
Canadian COVID Forecast Mar 30-Apr 12, 2024

CANADA

MODERATE (no change)

About 1 in every 139 people infected

Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:

-Infections ~4X higher
-Long COVID ~3X higher
-Hospitalizations ~5X higher
-Deaths ~4X higher This image describes the Canadian COVID Forecast for Mar 30-Apr 12, 2024 by COVID-19 Resources Canada. Canada’s COVID Forecast outlook is MODERATE (no change) with a COVID INDEX SCORE of 4.45 About 1 of every 139 people is infected. Estimated infections this week: 68,900-249,100 How much higher are key indicators compared to the lowest point in the COVID pandemic in Canada? Waste water, infections: MODERATE; 4.12X higher Long COVID estimate: MODERATE; 3.19X higher Hospitalizations, ICU: HIGH; 5.15X higher Deaths: MODERATE; 4.09X higher HOW TO HELP: EVERYONE: UPDATE vaccines every 6 months W...
Prévisions régionales sur la COVID-19 se trouvent ici :

Canadian COVID Forecast Mar 30-Apr 12, 2024

NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR

HIGH (no change)

About 1 in every 151 people infected

Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:

-Infections ~5X higher
-Long COVID ~3X higher
-Hospitalizations ~8X higher
-Deaths ~6X higher This image describes the Canadian COVID Forecast for Mar 30-Apr 12, 2024 by COVID-19 Resources Canada. Newfoundland & Labrador’s COVID Forecast outlook is HIGH (no change) with a COVID INDEX SCORE of 6.12 About 1 of every 151 people is infected. Estimated infections this week: 850-3,100 How much higher are key indicators compared to the lowest point in the COVID pandemic in Canada? Waste water, infections: MODERATE; 4.90X higher Long COVID estimate: MODERATE; 2.91X higher Hospitalizations, ICU: HIGH; 7.55X higher Deaths: HIGH; 5.91X higher HOW TO HELP: EVERYONE: UPDATE vaccines every 6 mont...
Read 17 tweets
Tara Moriarty Profile picture
Mar 17
Canadian COVID Forecast: Mar 16-29, 2024

SEVERE: SK
VERY HIGH: MB, NL
HIGH: CAN, AB, BC, NB, North, NS, ON, QC, PEI
ELEVATED: none
MODERATE: none
LOW: none

About 1 in 47 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected. This image shows a series of gauges with the Mar 16-29, 2024 COVID Forecast scores for Canada, the provinces, and territories. Read from left to right: Canada: 9.0 - HIGH Alberta: 6.8 - HIGH British Columbia: 9.4 - HIGH Manitoba: 13.0 - VERY HIGH New Brunswick: 8.5 - HIGH Newfoundland and Labrador: 11.2 - VERY HIGH North: 9.9 - HIGH Nova Scotia: 10.0 - HIGH Ontario: 8.2 - HIGH Prince Edward Island: 9.2 - HIGH Quebec: 8.6 - HIGH Saskatchewan: 16.1 - SEVERE All COVID Forecast input data and sources are available here: (https://covid19resources.ca/covid-hazard-index/) Forecast scores are gr...
Notre aperçu national en français :

WHAT'S NEW THIS WEEK?

The Forecast score is the lowest it's been since the start of Omicron. About 1 in 47 people in Canada is currently infected. Forecast scores are dropping 7%/week for Canada (-15 to +3%/week for all regions). Graph showing estimated new daily infections for Canada, the provinces, and territories (15-day rolling averages) Graph available at: https://covid19resources.ca/covid-hazard-index Page 18 (Infections)
Read 16 tweets
Tara Moriarty Profile picture
Feb 18
Canadian COVID Forecast: Feb 17-Mar 2, 2024

SEVERE: AB, BC, MB, NB, NL, NS, PEI, SK
VERY HIGH: CAN, North, ON, QC
HIGH: none
ELEVATED: none
MODERATE: none
LOW: none

About 1 in 47 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected. This image shows a series of gauges with the Feb 17-Mar 2, 2024 Hazard Index scores for Canada, the provinces, and territories. Read from left to right: Canada: 7.6 - VERY HIGH Alberta: 8.1 - SEVERE British Columbia: 9.2 - SEVERE Manitoba: 12.8 - SEVERE New Brunswick: 16.0 - SEVERE Newfoundland and Labrador: 9.3 - SEVERE North: 7.6 - VERY HIGH Nova Scotia: 9.5 - SEVERE Ontario: 6.7 - VERY HIGH Prince Edward Island: 8.1 - SEVERE Quebec: 6.1 - VERY HIGH Saskatchewan: 9.8 - SEVERE All Hazard Index input data and sources are available here (https://covid19resources.ca/covid-hazard-index/) Ha...
Notre aperçu national en français :

WHAT'S NEW THIS WEEK?

We're now seeing consistent decreases in most components of the Forecast (infections, healthcare system impact, deaths).

For the first time since August 2023, Canada and Ontario and Quebec have dropped below SEVERE.
Read 16 tweets
Tara Moriarty Profile picture
Feb 14
I'm not sure, based on things I learned with my parents, both of whom have/had dementia.
The first was my dad, who was firy and irascible and generous and thoughtful and sad. But who enjoyed irony. And was a patriarchal type at times.

My mom and brothers and I would have sworn he'd never want to live as a disempowered version of himself.

But that wasn't true.
The deliria were truly, gut-wrenchingly awful. I slept in ERs beside him every few weeks. He bellowed, swung his cane at people and stripped off all his clothes to walk around the ER (all 6ft 300lb of him). He was frightened and frightened people.
Read 48 tweets

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