Thread on Canadian excess deaths during #COVID19, round 3.
Why do I keep posting about this?
Because I'm worried we've missed a lot of C19 deaths outside LTC and that we may see many more during the 3rd wave because of slow rollout of vaccination of older adults in community.
When did I start thinking about this?
Last year, after reading a paper from @LauraCRosella & colleagues about excess mortality during first wave in Ontario, estimated from cremation data (which is reported fast and includes place of death information).
Actually, it dates back further, to a @CIHI_ICIS report on #COVID19 deaths in congregate care in #Canada, which found that 80% of deaths in the first wave were in congregate care (long-term care, retirement homes), which in turn is twice the OECD average.
Just sitting here, entering #COVID19#Canada data, wondering if I've missed any recent expressions of concern from certain premiers about the wisdom of recent re-opening decisions.
Oh, I don't know, maybe from premiers of QC, ON, MB, SK?
Why you ask?
@roussin_brent is looking forward to some light re-opening, when MB still has the highest per capita rate of #COVID19 hospitalizations in the country, a record held for months.
But look, SK might soon catch up.
Speaking of SK, @PremierScottMoe must be proud not only that SK is about to overtake MB for highest #COVID19 hospitalizations per capita in #Canada, but that SK is also just about to pass MB for total per capita cases in the epidemic.
1 in 56 BC
1 in 74 AB
1 in 75 SK
1 in 36 MB
1 in 43 ON
1 in 27 QC
1 of every 5 Cdns w/ C19 in long-term, personal care & retirement homes has died
There are 14,4457 LTC cases in last 28 days ⬇️
I'm simplifying these threads & will now show sliding window views of last 3 months of cumulative data for whole epidemic (except for province-specific summaries at end).
Rate of change graphs are provided for preceding 28 days to give a better sense of most recent dynamics.
Please note that though it's tempting to speculate about recent trends for long-term/personal care & retirement homes, reporting for this sector is VERY delayed & is almost always incomplete for preceding 3-4 weeks. The period of uncertainty is now highlighted in gray in graphs.
Many are feeling conflicted about posting vaccine selfies b/c of very real & important equity concerns.
But we cannot underestimate how important it is for people to see that we know the vaccines are safe & how life-changing it is to receive them.
I actually think we should keep posting these, but perhaps we can say that we'll only do this if simultaneously we advocate hard for transparent data reporting on progress on vaccination in vulnerable sectors, and then to improve this progress.
For example, here's QC is reporting daily on vaccination progress in high priority vulnerable sectors (example: cdn-contenu.quebec.ca/cdn-contenu/sa…). It's unacceptable that other provinces aren't doing this, b/c it allows them to hide progress on the most critical, widely accepted goals.
#Canadian scientists, science communicators, HCPs who vaccinate and is scientifically knowledgeable about #COVID19 vaccines
Are you frustrated by slow vaccination rates, vaccines being thrown out? Do you want to help now?
There one very big way we can help now.
Many HCWs scheduled to be vaccinated now are nervous about the vaccine and would like to be able to talk to knowledgeable experts and have supportive, non-judgemental discussions.
It is incredibly important that we provide support and information and conversation about the COVID vaccines to people who live, work in & visit long-term care and retirement homes in Canada. And we need to do it NOW.
Do you work, live in or visit a long-term/personal care or retirement home in #Canada, or do you know someone who does?
Are you worried about whether the #COVID19 vaccines are safe, and if you should take them?
If so, I'm starting a nightly Zoom session to answer questions.
If you'd like the link to attend, please email me: tara.moriarty(at)utoronto.ca.
If a lot of people want to attend, my first priority right now is people associated w/ LTC/retirement homes.
Je suis (pas mal) bilingue. Alors, je suis capable de discuter en francais.
I'll do the sessions at 8 p.m. Eastern time, so it's not too late for Atlantic folks, but also late enough for many people on the West coast to be home from shifts. I'll do the sessions on weekends too so that as many people as possible can attend.