I was going to make this Tulare County but it has Yes up 11.
It's fun to actually get to dig into California politics instead of just being like "how many seats did the GOP hold".
But, anyway, while this will narrow a bit, the outcome seems clear and un-close. If someone says to you, "yeah because of fraud," you may laugh at them.
I'll write about this tomorrow, but a process that can be initiated with a big infusion of money that ends up failing by a healthy margin is not a good peg for a "but there are warning signs" story.
If you have spent more than, say, 8 minutes exploring how the signature-gathering process for ballot initiatives work, you very quickly understand how useful it is in gauging public support.
Oh, minimum, yes. People just sign things! People like the idea of weighing in! There are a lot of people to choose from! The signature-gatherers are just trying to hit a target! And on and on and on!

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More from @pbump

14 Sep
(stolen from @mattgertz)
For those asking if it's real: yes.
Read 4 tweets
12 Sep
The image here, which one might call tone-deaf with some understatement, is about a decade old. (1/)
It appears to be by an artist named Dave Maestrejuan. (2/) maestrejuan.com/Dave_Maestreju…
He made it for the Orange County Fair in 2011, as he explains on his blog. (3/) maestrejuanart.blogspot.com/2011/07/orange…
Read 7 tweets
10 Sep
Here you can see the increase in pediatric hospitalizations and how it overlaps with vaccination rates — but, importantly, children are still far less likely to wind up facing such a severe outcome. washingtonpost.com/politics/2021/…
I wrote this piece because I worry a lot, often irrationally, about my own kids. Looking at the numbers assuaged that, if only temporarily.
Here's a more temporally constrained set of data looking at cases, hospitalizations and deaths. Kids are the orange parts, barely visible even now in the latter two graphs. washingtonpost.com/politics/2021/…
Read 4 tweets
6 Aug
CNN evaluates Mike Lindell's claims and barely leaves anything left for vultures to pick. cnn.com/2021/08/05/pol…
Mike Lindell's arguments were always completely ridiculous and this entire thing has always had the distinct odor of hustlers finding in him a perfect mark. All he's done for months is unwittingly bring other people into the con.
Yoooo this is like pulling Marshall McLuhan out from behind the sign in the movie-theater lobby and then pulling out all of his source documents and then pulling out the people who invented all the words he used.
Read 4 tweets
3 Aug
Everything about this often-cringey statement suggests that Cuomo thinks this is survivable.
Oh, man, he's now trying to position himself as a champion of women in the workplace.
Which, again, is precisely the way he tried to frame his wanting a state trooper to join his personal detail before he allegedly harassed her. washingtonpost.com/politics/2021/…
Read 4 tweets
14 Jul
So I got a DM. This one, from someone I don't know. (1/)
I look at the bio and notice that the handsome photo and generic name are accompanied by a vague bio. (2/)
So I Google him. Not much comes up. Seems that the account used to be "JonMarrCNN" but isn't any more. No bylines at CNN. (3/)
Read 14 tweets

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