A thread about my current view on the main drivers for #HBAR’s price appreciation. I also try to make some predictions about the potential price increase triggered by each of the following events, based (sometimes) on the historical price evolution at similar announcements.
1/19
1. "Step function" goes into action. Timeframe: probably by the end of the year (Leemon and Mance said that the increase in the number of transactions per second will take everyone by surprise). Potential price increase: 50% - 100%;
2/19
2.Use-cases are to be launched AND PROMOTED by Council Members. Timeframe: could happen at any time; Potential price increase: 10% - 50% for each use-case;
3/19
3.Listing on Coinbase! When I started accumulating, I set out to buy hbar until it was listed on Coinbase. Potential to increase the price: 100% - 300% in the first 5 days after listing.
4/19
4.Listing on other exchanges in the TOP 10. Timeframe: could happen at any time; Potential price increase: 20% - 50% per exchange;
5/19
5.Addition of the next 16 Council Members. Timeframe: 1 per month; Potential price increase: 10% - 100% per Council Member;
6/19
6.Launch of NFT.com. Timeframe: could happen at any time; Potential price increase: 25% - 50%;
7/19
7.The fact that we reach the Top 30 will make us much more visible in the eyes of investors. It ensures constant liquidity, and investors will be much more relaxed, thus making the supply not grow as fast as the demand. Timeframe: Imminent;
8/19
8.Staking implementation; Timeframe: by the end of the year; Potential price increase: 100% - 200%;
9/19
9.Sharding implementation; Timeframe: by the end of the year; Potential price increase: 50% - 100%;
10/19
10.Zero downtime for maintenance. Timeframe: probably by the end of the year; Potential price increase: 10% - 50%;
11/19
11.The transition from the current Beta version to Version 1. Timeframe: could happen at any time after 0 downtime for maintenance; Potential price increase: 10% - 50%;
12/19
12.The important announcement at the celebration of 2 years of Hedera Mainnet! Potential for price increase: depends on the announcement...
13/19
13.The strong evolution of the BTC, especially if the first BTC ETF is launched this year Potential for price increase: might be 100% for the entire crypto market.
14/19
14.The strong evolution of the crypto market, as a result of the economic stimuli (inflation) in the USA and in general the inflation in each national economy. It guarantees the growth of the crypto market as a whole. The lack of major military conflicts is a big plus.
15/19
15.Increasing adoption of Tokenization, NFTs and CBDCs. A CBDC announcement on Hedera could increase the price by…who knows? 10,000%?
16/19
16.Where else could I invest that capital for a better return, with a better risk / reward ratio?
17/19
Conclusion: Why risk selling too early, hoping to be able to buy cheaper at a later time and have a profit of 20% - 40% when there are so many factors that will eventually lead the price to over 10 USD / hbar (1 - 3 years)?
18/19
Did I forget any obvious drivers for #HBAR’s price increase?
19/19