Thread by @FPL_Architect

GW 5 Thread:

- GW 4 Notes
- Fixture to target
- Player recommendation
- Player to avoid
- Worth consideration
- Clean sheet probabilities
- Captaincy
- Differentials

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GW 4 Notes - Teams 📝

🟠 Wolves - Played great again, a team to focus on with a great fixture run coming up.

⚫️ Newcastle - 4 goals conceded again, definitely a team to target.

🔴 Liverpool - Playing incredible at the moment. A triple up of Salah, Trent and Jota looks ideal.

GW 4 Notes - Players 📝

🔵 Lukaku - The striker that Chelsea needed. 2 great goals - more to come!

🔴 Ronaldo - Back with a bang! Took a lot of shots and will definitely be very involved in the United attack.

GW 5 Fixture to target

🔴 LIV vs CRY

Liverpool are unbeaten so far this season, with a goal difference of 9-1 in 4 games. They’re always strong at Anfield, so this game should result in an easy win for the Reds.

GW 5 Player recommendation:

Nelson Semedo missed 2 big chances in GW 4, and kept a clean sheet. His amazing attacking threat combined with the great CS potential and Wolves superb fixture run makes him a great pick.

GW 5 Player to avoid:

Demarai Gray might look like an incredible FPL asset. Cheap, 3 goals in 3 games and good fixtures. But be aware of the fact that Gray only has an xG of 0.91 this season, which indicates a significant overperformance. Don’t expect too much from him.

GW 5 Worth consideration:

Michail Antonio is suspended and will miss the game vs Man Utd in GW 5, but before you decide on whether to sell him or not, consider that he faces Leeds and Brentford in GW 6 and 7.

Two appealing fixtures against leaky defences, both are games where Antonio definitely can haul. So don’t automatically decide to sell him, you’re likely to regret it in the following GWs.

GW 5 Top 10 Clean sheet probabilities:

MCI: 58%
LIV: 55%
WOL: 50%
CHE: 43%
ARS: 38%
NOR: 38%
MUN: 36%
AVL: 31%
BHA: 31%
LEI: 31%

[@FPL_Salah]

GW 5 Captaincy

1) Mohamed Salah - 💰12.5
Fixture: CRY (H)

Mo Salah has averaged an xGI of 1.07 per game this season, and scored his 100th PL goal last week. Going up against Palace this GW, he is the clear standout captain.

2) Cristiano Ronaldo - 💰12.5
Fixture: WHU (A)

With 2 goals against Newcastle in GW 4, Ronaldo proved how good he’ll be as an FPL asset. West Ham (A), isn’t an unappealing fixture so Ronaldo is definitely a viable captaincy choice this GW.

3) Romelu Lukaku - 💰11.5
Fixture: TOT (A)

Lukaku scored twice in GW 4 and once in the UCL game mid-week. Going up against a Spurs side missing Tanganga and Dier, Lukaku is very much a captainable player.

GW 5 Captaincy - Differential

Sadio Mané - 💰11.9
Fixture: CRY (H)

Mané recorded 10 shots and an xG of 2.0 against Leeds in GW 4, and the always dangerous winger has a great GW 5 fixture, Palace (H). A great differential captain.

GW 5 Differential picks:

1️⃣ Sadio Mané - 💰11.9
Owned by: 2.7%
Fixture: CRY (H)

2️⃣ Jack Harrison - 💰5.8
Owned by: 2.4%
Fixture: NEW (A)

3️⃣ Ismaila Sarr - 💰6.0
Owned by: 5.2%
Fixture: NOR (A)

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GW 5 Bus Team 🚌

1 FT, £3.1m ITB

Currently leaning towards these moves ⤵️

Tsimikas ➡️ Semedo
Benrahma ➡️ Jota (-4)

Thanks for reading this thread, I hope you found it interesting!

This was the fifth of 38 parts, I will write a GW Thread every week this season. If you liked the format, drop a follow for more threads like this 🙌

♻️ ❤️ appreciated

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