Summer 2021 was exceptionally hot when compared to a summer average from 1951-1980.
But it felt cold in large parts of Europe? This map must be wrong?
It turns out, 'how we feel' can be explained - without data, we are just opinions.
A thread...
Let's start by comparing summer of 2021 to a more recent average of 1981-2010.
Already looking less fiery and red. This basically tells us that the summers between 1981 and 2010 were warmer than those between 1951-1980.
But what about Summer 2021 vs the 21st century average so far?
The reds in western Europe erode and essentially we learn that the summer in 2021 was nothing special compared to this average (but is still considerably warmer than 1951-1980 average for example).
This is where it gets interesting though...
Summer 2021 is a good bit colder than the average of the last 3 summers for western Europe. We have had a lot of hot weather in recent years! Our perception of what is actually warm and cool has changed.
Essentially, a few hot summers recently makes this summer look quite cool. Basically, our 'cool' summer is still a lot warmer than what was considered normal 50-100 years ago for example.
Both maps show exactly the same underlying data
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Insane full-winter scenes emerging from Austria right now. The historic September storm in Central Europe is delivering record cold, record early deep snow and heavy flooding rains.
This is Obertauern (resort elevation range 1600-2500 m).
The storm came as no surprise. Weather models were in good agreement that exceptional cold, snow, rain and wind would impact Central Europe several days in advance. Austria is in the bullseye.
Unusually strong cold is pouring south out of the Arctic into Europe right now. This is an ideal setup for deep fresh snow accumulations in the Alps and flooding in Central Europe.
This is about as cold as it gets this early in September.
Incredible contrast in temperatures.
This map shows how much cooler (🔵) or warmer (🔴) it is compared to average at this time of year.
This is one weather model estimation for fresh snow totals in the coming days. Well over 1 metre of fresh snow for the upper Austrian Alps expected with some places probbaly exceeding 2 metres.
Very impressive weather pattern in Europe right now.
Strong easterly winds and hot in Central/Northern Europe meanwhile heavy rain plagues the west with much cooler conditions. The heat is breaking records (for this time of year).
THREAD
Many monthly heat records set in Germany 🇩🇪 yesterday... Beating some records which have stood for a long time (1895). Great summary here by @EKMeteo which links to comments by official @DWD_presse
@EKMeteo @DWD_presse It appears Norway has broken September national heat record, final numbers to be confirmed.
Impressive foehn effect to the west of high ground. The dry easterly winds in southern Norway is ideal setup for incredible temperatures in unusual places.
Some places in Europe didn't just record their warmest February on record.... They went on to beat their warmest MARCH temperature levels.
[THREAD]
Effectively everywhere in the dark red shading smashed warmest February record - most by large margin. Austria 🇦🇹 has over 250 years of temperature record and nothing compares to this. Not even close.