Marsilio Musing Profile picture
Sep 19, 2021 6 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Few TA charts

Both BTC & ETH made lower highs at the 61% Fib

Which is especially interesting because Virgo (Sun in) trading theme is failed highs, lower highs esp at 61% per my google sheet :)

Merc trine Jup should fling up but I'll be surprised at higher, then down after
Good one - SPX with DeMark pivots only 2014-current

Several key turns on these

With RSI and YR1 reached, decent drop should be underway

With astro think it goes further

Also, don't fight the Fed! (FOMC officials selling stocks widely reported)
VIX

My favorite confirming indicator, VIX is above 2 pivots, MP & QP

Usually pays to be defensive & then be buying back or taking off hedges as VIX drops under pivots again - has worked so many times
However, the ETFs that are tied to short term VIX futures, are 'not yet'

VXX hasn't lifted above its monthly pivot yet - people who know this vehicle understand its severe decay. But, MACD signal +!
SVXY (inverse to VIX) sitting on its monthly pivot - key tell for this week

This is a savvy way of adding leverage but you do have to scram when there is trouble because this will drop hard

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More from @MarsilioMusing

Mar 30, 2023
Astro (advanced)

Astro market data is often compelling, but also slippery, and it resists typical quant approaches.

Why?

Because the planets are always kaleidoscopically changing! The planet backdrop changes, & data changes - and this often makes sense from the astro view.
For example, how much data do we have for Moon in Cancer over the last 15 years that does NOT have an opposition to Pluto by sign?

Answer - almost none, this condition just started THIS WEEK!
Similarly, Saturn out of Aquarius also impacts Uranus, because Saturn in Aquarius was square Uranus by sign. And now that is fully out of the way, Uranus aspects might act differently!
Read 5 tweets
Oct 20, 2022
Financial Advisor🧵

US Gov't: trust us, eat lots of carbs & low protein & fat, it is the way to avoid heart disease
Result: Americans fatter & sicker than ever

Healthcare & Pharmaceuticals: trust us, take these pills, they are the only way to treat your condition
Result: ditto
Private Education: trust us, the cost of this degree will be worth the investment
Result: generations saddled with extreme student debt for decades

Financial Advisors: trust us, buy and hold is the only way. We will protect you with a diversified portfolio.
Result: see next
Result of following typical financial advisor advice was missing most gains in last 10 years as US tech was nearly the only thing winning, and FAs don't like to put all in 1 sector. Diversification into Europe, emerging markets, whatever, did not pay.
Read 7 tweets
Oct 14, 2022
Chief Strategist at Schwab saying yesterday's rally driven by "algorithms trading on technical indicators"

She is right! Which ones though? (see next)
NDX YS2 tag first touch since 2008 - green crosses touched yday

2020 Covid crash low NDX YS1
2016 correction low also NDX YS1

YS2s always below YS1s
NDX backing up now to show 2008-2016

major lows 2011 & 2015 on pivots (orange) not below

2008 reached YS3 and below though
Read 4 tweets
Oct 5, 2022
It's funny that after being pounding table bearish from 8/18 all the way to 9/28-30, and calling for a bounce week this week

It seems I did not nail it enough

Look, whether final low is in remains to be seen

I did not say this week would go lower however
9/28 FIRST TIME I started talking about turn

DXY high, VIX high, ZN ZB (bond futures) low remains 9/28

While maintaining that Friday would tank stocks & cryptos with FOMC chatter about inflation - nailed for Indexes
After looking at some other finastro / furu content out of curiosity, I realize that I set an impossibly high bar for myself

other finastros - this aspect up, but that aspect down - nearly always, sadly
Read 4 tweets
Oct 3, 2022
Saturn sqr Uranus charts

DJI 1900-current

1900-25
squares orange so marking wx for waxing and wn for waning

both of these involved in BOTH rallies & drops Image
1925-1950
waxing square involved in great depression crash so some of the stereotypes are because of this

next one (conjunction) also near a major low!

ps, for great depression I could also say Neptune out of Leo; major events like this have multiple factors Image
1950-1975

if you thought you had it pegged as bearish market was about to fool you

next 2 up

btw - hard aspects only on these charts, 0, 90, 180, 270, 10' applying Image
Read 5 tweets
Sep 24, 2022
Who wants to make some $? 🧵

The case for high leverage BTC short play for overnight in charts ahead

Also note Moon is applying to square Mars, exact about 1:50 PM ET - and this really should drop nearby to confirm Mars not being influenced positively by trine to Saturn yet
Moon in Virgo worst by far - here showing 2022 data but can go back further in time as well
Moon through terms
2022 data

Mars worst

This is showing all Moon signs together
Read 6 tweets

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