Pediatric COVID and Flu Deaths 
The burden estimates are the best measure of flu for many reasons explained by CDC:
cdc.gov/flu/about/burd…
Given hypertesting and the any-cause-of-death-after-positive-test definition, we have the opposite problem of overascertainment for COVID.
cdc.gov/flu/about/burd…
Given hypertesting and the any-cause-of-death-after-positive-test definition, we have the opposite problem of overascertainment for COVID.
They do have the statistically modeled COVID pediatric deaths, 332 through May:
cdc.gov/coronavirus/20…
But the footnote explains they didn't run the usual flu statistical model, but rather used the death cert count as a floor and ran the model on other deaths.
cdc.gov/coronavirus/20…
But the footnote explains they didn't run the usual flu statistical model, but rather used the death cert count as a floor and ran the model on other deaths.
Per CDC analysis of 2020 death certs, only 2.5% of all death certs in the COVID count had a cause of death not plausibly connected to COVID.
But that figure was much higher for younger age groups: 35.2% under age 18 and 10.2% 18 to 29.
cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/7…
But that figure was much higher for younger age groups: 35.2% under age 18 and 10.2% 18 to 29.
cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/7…
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