Thread by @FPL_Architect

GW 6 Thread:

- GW 5 Notes
- Fixture to target
- Player recommendation
- Player to avoid
- Worth consideration
- Clean sheet probabilities
- Captaincy
- Differentials

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GW 5 Notes - Teams 📝

🔵 Chelsea - Another great performance and win, massive game vs Man City in GW 6.

🟠 Wolves - Weak performance. A fair win for Brentford, up to Wolves to get back to it against Southampton.

🔴 Man Utd - Keep winning despite not playing extremely good 🤔

GW 5 Notes - Players 📝

🔵 Alonso - Another attacking return, is the left back spot his now?

⚪️ Raphinha - 8-pointer but still should have gotten much more. Keeps looking like a great FPL asset.

🟡 Sarr - 2 goals, Newcastle and Leeds coming up next 👀

GW 6 Fixture to target

🔴 MUN vs AVL

Man United, with 13 goals in 5 games, face Aston Villa at home in a game that should end with a win for The Red Devils. Ronaldo, Bruno and Greenwood are all captainable this GW.

GW 6 Player recommendation:

Ismaila Sarr scored twice against Norwich in GW 5 and with good upcoming fixtures, he’s a player you should be looking to bring in. Newcastle and Leeds, his GW 6 & 7 opponents rank 19th and 20th for xGC this season.

GW 6 Player to avoid:

Mason Mount may look like a great FPL asset for Chelsea’s fixture run, but Tuchel loves to rotate and Mount got subbed off at half time in GW 5. It’s also worth noting that he’s only averaged an xG of 0.15 per game this season, numbers that don’t impress.

GW 6 Worth consideration:

GW 7 and 8 include a lot of major fixture swings so if you want to keep your wildcard or have already played it, you need to make long term moves. Roll your transfer or move early for Chelsea assets despite the tough GW 6 fixture.

GW 6 Top 10 Clean sheet probabilities:

LEI: 48%
EVE: 45%
LIV: 45%
MUN: 44%
BHA: 36%
ARS: 33%
CRY: 33%
WAT: 33%
CHE: 31%
MCI: 31%

[@FPL_Salah]

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GW 6 Captaincy

1) Cristiano Ronaldo - 💰12.7
Fixture: AVL (H)

Ronaldo has recorded an xG of 3.32 in his first 2 PL games for Man Utd (Small sample size), which is very impressive. He has had 12 shots in the box and considering these stats, I do expect him to score again in GW 6

2) Mohamed Salah - 💰12.6
Fixture: BRE (A)

Salah is always a great captaincy choice, especially when facing a promoted side. However, it should be mentioned that Brentford only have averaged an xGC of 0.67 per game this season, indicating defensive stability.

3) Michail Antonio - 💰7.9
Fixture: LEE (A)

Only Newcastle are worse than Leeds defensively this season, judging by xGC. This presents a great opportunity for a fully rested Michail Antonio to grab another goal or two, making him a solid captaincy option.

GW 6 Captaincy - Differential

Sadio Mané - 💰11.9
Fixture: BRE (A)

Mané already has 4 goal involvements this season, despite missing 3 big chances. I’m aware that he’s not easy to bring in but if you own him, giving him the captaincy armband is a nice differential option.

GW 6 Differential picks:

1️⃣ Harvey Barnes - 💰6.8
Owned by: 4.4%
Fixture: BUR (H)

2️⃣ Andros Townsend - 💰5.4
Owned by: 1.9%
Fixture: NOR (H)

3️⃣ Joshua King - 💰5.5
Owned by: 0.5%
Fixture: NEW (H)

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GW 6 Bus Team 🚌

Pretty set on rolling the transfer this week.

Although, if Greenwood starts tonight I might sell him for Sarr. However, that would mean no Lukaku in GW 7.

Thanks for reading this thread, I hope you found it interesting!

This was the sixth of 38 parts, I will write a GW Thread every week this season. If you liked the format, drop a follow for more threads like this 🙌

♻️ ❤️ appreciated

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