Not the best week as I had a 33k drop this week, overall a decent start to the season
GW 5 Fixtures (% of winning):
MUN - 70%
LIV - 66%
LEI - 64%
EVE - 61%
ARS - 42%
WAT - 41%
WHU - 40%
BHA- 38%
SOU - 37%
CHE- 36%
LEE - 35%
MCI - 36%
WOL - 34%
CRY - 33%
NEW - 32%
TOT - 31%
NOR - 15%
BRE - 14%
BUR - 14%
AVL - 13%
Upcoming fixture ease
▪️CHELSEA
The most impressive team in the league - 12 goals scored, only 1 conceded and yet to lose a game. They have an excellent run of fixtures from GW7, managers will need to plan to get 3 of their players in.
▪️WOLVES
They haven’t had the best start to the season so far, however it is hard to ignore their favourable run of fixtures from now until December. Even so, I am limiting ownership of players from this team until they begin to show some form.
▪️ARSENAL
They have won the last 2 games and are starting to climb the league. They have some bargain players within the team which could act as enablers for the more premium attacking players!
▪️LEEDS
Leeds have been winless for 5 games now. Despite this, I still think their attack is worth investing in - the likes of Raphinha, Bamford, Harrision and possibly even Dan James are worth looking into.
Players to target
▪️DEFENDERS
Alonso (5.8) [CHE]:
- Excellent fixtures
- Started all league games
- Plays for the joint best defence in the league!
- 9 shots, 6 inside the box, inc. 1 big chance
- Most points accumulated from a def this season
- More goals and assists to come
Cancelo (6.0 [MCY]:
- Played every second in the league so far
- Plays for the joint best defence in the league
- Can play left or right back
- 4 straight clean sheets including an attacking return
- 9 shots including 2 in the box and 1 big chance
- 10% owned
▪️MIDFIELDERS
Sarr (6.1) [WAT]:
- Next 2 fixtures are strong
- Watfords key player
- 13 shots, 11 inside the box with 4 big chances
- Highest expected goals for a midfielder under 10m
Trincao (5.9) [WOL]:
- Excellent run of fixtures ahead
- Has been unlucky with returns
- 12 shots, 8 inside the box with 2 big chances
- Actual points (12) significantly less than xPoints (25.4)
▪️ATTACKERS
Bamford (LEE) [8.0]:
- An excellent run of games
- Leeds main source of goals
- Key to the way Leeds play!
- 2nd most shots inside the box and 2 big chances
▪️Captaincy Options
This week there are 3 standout captains:
1️⃣ Salah (12.5) [LIV]:
- Odds to score 53%
- 22 shots (2nd),
- 13 on target (1st)
- xGoals 3.85 (1st)
- 4 goals and 3 assists
vs Brentford (a) - playing against the best defence (outside the top 4)
2️⃣ Antonio (7.9) [WHM]:
- Odds to score 41%
- 18 shots, including 15 in the box
- 6 big chances
- 4 goals and 4 assists
- 39 points from 4 (2nd), playing 1 less than most other players
vs Leeds (a) - playing against the team with the 3rd worst defence in the league
3️⃣ Ronaldo (12.6) [MUN]:
- Odds to score 61%
- 13 shots, inc. 12 in the box
- 2 games, 3 goals
- stats over the last 2 games are better than any other attacker in the league (within same period)
vs AST (h) - Villa haven’t won away this season & have conceded 6 goals in 2 games
Preview of my Team
After a mediocre GW last week its easy to want to change things around, however my current thoughts are to stick to my plan and roll the transfer. This may change later in the week and if it does, I will share this ahead of the deadline…
…I am currently torn between Mo Salah and Ronaldo for my captain. I am leaning towards Salah though as he is fully rested, playing against a promoted team, in great form and his stats are insane.
Thank you for reading this thread.
Retweet and like if you found this thread helpful 💚
Good luck 🙌
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
Since I can remember, I have always wildcarded early, I have several reasons for this, to name a few:
- Gives me a few weeks to analyse teams/players
- Have players from teams that have an easier fixture schedule to start with.....
- Allows me to start strong
- Gains momentum
- Can take short term punts where necessary
- Can jump on new signings if they start well namely (Sancho, Kane, Lukaku)
My plan is to keep it simple back the favourites to go through. The teams this round I expect to go through are:
To win%
England - 69%
Spain - 59%
Denmark - 48%
Belgium/Italy -28%/42% - will be backing Belgium in this one 👍
England
They have the best defence in the tournament – not conceded a goal and have arguably the easiest passage to the final. I would recommend 2 defenders (minimum) and I would use my quota of players from England – biggest favourites this weekend and they are heavily backed.
Thread – Players I would look to bring in for the next round of games if i was using a chip or considering my free transfers. I’ll cover defence&attack & support with Stats, form & fixtures! a full list of player returns can be found here cutt.ly/innN7Hd @drafthound
Gk/Def
England –C/S prob 58% - Tripper – on set pieces therefore could pick up Assists/Goals, scored at the last international championships!
France – C/S 55% - one of the best teams in the competition – back 5 all viable options
Ukraine – C/S 45% -underrated team, good fixture
GK/def contin.
Belgium – C/S 40% - excellent in their first game - Meunier looks certain to start after scoring and assisting in the first game - could score big again
Other notable players – Gosens, Dumfries and Spinnazola – Huge Attacking Threats