There’s going to be all sorts of analysis of the AZ “audit” report that’s being officially released tomorrow, which is more attention than it deserves. But at least this exercise in low-rent clownery reached the same conclusion about the outcome as the adult audits did.
Again - and this is the critical take-away here that I fear will be lost in the noise - the “Cyber Ninja Audit” has nothing in common with the rigorous Risk Limiting Audits recommended by experts (and which should be done after every election routinely).
Meaningful election audits are a well-defined process that provides quantifiable assurance that the reported outcomes match the ballots cast. The AZ fiasco, on the other hand, was an open-ended attempt to cast doubt on a valid outcome. And it failed even at that.
The report will, no doubt, reveal trivial and non-substantive discrepancies in records and processes. But ANY election, a huge logistical operation carried out by tens of thousands of (largely temporary) workers under enormous time pressure, has small errors. That’s not unusual.
The relevant questions - the only questions - are whether there was actual fraud and whether any errors affected the outcome. Not whether humans in an inherently imperfect process ever acted imperfectly.
US election security doesn’t fit a clean narrative. There *are* vulnerabilities in much of our election infrastructure, and safeguards like paper ballots and RLAs need to be universal. At the same time, there’s no evidence technical attacks have ever altered an election outcome.
This is why exaggerations here, whether in good faith or bad, are so toxic. The answer to claims that “there are vulnerabilities, therefore this election was stolen” is not to dig in on an equally false claim that “there are no vulnerabilities”.
The truth is that there’s been *enormous* progress making US elections more secure in recent years. Inherently vulnerable DRE machines are rapidly becoming obsolete, which is great. But there’s still work to do.
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“I used to respect you but then you were mean to my blockchain voting idea”.
Just a suggestion. If I post a link with for a good starting point for learning about improving election security: nap.edu/catalog/25120/…
and you respond with a “solution" that contradicts several of its recommendations, I’m going to assume you’re unserious.
It’s fine to disagree with the experts. But if you propose something that contradicts the experts consensus without engaging with their recommendations or explaining what you think they're wrong about and why, you’re likely to be disappointed with the response you get.
If you’re demanding hand marked paper ballots and not also demanding routine post-election risk limiting audits, you don’t understand what you’re demanding.
Want to understand how to meaningfully improve election integrity? Start here: nap.edu/catalog/25120/…
How ballots are marked is meaningless if the tally system is compromised. Fortunately, Risk Limiting Audits are a recognized, reliable way to ensure correct election outcomes even if the tally system is maliciously tampered with, but they aren’t yet routinely done in most states.
The laser focus by some activists on demanding hand-marked ballots (which are already used in a large number of states) is unfortunate given that RLAs are at least equally important but much less common.
Election security is really simple if you just ignore the requirements and the logistics.
Examples of election things that are very convenient to ignore:
- Ballot secrecy
- The US constitution
- State and territorial election law
- Funding
- Voters with accessibility needs
- Usability
- Election logistics
- Geography
One of the most common misconceptions about US elections is that they’re the same across the country. In fact, there are over 5000 election jurisdictions (mostly counties) in the US, governed by 50+ state/territorial election laws. Each one does things a little differently.
A blockchain voting guy informs me that he’d can’t take me or any other actual experts on elections seriously because we’re obviously “bigoted” against his favorite data structure. We should probably also smile more.
Data structures have feelings too.
I’ve been contacted by at least FOUR aspirational blockchain voting startups on recent weeks. Must be something in the kool-aid.
By debating extremists about basic, obvious facts (that Covid is dangerous, that US elections aren’t rigged by Venezuelan hackers, etc) you’re giving credence to the notion that these things are debatable. That’s exactly what they want.
A disease that’s killing hundreds of thousands of Americans is dangerous. Vaccines work. US elections aren’t rigged. The Earth isn’t flat. We went to the moon, and back.
If you don’t already believe these things, I can’t convince you. You need help and pity, not fake “debate”.
My election security colleagues and I spent months meticulously refuting, point-by-point, utterly lunatic claims of how the 2020 election was supposedly stolen. Now they’re gearing to make the same claims, presumably with slight adjustments, about the California recall election.