Thread by @ZiadFazel

#COVID19AB Balanced Scorecard
Thu 23 Sep

Sorry for late start on this - was watching today's @PopAlberta broadcast for a third time. So many good shows there 👀

youtube.com/channel/UCXWbl…

Last night between 4.16pm and 10.12pm, I assembled a monster Balanced Scorecard thread (rope?) of 31 tweets.

I wanted to give extra attention:
• We're becoming 2 different Albertas with COVID-19
• Non-ICU Wards have become ICU to prevent triage

👀

https://twitter.com/ZiadFazel/status/1440802129824792581?s=20

Finished reading ALL of it?

I'm going to build on it a bit. Remember my analogy that covid-19 under bad government is like riding a canoe on a rollercoaster?

We have two canoes now.
• Calgary and Edmonton, leading/front going down
• Rest of Alberta, leading/front going up.

Example: Test Positivity

AB average going down, now 10.33%
• dominated by Calgary Zone down to 6.95% and Edmonton Zone 8.35%
• while rest of Alberta goes up
• Central 16.3%, North 19.37%, 14.24% and rising

alberta.ca/stats/covid-19…

Despite the divergence:
• which is both an outcome of divide-and-conquer strategy by our Premier
• and also enables more
• we still all share the same hospitals
• and deaths outside Calgary & Edmonton are rising

We have an entire province glued to social media and news for the point ICU overload triggers triage.

IMHO (see last night's thread) we would have reached it on weekend if not for non-ICU Wards like Internal Medicine saying to ICU:give us as many of your patients as possible.

And @AHS_media media Dr Verna Yiu put it bluntly: we would have triggered triage already if not for people dying in roughly same quantity as new admissions.

Life-and-death "equilibrium". For now.

People are still arriving in exponential numbers.

alberta.ca/release.cfm?xI…

Even though today was part of the "Chief Medical Officer Updates" many people have tuned her out.
• sticking to her model and stories about the UK despite the actual evidence from Alberta
• keeping June model secret until too late
• "Endemic"

They are there for Dr Yiu.

We're supposed to be getting province-wide wastewater testing results published on Alberta Health stats page soon, right?

@ucalgaryCHI is still publishing. While R for Calgary is slowing...

Trend since 1 July: Number of infected people in Calgary shedding virus still rising.

So between the two threads, we're just about through the whole scorecard.

You're ready for the pop quiz now, right?

Deaths & Vax left.

I'll do Vax another day. Want to give it a deeper dive.

Deaths. What we are all trying to avoid.*

New graph, just on this. I don't want to extrapolate the trend out further, and I have already increased the vertical axis more than I want.

Many wonderful people are knocking themselves out to stop this.*

* Notable exceptions.

Love and care for each other.

These are tough days now, and ahead.

We're making history - in realtime - that people in all sorts of disciplines will study later.

Influence that for the better, however you can.

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https://twitter.com/DuaneBratt/status/1441192169503481860?s=20

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