Under the “supplier of last resort” scheme to protect customers of failed energy companies, every rescued customer of a failed energy company costs the rescuing company £600 to £700 to “on board”, which they have the right to reclaim over 15 to 24 months from every…
energy customer in the country. In other words the costs of customers’ mistakes in buying energy from fragile businesses are “socialised”. As I said earlier this week there has to be a debate about how fair it is that all UK households will pay a big price for failed businesses…
and whether this is a grotesque failure of a regulatory system imposed by the Conservative government. These socialised costs are already significant - around £40 per customer just on the basis of the handful of firms (Avro, Green etc) that have failed…
already. And they are likely to rise to circa £90 if the few firms that look most precarious cease trading in coming days. To be clear, this £90 would be levied on top of massive rises we are seeing now and next April in the energy price cap. So a big policy…
question for @KwasiKwarteng and @RishiSunak is whether that £90 (and probably rising) should be recouped from all energy customers over the normal 15 to 24 months. That would be another big addition to the cost of living. Or should it be spread out over…
five years or so? One idea being considered by the Treasury to spread the pain - the cost - to all households over several years, and lessen the annual hit, is for it to create a “customer rescue pot”, which would recompense the rescuing companies for the inescapable costs…
of taking on the customers of the failed companies. Recompense would be provided in a way that yielded no windfall profits for the big rescuers (EDF, Scottish Power, British Gas et al), and the government would be repaid over several years from small annual increments…
in the network levy ordered by the regulator Ofgem. Alternative mooted rescue plans bring greater risks for government. Lending directly to the rescuing companies - widely suggested - is technically harder to do in a way that prevents those rescuing companies generating…
windfall profits. This would be politically unacceptable. And the alternative of transferring the customer to a “special administrator” is in effect a form of nationalisation. The Treasury would have to provide hundreds of millions of pounds, potentially billions, to the…
the special administrator, but could not prevent profitable customers switching rapidly to other suppliers, which could leave the administrator and the Treasury and therefore taxpayers with potentially large losses. This is a complex mess.

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More from @Peston

22 Sep
Avro Energy, which was USwitch's best-value-for-money energy provider in 2019 and has 1.2m customers, is in financial difficulties, having defaulted on the industry's balancing and settlement code (which is in essence the scheme to satisfy demand for energy that is more than ...
what a company has contracted to buy). An announcement on how customers will be protected is expected from the regulator Ofgem. Normally those customers would be transferred to bigger, less fragile companies under the Supplier of Last Resort Scheme, but it is possible a...
special administrator would have to be appointed. I am told three other much smaller energy businesses are in trouble. The cost of these rescues, plus this week's of People's Energy, would be well over £1bn (industry sources put them at £1.1bn), and would be passed on to all...
Read 5 tweets
20 Sep
I cannot see how even cheap government loans are remotely going to fix this problem of crashing energy companies. Because the fundamental problem is that energy customers are MASSIVELY loss making for energy suppliers that haven’t hedged their gas supply commitments. That’s…
true for those businesses failing now and any big company that might take on those stranded customers. So why would big companies ride to the rescue? I can’t see it. Unless that is government were to legislate to allow the price cap next spring to rise way beyond…
even the current doubling in market prices, such that today’s losses were offset by tomorrow’s super profits. But that would crush living standards and be politically disastrous for the Tories. So one way or another this government is going to end up pumping billions…
Read 4 tweets
11 Sep
As someone who has just got through Covid-19, I wondered how rare I am to have contracted it as a double vaxxed person. According to new data from the government’s Vaccine Surveillance Report, in the age group 40 to 79, the overwhelming majority of those infected have…
been double vaxxed (see attached). I was surprised by what looks like high prevalence among the double vaxxed. And according to leading scientists at least part of the explanation is that “vaccine efficacy is not as good as we would like for the Delta variant”. Now it …
is important to remember that severe disease is considerably less common among the vaccinated infected than among the unvaxxed. But I am surprised these statistics have received so little attention and have occasioned so little debate. If the return to school leads to…
Read 4 tweets
6 Sep
Cabinet government has become a very degraded thing. Last time I checked, 45 minutes ago, cabinet ministers had still not been told whether the PM’s plan to announce tomorrow two breaches of his 2019 election manifesto would even be on the formal agenda for discussion at the…
8.30am cabinet meeting. BUT as of now, @BorisJohnson is going ahead with 1) a manifesto-breaking 1.25% national insurance rise to raise circa £10bn and fill a circa £15bn hole in health and social care provision; b) a new cap-and-floor system, based on Dilnot, to limit to circa…
£80k the amount an individual would have to contribute to their own care (the cap), and to protect approx £100k of their savings from any care costs (the floor); c) a temporary waiver, which will require legislation, of the manifesto-guaranteed “triple lock” on…
Read 5 tweets
25 Jul
In case you didn’t know - and I didn’t till a senior government official told me - the daily tally of infections seriously understates the actual number of infections, because if you are sick with Covid19 today but had it any time in the past (even last spring) your new bout…
is not included in the daily dashboard figures. We know people are being reinfected. And if the pandemic were to be spreading - which it might be - from first infected school children to second infected adults, we would not see that change in real time. This is profoundly…
troubling. And although it probably remains true, as I said on Friday, that we are past the peak of the pre 19 July surge, the inadequacy of the daily measurement data undermines confidence. As I understand it, there is deep disquiet among officials that the dashboard stats…
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17 Jul
While @chedwardes was interviewing the el-Kurd twins in East Jerusalem, I filmed this outside their house. It gives you a flavour of the stress of their lives as settlers’ use the courts to seize possession of homes their families were given in 1956 as compensation for being…
evicted from West Jerusalem. Under Israeli law they have no equivalent right to evict those who now occupy their ancestral homes in West Jerusalem. The property rights are asymmetric. And here you can see the police compelling a Palestinian to bring down a Palestinian flag…
attached to a kite. Imagine the police doing that in London to someone flying the England or Scotland flag. This is not like living in any old middle class road, though it is certainly middle class, because all the Palestinians I met in Sheikh Jarrah were highly educated,…
Read 5 tweets

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