Climate experts who suggest that we'll be able to get out of this by basically just building out renewables - that no one will be be forced to use less energy or be inconvenienced in any way - are doing a grave disservice to humanity. And this seems to be most climate experts.
While I too wish this were true, it simply is not. There is a tradeoff between irreversible climate disasters and energy consumption, because the real "carbon budget" that remains is zero. We are obviously *already* at dangerous levels of global heating.
Sooner or later, we'll collectively accept this. Until then I'll take heat for saying it, but the reason I do is to save as much future death and suffering as possible. The sooner we collectively accept this the better off we'll all be. This is what "emergency" means!
Finally, as I discuss in my book, it doesn't need to be only sacrifice. There's also a LOT of joy in slowing down, reconnecting with food and the Earth, and rebuilding local community! peterkalmus.net/books/
By the way, I am not talking about people voluntarily using less energy and changing their lifestyles. Far from it. Instead I am talking about the clear need for policies that begin prioritizing uses of energy and phasing out fossil fuels in a coordinated and equitable way.
Right now, I don't see any politicians with the courage to do this. But as the public gets more and more freaked out by climate disasters, it will take less and less courage on their part. (Real leadership would be recognizing this, selling the public on it, and moving faster)
*btw, "be forced to use less" was a bad word choice, "have to use less" or "end up using less" is better. It will come about through changes to systems and changes to availability.
β’ β’ β’
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Let's talk about how to tell when society is shifting out of attempting to continue "business as usual" and into "climate emergency mode."
The most important litmus test: When politicians start standing up to the fossil fuel industry. As a baseline, we haven't even ended fossil fuel subsidies yet! Politicians are still allowing your taxpayer dollars to subsidize and expand the most deadly industry on the planet.
When/if politicians start ending fossil fuel subsidies you'll know we are finally starting to head in the right direction as a society.
Folks, we all need to become climate activists now. I know that's a strong statement because there are so many critical causes, but I stand by it. This will increasingly become life-or-death for an increasing number of people.
In fact, there are so many critical causes that the elites are utterly failing to address, that I am not sure what to do.
I do know that only the left holds the vision now. The right has entirely parted from reality, and the center thinks little tweaks are enough. They are not. But the left is uniquely bad at building coalitions and building power.
I just want to say fuck the coal industry. Fuck it all the way to hell. Fuck the coal barons. FUCK JOE MANCHIN. Let's retrain all the blue collar workers and give them job guarantees but I never again want to hear "but the jobs" as an excuse to keep this fossil industry around.
Here is some context. It is IMPOSSIBLE to state how wrong this is. It is a planet-sized conflict of interest. It is a travesty of government that this is even legal. It shows clearly how the state and the legal system exist to serve only the rich nytimes.com/2021/09/19/cliβ¦
I keep hearing "let's do this or that crazy tech, anything but come to terms with just ending fossil fuels." Not having that deadly industry around anymore will be a step function improvement for civilization
Oh yeah, and the end of the fossil fuel industry is closer than you think. I get more sure of this every day.
Eventually we need to get to the point where world governments (the current ones or replacements) say "Sorry fossil fuel corporations, you lied for decades and we are all in mortal peril now, those who lied go to prison & we're seizing your assets and rationing supplies."
For this to happen the movement needs to get strong enough that there is no more social license for the fossil fuel industry. Remember that the legal system is just a codification of social contracts and these change... for example if the Earth's very habitability is threatened.
Obviously the sooner we get to this point, the better for all of us.
My latest: There are two fatal flaws with βnet zero by 2050.β One is βnet zero.β The other is βby 2050β. theguardian.com/commentisfree/β¦
The main point of the piece: the only way out of this crisis is for society to shift into climate emergency mode. "Net zero by 2050" makes this impossible.
The fossil fuel industry LOVES "net zero by 2050." We need to directly attack the fossil fuel industry, which means an earlier goal, and - critically - binding annual targets for reductions and policy plans for achieving those annual targets.