Trent Telenko Profile picture
Sep 26, 2021 11 tweets 4 min read Read on X
This is the 1st post of a thread on the Association of Old Crows new podcast series covering the history of electronic warfare.

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This is the link that takes you to the podcast series.

link.chtbl.com/jQZFOFF4
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The EW history series is available on the following platforms:

Google Podcasts
RSS feed
Apple Podcasts
Spotify
Overcast
Cast box
Radio Public
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There are six episodes on the podcast as of 25 Sept 2021. They are:

21 Apr 2021 Introducing the History of Crows (1 min)

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2 June 2021 A New Epoch (20 min)
Mr. Charles “Chuck” Quintero from the Johns Hopkins University of Applied Physics Laboratory, who discusses the evolution of natural philosophy from Sir Isaac Newton to James Clerk Maxwell to Heinrich Hertz.
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16 June 2021 Sparks Across the Atlantic (17 Min)
Harry Klancer and Al Klace from the Information Age Learning Center trace the life of Guglielmo Marconi through his dreams as a young engineer to the shrewd businessman who ushered in the dawn of the Electronic Age.

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28 Jul 2021 The Echo (23 min)
Mr. Ray Chase from the Information Age Learning Center and Mr. Mike Simmons from the National Electronics Museum share the story about early radar development and electromagnetic warfare in the early 20th Century.
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11 Aug 2021 Beam Wars (23 min)
Radar historian, Dr. Phil Judkins, University of Leeds, U.K. tells the little told stories of EW in WWII, starting with the Battle of Britain walking through The Beam Wars in the blitz.

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22 Sept 2021 Codebreakers
Dr. Phil Judkins from Leeds University and Mr. John Stubbington, former RAF Wing Commander responsible for ECM Development with the Bomber Command Development Unit and the author of "Kept in the Dark" walks you through the RAF SIGINT reports in WW2.

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Declarations of interest:

I'm a dues paying member of the A.O.C. and the podcast series is corporately sponsored by B.A.E.

This thread is my own & independent of either A.O.C. or it's chapters behest.

/End

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More from @TrentTelenko

Aug 18
The issue for Russia with the FP-5 is that its range makes Russian national air defense practically impossible.

Ukraine can reach facilities on the other side of the Urals and north to Murmansk with the FP-5.

Once Ukrainian drones overwhelm a border SAM battery sector.

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FP-5's sent through the drone peak saturation area can 'squirt through into a great empty' low at high subsonic speeds.

Only an AWACS with late production SU-30 with look down/shoot down PESA radars can deal with them.

H/T @DrnBmbr
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Furthermore, FP-5's are going to have electronic counter measures (ECM) and counter-countermeasures (ECCM) installed as standard.

The FP-5 will have at least a 24 element CRPA element layout to beat GPS jamming...

3/
Read 5 tweets
Aug 12
Pres Zelenskyy of Ukraine just made an interesting statement:

"Let me give an example from yesterday, roughly like this: the Russians suffer about a thousand losses per day — that’s 500 killed and 500 wounded.

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I’m not even counting the 10 prisoners and so on. More precisely, 968 losses for Russia: 531 killed, 428 wounded, and 9 captured.

We had 340 losses in one day: 18 killed, 243 wounded, and 79 missing in action," he said."

2/
500 Russian KIA versus 18 Ukrainian KIA is a 29.5 to one ratio in favor of Ukraine.

Total Russian casualties of 1,000 versus 340 Ukrainian is a 2.9 to one ratio in favor of Ukraine.

3/
Read 5 tweets
Aug 12
Actually, the Soviet Union in the "Great Patriotic War" did suffer worse casualties and win.

It is that fact which powers the "Russian WW2 exceptionalism" myth that Putin used to zombify Russians over 20 years to make suicidal assaults over and over again.

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I said something like what Chuck just said about Russian casualties in July 2024.

Chuck now, like I did then, underestimates how powerful cultural conditioning is in making armies able to take horrific losses and continue.

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As long a Putin's propaganda keeps Russians believing they are winning by taking miniscule slivers of Ukrainian land.

The Russians will keep coming.

It doesn't mean Russia will win. It means Russia is paying a disproportionate blood debt which will have to be paid.

3/
Read 17 tweets
Aug 11
The map below underlines a real innumeracy issue with lots of Western analysts of Ukraine's OWA drone strategic bombing campaign.

BLUF: 40,000/52 weeks is ~769 Ukrainian OWA drones launched a week on average for the whole year.

Ukrainian OWA Drone🧵
1/
Historic war mobilization production curves are heavily back loaded.

That is, the production rates of B-17's and B-24's bombers in the 3rd quarter of 1943 versus the 3rd quarter of 1944 showed a much higher production rate in late 1944.

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We are mid-way through the 3rd quarter of the 2025 where Ukraine's OWA drone annual production goal was 40,000.

Ukraine should be around 850-950 OWA drones a week in August 2025 and will be close to 1,200 a week in the 4th qtr. of the 2025.

3/
Read 5 tweets
Jul 31
"Russian exceptionalism"⬇️

The Russians see themselves as immune to the consequences of their own actions.

The previous case studies in this were the Nazis and Imperial Japanese in WW2.

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Both polities had monumental hubris, the conviction that all was permitted, and that they were invincible.

The committed Nazis still believed they were winning in March-April 1945.

Japanese 'Yamato-damashii' beliefs took nukes to break.

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This Russian exceptionalist belief in the immunity to the consequences of their own actions is also why the Russians continue their insane suicidal assaults.

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Read 4 tweets
Jul 29
What is interesting for me is that the pre-2022 Western intelligence assessments of the Russian Army credited it with lots of tactical pipelines to move fuel.

Those would be far more useful in moving water than trucks...yet...where are they?

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These pipelines seem to have fallen into that same logistical 'assume they exist but don't' black hole as Russian truck D-rings & pallets, tactical truck trailers, and Russia's "superior" tooth to tail ratio that acts more like 1863 Union Army where...

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..."every soldier is a logistical manual laborer when not in combat".

Water is heavy. Pipelines are more efficient that trucks. Yet all we are seeing is Russian water trucks?

Who stole the Russian Army tactical pipelines? Or were they nothing but disinformation?

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Read 4 tweets

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