Trent Telenko Profile picture
Sep 26, 2021 11 tweets 4 min read Read on X
This is the 1st post of a thread on the Association of Old Crows new podcast series covering the history of electronic warfare.

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This is the link that takes you to the podcast series.

link.chtbl.com/jQZFOFF4
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The EW history series is available on the following platforms:

Google Podcasts
RSS feed
Apple Podcasts
Spotify
Overcast
Cast box
Radio Public
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There are six episodes on the podcast as of 25 Sept 2021. They are:

21 Apr 2021 Introducing the History of Crows (1 min)

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2 June 2021 A New Epoch (20 min)
Mr. Charles “Chuck” Quintero from the Johns Hopkins University of Applied Physics Laboratory, who discusses the evolution of natural philosophy from Sir Isaac Newton to James Clerk Maxwell to Heinrich Hertz.
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16 June 2021 Sparks Across the Atlantic (17 Min)
Harry Klancer and Al Klace from the Information Age Learning Center trace the life of Guglielmo Marconi through his dreams as a young engineer to the shrewd businessman who ushered in the dawn of the Electronic Age.

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28 Jul 2021 The Echo (23 min)
Mr. Ray Chase from the Information Age Learning Center and Mr. Mike Simmons from the National Electronics Museum share the story about early radar development and electromagnetic warfare in the early 20th Century.
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11 Aug 2021 Beam Wars (23 min)
Radar historian, Dr. Phil Judkins, University of Leeds, U.K. tells the little told stories of EW in WWII, starting with the Battle of Britain walking through The Beam Wars in the blitz.

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22 Sept 2021 Codebreakers
Dr. Phil Judkins from Leeds University and Mr. John Stubbington, former RAF Wing Commander responsible for ECM Development with the Bomber Command Development Unit and the author of "Kept in the Dark" walks you through the RAF SIGINT reports in WW2.

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Declarations of interest:

I'm a dues paying member of the A.O.C. and the podcast series is corporately sponsored by B.A.E.

This thread is my own & independent of either A.O.C. or it's chapters behest.

/End

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More from @TrentTelenko

May 23
This is another reminder that Peer-to-Peer drone warfare is all about attrition loss curves.

Ukraine's drones has made the roads of occupied southern Ukraine into an "anti-access area denial" (A2AD) kill zones for Russian trucks.
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Ukraine has achieved "Drone air superiority" over those roads rivaling WW2's Summer 1944 Allied air superiority over German occupied Normandy.

As a result, the Russian truck fleet is taking unsustainable attrition, particularly of its fuel tanker fleet.
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This AFU fuel interdiction campaign is causing panic:

"Fuel shortages are beginning in Sevastopol. This is the beginning of the consequences of the enemy's systematic strikes on oil refineries and tanker trucks along the land corridor to Crimea."
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Read 5 tweets
May 22
If true, it looks like Russian truck fuel logistics has completely fallen part on the Rostov-Dzhankoy highway.

This has a lot of strategic geo-political implications.

A2AD & Truck Logistics 🧵

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Given few/no trains, these are the Russian truck logistical facts of life:

1. At ~300 miles/480 km, tactical truck's only payload is fuel for a return trip**

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2. A 56 mile/90 km radius from a supply point allows three trips a day with refueling & mechanized logistics to load & unload a truck

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Read 19 tweets
May 21
Texas has seven unique advantages in terms of infrastructure, political culture, and resource geography that make it uniquely suited to be the next industrial heartland of the USA.

The seven industrial development advantages of Texas 🧵
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They are as follows:

1. About 94% of land in Texas is privately held. This vastly limits what the Federal, State and local governments can do to in terms of regulations and NIMBY games.

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2. Texas is mostly flat. Texas hill country is small beer compared to the Appalachian and Sierra Nevada mountain ranges. This compounds with #1 for industrial development.

3. Texas has a lot of water compared to the US west & sea access.

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Read 7 tweets
May 20
I am still trying to see the military relevance of the MV-75 Cheyenne II.

Especially when 3rd rate powers like Iran have Qaem-118” (Ghaem-118) / “Misagh-358” jet engine powered, loitering, surface to air munitions.

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The MV-75 Cheyenne II can't outrun a jet powered munition.

These things. ⬇️

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None of the standard US Suppression of Enemy air Defense (SEAD) radar sensor detection practices work on a “Misagh-358.”

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Read 5 tweets
May 12
This is one of the most logistically incompetent hot takes by any German journalist in the Russo-Ukrainian War.

95% getting through is a 5% loss rate per trip
95%(x) for 10 to 20 kills means x = 200 to 400 trucks on this route
10 trips means 40% total fleet loss - 80 to 160 trucks
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You can follow the 5% loss curve in this 500 unit fleet at 10 exposures in the graphic below.

A 40% fleet loss in 10 days from a 5% drone loss rate is logistical collapse for the Russian Army in occupied Ukraine.

Only some trying to get AfD eyeballs would say different.

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This leaves out the fact that the Russian Army doesn't use *ANY* mechanized logistical enabler like pallets, Truck D-rings, forklifts, or telehandlers.

Russian trucks are in the drone kill zones 3 times as long as a Western truck due to loading times.

Receipts:
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x.com/i/grok/share/e…
Read 4 tweets
May 10
Regarding this:

"The DF-26 intermediate-range ballistic missile, with a range of approximately 4,000 to 5,000 kilometers, was specifically designed and publicly nicknamed by Chinese military analysts as the "Guam Killer.""

I disagree with those analysts.
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The Chinese PD-2900 drone (2,500 km range, 12-hour endurance, 250 km/h speed, stealthy Su-57-like design) is far more a "Guam Killer" than the DF-26.

It is a matter of numbers.

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As laid out by warquants -dot- com, China is buying one million OWA drones to destroy all US/Taiwan/Taiwan allied military logistics from Guam to the China coast.

A quantity of one million "Shaheed plus" class OWA drones has quality all its own.

3/
Read 7 tweets

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