All ISLM Nations are cumulatively one-fourth of the World’s Population, and yet produced 59% of Worldwide Refugees!
The magnitude of world refugees, dramatic stats, larger root cause, a perspective & India's biggest challenge from a particular ethnic group!
Read on.. 1/
As per UNHCR data, the world host 24.8mn refugees, & out of which a whopping 59% (14.7mn) are originated from ISLM nations, despite these nations are just 23% of the world’s total population.
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‘Refugee’, implied it concerns the int’nal borders but not the one forced to ‘displaced’ within a country, nither infiltration. If we look at the overall forced displacement number worldwide is, much larger, 82mn (P1). Spend 30 sec on numbers on P3.
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For ease of realization, follow this analogy- Bhopal’s population is 2.5mn & M.P.’ is 87mn.). So we are here talking about the displacement of ENTIRE M.P. and 10 cities like Bhopal are refugees in the world. Each resident, TEN CITIES.
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Responsibility for forced displacement due to regional conflicts or other reasons still lies with the state (remember Kashmiri Pundits' exodus). However, when communities decide to flee out of the country, the challenge becomes entirely different. 5/
For that matter, worldwide, 39% of refugees are only from TWO countries– Syria & Afghanistan. The world knows their history, power conflicts, flavored with ISLM extremism (ISIS & Taliban/Haqqani resp.), further messed up by US foreign & military oily policies. 6/
Out of this 14.7mn orig from ISLM nations, approx. 68% (10mn ~4xBhopal) moved to another ISLM, while 32% (4.7mn) chose NON-ISLM nations. 50% of these 10mn, (ISLM to ISLM nation), granted asylum only by Turkey & Pakistan, surprisingly, NOT by the more resourceful Arab World.
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In other words, a significant 0.85% of Total ISLM nations’ population moved to another country, while a similar number is just 0.17% for NON-ISLM countries.
Now take a look at how the USA exploited post 9/11 that led to irreparable damage to global refugees' mess. 8/
As per WION report, the USA invasion & military actions caused 38mn displaced from their natives (~ eq. to entire Telangana) & 335K lives. While civilians toll were 2071/year by k!lled TaIiban, US airstrikes claimed 1134 lives per year between 2017-19. 9/
Now consider NON-ISLM nations refugees i.e. 9.8mn, 22% (2.1mn) settled in ISLM nations, rest (78%) preferred NON-ISLM only. Interestingly these 2.1mn have 1mn outflux only from Myanmar that settled in Bangladesh & Malaysia. (will come back on this again)
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Largest NON-ISLM nation refuge crisis- South Sudan, with 4.1mn ppl displaced, 2.1mn hosted by Uganda-Ethiopia-Kenya-Sudan.
Note - While Syria & Afghan crisis is a product of religious extremism (fulled by West), Sudanese civil war for power struggle & Oil revenues. 11/
India's stroy! Moving ahead to the most crucial part- ROHINGYA, note that India is not a signatory of The Refugee Convention, 1951 nor 1967 Refugee Protocol that obliges India to recognize refugee status, yet India has done its job well!
Tbc.. 12/
India hosts 2.28L refugees from 45 countries, (24 ISLM nations).
Big Pies-
Sri Lanka (41%);
China (read Tibetans) (33%);
Myanmar + Stateless (17%); {mostly Rohingyas}
Afghans (7%)
Note that this is not an ACTUAL presence but just reg numbers. 13/
Trigger events- 1. State-LTTE civil war pushed SL Tamilians 2. Chinese persecuted Tibetans 3. MMR-Bl'Desh-Rakhine conflict resulted in rising Rohingyas, sp. in last 5 years 4. Soviet/US/Taliban war crisis for Afghans
Spend a min time on the footnote, trend & timings- 14/
Q. Why India is treating the Rohingyas (RO) crisis differently than Tibetans or Lankans?
A. Because it may be different.
Let's take a deep dive.
Home of RO- Rakhine, bordering ~95% to MMR, ~5% B'Desh, are considered as most persecuted minorities in the world by the UN. 15/
The history of Rakhine MusI!m get connects to, yet again, the desire of ISLM nation, only to be exploited by colonizer Brits who promised them ISLM state in return to fight for them in WW2 in Burma against Rakhine Buddhists, who were then allied with the Japanese.
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However, post MMR independence (1948), the Buddhist dominant nation denied citizenship to the ROs M, & Brits left another region of conflict forever. Once an enemy ally, MMR has always considered RO as ‘Bengali’ (from B'Desh)/illegal migrants/intruders, anything but citizen. 17/
And then begun the history of resistance, politics & bl00dbath in the entire region, from 1950s to date.
Take a walkthrough of the below timelines, resistance to violance, the critical events as they happened, collected from various sources.
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With MMR & B'Desh both rejecting the RO, since 70s to date, they have spread across the world seeking asylums, mostly to ISLM states (B'desh, Pak), but being a neighboring country India couldn’t be spared with this refuges/infiltration/illegal migrants crisis. 19/
In recent years, RO militants ARSA has taken the front stage. Besides carrying out the Hindu mas$acre in 2017, they have targeted high profiles MMR cop/army.
ARSA is led by Saudi-raised-Pak-born RO M Atta Ullah, son of a RO migrant, who studied at Madarsa in Mecca.
Tbc..
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ARSA, as per many intelligence reports, is now being supported by other 'Jlhad!st' groups like Lash-kar-e-Ta!ba and Pak!stan intel agency ISI. In July 2020, Myanmar's Commander-in-Chief Senior General Min Aung Hlaing claimed that "strong forces" (indicating towards China) 21/
are supporting terr0r!st groups. Another RO miIitant group Aqa Mul Mujahideen is allegedly linked with LeT & JeM cell in J&K. Some reports suggested that Jamaat-ud Dawa targeting vulnerable RO M & providing them training crossborder. AI-Qaeda's offshoot Ansar Gazawat-ul-Hind 22/
in J&K expressed solidarity to RO living in Jammu & 'warned' Modi govt against deporting.
Indian agencies have enough reason to deny access to RO. The stand became more clear in 2017 when SC sought the govt view on RO during a plea filed by usual suspects like
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K Sibal & P Bhushan to prevent deporting. MHA in response drew clear lines citing several national security concerns, affirming further that govt is under constitutional obligation to deport any illegal immigrants, & therefore it is performing duty.
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SC was satisfied with the response & denied interfering with MHA functions. The decision was welcomed by the HM Rajnath Singh who said that the RO issue shouldn't be seen through 'the prism of human rights' but as a serious security concern. 25/
Thr has been unarguably a violent history of persecutions of RO & so with KPs & Tibetans, who are still fighting for justice by means which are accepted in any civil society.
USA to GER or Russ to Aus, every nation keeps nat'al interest at prime before handling migrants.
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Arab,USA prefers to grant aids thru UNHCR but have own policies for accepting/denying migrants.
IND is no exception. It is mindful about resources, opportunities, ethnic & cultural harmony, & therefore must take appropriate action, deemed fit in the national interest.
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Note- ppl are wondering about "Bangladeshi"!
As far as official B'desh refugees in IND is concern, it's 8, absolute, no unit. While many estimation suggest actual illegal migrant may be as huge as 20mn. Enters via WB & travel even upto Ladakh.
This is very serious threat. UNHCR is granting refugee status to illegal Bangladeshi in India 'treating' them as Rohingya, through 'backdoor' marriage clause which is NOT transparently shared with Home Ministry. A report by @PankajSinghUN
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Rushikonda Hill Palace is 14x more expensive, + a destroyed hill, yet neither BJP nor Congress or any environmentalists top the guns against Jagan Reddy!
Why?
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The features of the palace are crazy.
- 200 chandeliers @₹15L each
- cosy interior ₹33cr
- imported furniture, spa, jacuzzis
- commodes @ ₹15L each
- landscaping of exotic imported plants & grass
- advanced sound system, humongous home theatre
- multi-hued illumination 2/
The place originally was tourism deptt run resorts with 58 rooms. Reddy converted this lavish 44acre land into residence-cum-camp-office with just 12 rooms and rest are conf halls and chambers.
PM Modi's pursuit of a third term was fraught with challenges, particularly due to well-organized foreign interference. While we are familiar with the 'ecosystem', significant new dimensions and actors have emerged, overlapping to the political dynamics of the United States.
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There was a massive surge in the anti-Modi , anti-govt narrative during Apr-May'24, just before/during GE. These activities were carried out in two separate (but complementary) formats:
(a) organising events, lectures, semi/webinars by certain West orgs or NGOs and then amplified by associated entities, online & social media space;
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(b) publishing critical write-ups OpEd in prominent international publications in a regular manner. Just to feel the amplitude, 175+ articles were published by The Guardian, Washington Post, Bloomberg, NYT, France 24,etc., during April-May 2024)
An attempt was made to influence Indian Election (mis)using AI model by generating fake anti-BJP and Pro-Congress opinions on social media.
OpenAI (famous for ChatGPT) busted 5 such covert operators who were exploiting their AI model.
Don't miss this thread!
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Let me explain it in easy words. AI models allows users to generate comments based on a certain input. One can easily programme it do this is mass level.
But what if an operator misuse it to generate fake opinions & deploy humans or bots to influence on the social media?
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OpenAI busted such 5 operators, whereas 2 were related to Russia, 1 for China, 1 for Iran, and 1 for Gaza conflict and Indian election.
Not a secret anymore that the big pharma lobby is upset of India's vaccine strategy that led to big $$bn loss to them. Since then many attempts have been made to discredit India's efforts.
The latest one is a "research" by Dr Chakrabarti, amplified by ET journo Teena Thacker. 1/
Pfizer (bully guy) & the pharma lobby tried to halt & malign India's efforts by health ministry & ICMR to go ahead with Covishield & Bharat Bio Tech Covaxin.
We are a lucrative market where a few "perks" traditionally translate into huge business. But that didn't happen.
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On 14-May, Dr Sankha Shubhra Chakrabarti (SSC) published a report about adverse events in Covaxin. This report was immediately (or as planned?) picked-up by ET journo Teena Thacker. This sampling was conducted on telephone survey with 1024 individuals, led by Dr SSC+11 team. 3/
₹ 35,30,346 Cr (35 lakh crore): The commutative amount has been transferred directly to the valid beneficiary account (DBT).
Had it been the Congress era, 85% i.e. ₹30 lakh crore would have vanished to corrupt mediators.
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₹30L Cr is an estimated loss based on former PM Rajiv Gandhi's infamous quote. In other words, this is ~60% of India's today's budget. Imagine the level of corruption, that even the PM confessed, unofficial commission, fake ID beneficiaries, duplicities & other means.
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Though DBT was initiated in 2013 (parting MMS govt), it was systematically expanded by the Modi govt.
For the success of DBT, first & foremost need is a bank a/c. Govt launched the massive PM Jan Dhan Yojana, under which 52cr a/c were opened (56% women & 67% in rural/suburb) 3/