If you put 10,000 hrs practicing the piano, you will almost certainly become very good at the piano.
If you put 10,000 hrs into your business, it doesn’t necessarily translate to anything!
The first kind has a predictable relationship to effort. The second kind doesn’t.
You need a different attitude when trying to achieve the unpredictable:
- Instead of consistency of effort, you need intensity when the right opportunity emerges.
- Instead of focusing on one thing, you need exposure to randomness and serendipity.
- Instead of a rigid plan, you need freedom to explore and some aimless wandering.
- Instead of external motivators, you need intrinsic drive.
- Instead of repetitiveness, you need variation.
- Instead of stability, you need insurance against what you can’t tolerate losing.
- And to make a living in the unpredictable world, you must behave like a venture capitalist, a book publisher, or a film studio. You must have a portfolio of enough things going on to expect a few payoffs happening regularly. Go all in on one thing at your peril.
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The problem? It's an extremely unpredictable way to make a living. For every successful creator, there are thousands who make nothing or almost nothing.
So, how do you make the unpredictable, predictable? Here's what I learned:
See, there are two very distinct worlds of how to make a living in our universe.
The first world is the one we're mostly familiar with, where you follow a predictable career path.
Say you want to make a living as a programmer, a doctor, a plumber, an English teacher, etc. If you do certain things (learn to code, get a specific degree, etc.) you can increase the odds of getting what you want to very close to 100%.
1. Unlike Twitter, I almost never open the Clubhouse app. Occasionally I get a notification that someone I follow is speaking, and I get the option to drop in. The push system adds random pleasant surprises to my life.
2. I hate parties. The crowds, the small talk, the dressing up, the inability to avoid certain people... ugh.
But I like the idea of parties: An almost free opportunity for chance encounters that could lead to many things.
Clubhouse is my party substitute without the downsides.