I wanted to take an empirical look at various aspects of the state of the country at this point in Biden's term and compare it to both this same point in Trump's term and where the country was when Trump left and Biden took over.
Here's what I came up with. References included.
During Biden's term so far, America has had two straight quarters of greater than 6% GDP growth, the latest being at 6.6%. At this point four years ago, the GDP growth was 2.3%.
The US has seen 4.454 million jobs added to US payrolls since 02/2021. Four years ago it was 1.312M.
The most recent unemployment rate is higher (5.2%) than it was four years ago (4.4%). We did have a recession last year and this was not the situation in 2017.
More Americans think it's a good time to find a good job than was the case four years ago.
The Civilian Labor Force Participation Rate, which is the percentage of the population of working age who are in the work force, is a little less today than it was four years ago (61.7% versus 62.9%).
The National Debt has grown by a greater % now than at this point in 2017.
For most of Biden's term in office, the growth in the Dow has outpaced the growth at the same point during Trump's term four years ago. Recent concerns about the Delta virus caused a decline in the market and now the Dow growth is a little less than it was at this point in 2017.
Biden's current Gallup approval rating is the lowest of his term so far but it's still higher than Trump's was at this same point four years ago.
The price of gas has risen a good bit. Milk has risen only a little bit. Bread has risen by a relatively small amount.
Now when you take a look at what Biden inherited when he came to office in January 2021 and what Trump inherited when he came to office in January 2017, there are some notable differences.
Biden inherited from Trump nearly $8 trillion in additional national debt than Trump inherited from Obama.
The Federal Budget Deficit that Biden inherited from Trump is nearly five times the Deficit that Trump inherited from Obama.
Trump inherited more than 6 years of continual job growth. Biden inherited none as the most recent job report that had been released as of the date he took office had a loss of 306,000 jobs.
Trump inherited a Bull Market that had been running for 7 years and 11 months. Biden inherited a Bull Market that had been in place for less than 1 year.
And when Trump took office, the last recession officially ended 7 1/2 years beforehand. When Biden took office, the last recession ended just over half a year beforehand.
In the time since the Inauguration, GDP growth has risen from 4.5% to 6.6%.
The unemployment rate has fallen from 6.7% to 5.2%.
In January, not many Americans thought it was a good time to try to find a good job (27%). By August, the most recent poll, 72% thought it was.
The Dow has grown by low double digits in the months since Inauguration.
However, the number of people who have been caught at the Southwest Border (US/Mexico) has risen considerably.
The Inauguration occurred 9 days after the statistical peak of COVID deaths in the United States (7 day rolling average). A lot of people died in the beginning of the year. And as the more contagious Delta virus began to dominate in July, the deaths have increased again.
The number of people who are dying from COVID is significant again. However, unlike in earlier parts of the pandemic, the people who are dying are almost exclusively (percentage-wise) unvaccinated. And a significant percentage of Americans have chosen to remain unvaccinated.
The percentage of Americans who have been partially and fully vaccinated has increased significantly. However, daily vaccinations peaked in mid-April. As I have pointed out before, there is a significant difference in the COVID death rates between states.
Gas prices have risen significantly over the course of the year. Milk has risen very modestly. The price of bread has actually fallen.
So this is the data that I could collect that laid out where we are, where we were four years ago and where we were in January in these areas.
The economic indicators for jobs and the market are positive. A lot of people feel good about their prospect of getting a good job. The economy is growing. And millions of people who were not working in January have jobs now.
The cost of some items, especially gas, has gone up.
The numbers of people attempting to cross the US/Mexico border has gone up. If you look at the official numbers, you will see that an uptick in border encounters began last October. But it has definitely increased since January.
From January through May of this year, the border traffic mirrored a similar surge in 2019 during Trump's third year in office. But after May, 2019, the numbers came down. In 2021, they have stayed rather high.
If you compare the situation that Biden inherited in 2021 with that which Trump inherited in 2017, the contrast could not be greater. Trump inherited a long-stable economy, a much lower National Debt and Deficit and did not inherit a pandemic that was killing thousands a day.
This is as much of an apples-to-apples comparison as I was able to put together so far to compare where we are with where we were, what Biden and Trump dealt with when taking office and what's changed since January, all in numbers that you can confirm for yourselves.
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
So, my take on the debate. I listened to the audio of all of it but only saw a little of the live video. And so I listened very intently to everything Walz and Vance SAID and not to the visual aspects of their respective deliveries.
I’ve known people like both of these guys all my life.
Listening to Vance’s answers, he sounded like many of the empty suits I’ve met in life. Lots of words. Confident delivery of the words. But he didn’t say much. And that’s not even counting some of his very blatant lies.
Many of Vance’s answers, even the ones which were not attempts to rewrite history, lacked any level of detail. He sounded like a student who read the Cliff’s Notes but never read the book.
Let’s cut to the chase and talk about the REAL reason some of the prominent Republican politicians and pundits who know and even publicly admit that Trump is unfit either still support him or won’t actively vote against him.
Some of them know the cost. And don’t want to pay it.
They saw what happened to brave politicians like @Liz_Cheney and @AdamKinzinger who told the truth about Trump and didn’t later try to unsay it (like @NikkiHaley). It cost them their careers in the GOP.
They see them. And don’t want to be them.
@Liz_Cheney @AdamKinzinger @NikkiHaley The pundits saw how conservative pundits who told the truth about Donald Trump fared. Some of them lost prominent gigs like @WalshFreedom. Some of them lost affiliates like @MedvedSHOW.
Some of the others saw the cost they paid. And simply didn’t want to pay it themselves.
As professing Christians (including some folks who actually are real Christians) spread false and dangerous information about Haitian immigrants and promote other lies from proven chronic liars), remember what the Bible says about lies and lying.
Ephesians 4:25, Amplified:
“Therefore, rejecting all falsehood [whether lying, defrauding, telling half-truths, spreading rumors, any such as these], speak truth each one with his neighbor, for we are all parts of one another [and we are all parts of the body of Christ].”
And there are also some pretty explicit warnings in Scripture about being a liar, whatever exactly that means.
We tend to focus like a laser beam on sexual sins and ignore a lot of other behaviors the Bible associates with condemnation.
A quick question to my white brethren who, even in this current Trump era, continue to vote for Republicans:
Have you ever noticed what a high percentage of the arguments those politicians appeal to you with are based on appealing to fear? Specifically fear of “them?”
They play you the same movie script over and over and over again, with only the villains being cast differently. But you keep buying tickets to watch the movie.
It’s always some variant of “them” coming to take your [FILL IN THE BLANK]. Always.
First they were supposed to take your guns. Many Democratic Presidencies later, you still have your guns. You have more than you ever had before, actually.
Then the pitch was that “woke” teachers were going to take your kids and make them hate themselves.
A good half of society is all but ready to overlook Trump’s:
- 34 felony convictions for fraud covering up an illegal campaign contribution (Michael Cohen was sent to prison for his part of the scheme BY THE TRUMP ADMINISTRATION).
…
- A federal indictment for taking, refusing to return documents containing nuclear weapons info, war plans and the vulnerabilities of both the U.S. and our adversaries. And then trying to destroy the evidence.
- A federal indictment for trying to steal an election which he and his advisors knew he lost.
- A state inducement for trying to steal that state’s electoral votes. A case in which the defendant was literally caught on tape asking the Secretary of State to “find” him votes.
The only reason that the election may even be close is because Donald Trump is singularly held to the most generous grading curve ever applied to any politician in U.S. history.
He is held to a different set of rules. The lowest standard ever applied to an elected leader.
Trump can lie, multiple provable lies every minute he speaks, and it’s not considered news. He’s just being Trump.
But if his opponents mess up even minor details in any statement they make - that becomes a matter of concern to the public.
Donald Trump is a man who cheated on his first wife with his second wife and on his third wife with a porn star and a playmate. The porn star testified under oath and the playmate stated on the record he told them they reminded him of his DAUGHTER.