ok, thread coming.
Just-released 200pg final report from Australia's competition and consumer protection regulator states emphatically Google's dominance in adtech harms both businesses and consumers. This table explains to any layperson why. #DominatingAllSidesOfMarket /1
yellow highlights are mine having now read full report (and prior interim report). Prior chart ⬆️ shows overwhelming market power (aka "Being Bad") on all sides of transactions. Report also includes conduct (aka "Behaving Badly"). The two combined create unanimous concerns. /2
What do I mean by all sides of the market? Focus on the sentence in yellow and consider any other high-speed marketplace this market power exists on all sides. No wonder Google has systematically shifted its revenues towards higher-margin inventory pools (its own). /3
ACCC correctly confirms its concerns lie at the integration of data and competition policy. Data separation measures are key as we're seeing in proposed laws in Europe and US that prevent gatekeepers from misusing market power. I don't think ACCC nailed this area in report. /4
I see Google lobbied hard its limited use of 1st party data - leaving many concerns in the semantics and use of derivative and inferred data. Report also doesn't fully capture Google's overwhelming dominance in its third party data aggregation across web, devices, our lives. /5
Google's responses made a laughable point by focusing on % of people available to 3rd party trackers of other companies rather than share of their activities across web, devices, locations. Freshness of data is critically important, Google and FB dominate. ACCC caught this. 👏🏽/6
ACCC also clearly understands issues of "anti-competitive" tying by Google in which it uses its overwhelming market power in aggregating demand (advertisers spending power) in order to aggregate and maintain marker power on the supply side (SSPs). This mirrors state AGs suit. /7
this illustration was in interim report. This is the ad market built by the open internet and its "champion," Google. Well done, industry. No wonder one company keeps $200+ billion in ad revenue acting as our ventilator with just enough air support to decide who gets to live. /8
Interesting. Looks like ACCC enhanced its data + antitrust concerns from two sources: (1) Xandr, whose former CEO and founder testified on Google's anticompetitive activities, reconfirms power in data, (2) internal Google docs from ACCC requests. They. Sell. It. That. Way. /9
When there are no new success stories on the buy or sell-side in an industry with incredible disruption and changes underway for "everyone else," it certainly indicates there is a problem. The financial success of Google has resulted in less oxygen for everyone else. /10
There is a fly-in box 4.1 aptly making the comparison of Google's market dominance in adtech across the supply chain to the financial markets.... aka a "Conflict of interest"... ya think? /11
THIS SHOULD BE ILLEGAL. ACTUALLY, IT *IS* ILLEGAL. I challenge you to tell me why it isn't. /12
moving on to the "We'll fix the future for you" section - aka Google's Privacy Sandbox.
Note, the two points in yellow cannot both be true. The former is according to a monopolist with shareholder obligations, the latter is according to an antitrust regulator. /13
hello, arbitrage. you've been hiding below the surface throughout this report. /14
to the question whether this matters, absof******lutely. many of ACCC's independent findings are consistent with US state AGs. They don't seem to have dug into the potentially criminal market rigging with Facebook allegation of state AGs but rest of conduct mirrors US. /15
and most importantly, US Department of Justice is reported to be finalizing its own lawsuit for Google's adtech biz with a new dept head to be confirmed. Unless Google is able to once again strong arm its influence on an administration (hello Obama), it will move forward. /16
If u read UK CMA report, Texas AGs lawsuit, Congress's report now this ACCC report (link here), you won't see much air between the allegations and necessary fixes including data purpose limitations, siloing of gatekeepers, separation of biz, et al. /17 accc.gov.au/system/files/D…
first great report - well covered Reuters - gets it right. Significance is seeking to curb Google's power by curbing data access - ACCC did NOT recommend doing it through required data portability (monopoly preference) or even interoperability. Bravo. /18 reuters.com/business/media…
also a great report here. once again connects the dots between data dominance and market dominance and increased prices for consumers.
Shocking statistic: "Google is involved 90 per cent of the time when Australians click ads online" /19 thenewdaily.com.au/finance/financ…
Another great report courtesy of Financial Times. so Google would like you to believe 15,000 jobs depend on it preserving market power rather than do the math on how many jobs can be funded when there is actual competition and a healthy supply chain. ft.com/content/d41c72…
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The 8hr video of Jack Smith’s testimony was released by Congress on New Years’ Eve in between Epstein and Venezuela. It’s an extraordinary display of Smith’s integrity and attention to justice and fairness on 1/6. Allison Gill deserves praise for curating the key clips. 1/4
Smith clearly represents all who worked towards justice and public interest, expressing his confidence and rationale he had the evidence to prove Jan 6th case to a jury. He also shows his gratitude to those retaliated against - in just doing their jobs. This stood out to me. 2/4
I must say I’m impressed by Covington & Burling law firm who has stood strong during this retaliation. This is just 1/6 - they’ve worked with Smith to be cautious to not discuss any confidential details in his classified docs report still sealed by Judge Cannon. (1.3x to fit) 3/4
So many mind blowing sentences in this just incredible Wall Street Journal report. Starting here, “Witkoff, who hasn’t traveled to Ukraine this year, is set to visit Russia for the sixth time next week and will again meet Putin. He insisted he isn’t playing favorites.” /1
“Inside were details of the commercial and
economic plans the Trump administration had been pursuing with Russia, including jointly mining rare earths in the Arctic.” /2
“European official asked Witkoff to start speaking with allies over the secure fixed line Europe's heads of state use to conduct sensitive
diplomatic conversations. Witkoff demurred, as he traveled too much to use the cumbersome system.” /3
Saturday’s “No Kings” protests have filled front pages across America with impactful visuals and headlines of peaceful protests. Many included the eye popping NYC Times Square shot. Here in the Dothan Eagle (Alabama). But everyone turned out. See Montana in its Missoulian. /1
Plenty of big city energy from St. Louis, Missouri to Chicago, Illinois. /2
Midwest with Cleveland, Ohio to Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. /3
US v Google remedies: Nothing groundbreaking from return of DOJ’s star economist this morning. Court tested if his concerns over solely behavioral remedies assume distrust in Google (won’t follow court orders). I don’t think it mattered relative to where we were last night... /1
Yes, some will read as leaning against structural-remedy interest. I took it simply her clarifying she doesn’t need to lean on distrust if structural is shown tech feasible. Although witness pointed out distrust harms competition investment levels. /2
Court also very much nodded head when witness Lee explained why he didn’t do “but for” analysis to a dollar amount. Mehta also determined in search it was infeasible and unnecessary so cross that out of Google’s defense imho. /3
ok, this is HUGE. Late Friday, Penske (PMC) filed a wicked-smart, landmark antitrust lawsuit against Google. I've now read it in full and I'm very impressed. Importantly, it's the first antitrust suit for Google tying its AI-driven products to its adjudicated search monopoly. /1
The core claim: Google is abusing its search monopoly to force pubs to hand over content - not just for traditional search indexing but to feed its AI. Google then repurposes it to substitute them with its own services breaking the fundamental bargain of the open web. /2
Penske says this is not a fair exchange. If it weren't for Google's adjudicated monopoly power (recall Judge Mehta said they get 19x as many queries as next biggest), Google would be paying pubs for these rights or if it didn't then they would opt-out of providing them. /3
OK all ye people depressed Judge Mehta didn't order Google broken into bits this week. I'm here to cheer you up. DOJ has its other remedies trial in 16 days and just posted its PFJ (Proposed Final Remedies) now 60+ pages of brilliant detail. Let me walk you through key terms. /1
This is the 2023 US v Google adtech win - the one DCN and its premium publishers have long been much more deep and focused on. Here’s what it means for publishers of all types - and why it will be a massive win for the open web if Judge Brinkema signs on (I believe she will). /2
First, clear structural remedies. Google must divest AdX, its ad exchange, w/in 2yrs and likely DFP, its publisher ad server. No more vertical ad stack monopoly with interest conflicts. This would finally decouple tools Google can use to rig auctions and suppress pub revenues. /3