(THREAD) The economy is back from the brink, but not out of the woods, says President Christine @Lagarde in her opening speech at the #ECBForum on Central Banking.
After an unusual recession, the euro area is going through a highly atypical recovery ecb.europa.eu/press/key/date…
1/4
Lagarde: This atypical recovery is leading to rapid growth, but also to supply bottlenecks appearing unusually early in the economic cycle.
The pandemic has also introduced new trends that could produce both upward and downward price pressures.
2/4
Lagarde: These trends include
1⃣ Demand side changes, e.g. people spending their extra savings
2⃣ Supply side changes, e.g. faster digitalisation
3⃣ Faster implementation of the green transition
3/4
Lagarde: The key challenge is to ensure that we do not overreact to temporary supply shocks, while also nurturing the positive demand forces that could lift inflation towards our 2% target.
(THREAD) President Christine @Lagarde today presented the outcome of our monetary policy strategy review in a press conference and answered questions from journalists. Here are some of the main points ⬇️ 1/7
A new price stability objective
We have amended our formulation of the price stability objective to a two per cent inflation target over the medium term. This gives more clarity about our objective and helps better anchor inflation expectations 2/7
A symmetric target
The Governing Council’s commitment to the two per cent target is symmetric. Symmetry means that we consider negative and positive deviations of inflation from the target to be equally undesirable 3/7
We should not be afraid of monetary and fiscal policies working together, says Executive Board member Fabio Panetta. It has the potential to bring us back sustainably to our inflation aim and to an economy operating at full capacity ecb.europa.eu/press/key/date… 1/4
Panetta: If we are seen as determined to achieve 2% inflation without undue delay and enable monetary-fiscal interactions, rising inflation expectations will make our task easier. Otherwise, we will end up spending more, not less, and we may not exit the liquidity trap 2/4
Panetta: We should recognise that what was seen as unconventional in the past is now conventional. In particular, we should strive to retain the unconventional flexibility that has served us well during the pandemic 3/4
(THREAD) How globalisation affects inflation and financing conditions in the euro area depends on our policy response, says Executive Board member Fabio Panetta. The euro area has monetary autonomy – the question is how to use it wisely. Speech ecb.europa.eu/press/key/date… 1/5
Panetta: Global factors, especially commodity price shocks, can have sizeable effects on price developments. But globalisation has only marginal effects on trend inflation. The inflation process is still a domestic phenomenon that monetary policy can control 2/5
Panetta: Europe’s economic trajectory is in our hands. The ECB will continue to use its monetary autonomy to bring inflation back to our aim. In recent months, euro area yields have decoupled from those in the United States 3/5
A digital euro would increase consumer choice, reduce costs and support the digitalisation of the economy, says Executive Board member Fabio Panetta. It would offer a safe means of payment and preserve money as a public good. Full speech ecb.europa.eu/press/key/date… 1/4
Panetta: A digital euro would be an efficient means of payment, not a form of investment. This would prevent people moving large deposits from commercial banks to the central bank and address risks to the international financial system 2/4
Panetta: A digital euro would have the protection of privacy as a key priority, helping to maintain trust in payments. We have already analysed privacy-enhancing techniques, and we will continue to do so in the coming months 3/4