Here's what the 2019 General Election result would have looked like under the purest form of PR, i.e. by distributing MPs only according to the number of votes won by each party...

(Assumption: fractions > 0.5 MP round up.)

Underlying data comes from en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_Unit…
Of course, there are some necessary simplifications. For example I used the vote share across the whole of the UK, but a PR system might want to allocate MPs separately for each of the 4 nations.

But it gives you some idea of what it might look like.
In theory, one could literally let the maths dictate the total number of MPs in the House of Commons. If you set the cutoff point that a fractional MP gets rounded up to 1 if the fraction's > 0.5, you might end up with around 645-655 MPs elected. It would fall in a narrow range.
For each GE, you would then reset the number of MPs to the nominal 650 for the purposes of calculating how many MPs each party won - but the actual number of MPs elected would depend on how the rounding fell that election cycle.
Added: I went back and sanity-checked the result using the data for each of the 4 nations, and applying PR separately to the number of MPs allocated to each.

It's not exactly the same, but it matches pretty closely my quick-and-dirty estimate using % of the total UK vote...

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More from @uk_domain_names

28 Sep
From today, you'll need a "UK" sticker on your car when driving abroad.

Why did the Tories change it? Because they can.

Is it Brexit-related? No. The UK proactively requested to change its 2-letter country code at the UN. Nothing forced the change.
gov.uk/guidance/drivi…
As an official government page confessds, no rules have changed. It's purely a cosmetic thing. But it's still a legal requirement forcing millions of people to go to the expense & hassle of getting "UK" stickers for no reason except to please Tory zealots.
…sport-goods-to-and-from-eu.dft.gov.uk/faqs/when-do-y…
It hasn't been long since the last pointless change either.

Grant Shapps launched a new-style number plate ("now with extra jingoism") back in January to mark the 1-year anniversary of leaving the EU.

His claim then has been made a lie by the new change.
gov.uk/government/new…
Read 5 tweets
26 Sep
For those saying "it's not the time to talk about Brexit" with reference to Labour, if not now, when on Earth!?

We have visible chaos. Shortages in shops. Supply chains collapsing. Front page tabloid headlines referencing the B-word. And polling showing a majority blame Brexit.
And thanks to all that oven-ready nonsense, people associate Brexit pretty much 100% with Boris Johnson.

It's the easiest target any political party has been presented with, ever.

So hit it! Then hit it again!
Sure, Labour voted for the deal under duress because no-deal was worse.

But right now TORY BREXIT is failing.

So attack TORY BREXIT.
Read 5 tweets
26 Sep
"Q: This sounds like free movement.

Starmer says it sounds like lack of planning by the government."

Why doesn't Starmer say "yes"? And then: "freedom of movement isn't inherently a bad thing"?

The majority of the public now think Brexit's causing problems, so lean into that!
Background to the above question... Image
Presumably he feels hamstrung by this previous utterly self-destructive move...

"Starmer accepts end of EU free movement in Brexit reversal"
theguardian.com/politics/2021/…
Read 4 tweets
23 Sep
The Daily Mail's definitely beginning to turn against the Tories...
Yes, unmistakeably so. Both the story above, and the one below, are on the DM website front page at the moment...
Goodness, they're feisty this evening. Here's another front page story, albeit one given less prominence...
Read 4 tweets
23 Sep
Keir Starmer has published "The Road Ahead", an 11,500 word essay about the direction of the Labour party.

This is what it said about Brexit. Yep, that's all. Note "properly manage", as if the problem were one of detail rather than principle.

Useless!

fabians.org.uk/wp-content/upl… Image
Every single word of the document is irrelevant if Labour can't take power to execute that vision.

And by continuing to ignore the 48%, that's a nailed on certainty.

Like a "My Lottery Win Shopping List" drawn up by someone steadfastly refusing to even buy a ticket.
Why does it matter?

Because Labour's huge direction-setting exercise only happens once a year.

If they ignore the opportunity now, it will be another 12 long, cold months before it comes around again.

And we could well get a General Election in the meantime...
Read 4 tweets
22 Sep
Labour and Keir Starmer have yet to learn that you can write an 11,500 word essay about what the future would look like under a Labour government, but every word is irrelevant if Labour don't first take power.

And by continuing to ignore the 48%, that's a nailed on certainty.
Problem is, they only have one opportunity a year to agree the big bold strokes of Labour's offering. And that's almost upon us.

Once they fluff it over the next week, we're looking at another 12 long months before they can have another crack at it. And we could get a GE first.
If your reaction is "what 11,500 word essay?", you can download a copy at the link below.

And if you want to see what he said about Brexit, the screenshot is IT.
fabians.org.uk/wp-content/upl… Image
Read 5 tweets

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