Josh Marshall Profile picture
Oct 2, 2021 9 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Gottheimer clearly feels cut off at the knees. Which makes sense because that’s what it feels like when you get cut off at the knees. He pulled this power play forcing a firm deadline for the BIF to delink the two bills. It was a ballsy move. He reasoned or probably …
2/ more like Mark Penn reasoned that having locked in that date he could then rely on Pelosi to jam the Progressive Caucus and the substantial number of Dems outside the Prog Caucus to force them to pass it. She wasn’t really in a position to do that. But what clearly has JG …
3/ on fire is that she didn’t try that hard. She tried really hard to get a new linkage deal. But she made no effort to force them to vote for the BIF absent some concrete agreement or framework. And why wouldn’t she? Well maybe because linkage was her position in …
4/ the first place. It also seems like she didn’t like having this impudent gimbus from north jersey trying to bigfoot her. I mean who knows? Just spitballing.
5/ The richest part of this is the message Gottheimer’s scalding statement about Pelosi actually sends. He accuses her of betrayal and being a liar. But the real message it sends is of someone clearly cut out of the negotiations going forward. It speaks volumes.
6/ I’ve never seen any congressional Democrat speak to or about Pelosi in that way. You don’t see Joe Manchin or Kirsten Sinema putting out statements like that. And why would they? Theyre still at the center of the action. Even though the Progs and Prez have regained …
7/ some leverage clearly Manchin and Sinema still have the dominant hand. Gottheimers tantrum is what you get from someone who was cocky and confident and predicting champagne toasts not 36 hrs ago and got yanked back like a yo-yo.
8/ Basically don’t mess with the queen.
9/

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More from @joshtpm

Oct 14
This is something I’ve written about from a few vantage points over recent years. Going to try to put a longer piece together on it. This trend is real. And it’s not surprising. Some of it of course is the experience of seeing Trump twice over perform his polls. But the …
2/ reality going back a couple decades now is that Dems always think they’re going to lose and Republicans always think they’re going to win. That’s the consistent through line in all races even though of course the actual outcomes vary. It’s the flip side of partisan …
3/ sorting generating one deeply authoritarian party. That’s not just Trump and not just ideology. There’s some very good political science work on the fact that authoritian minded voters used to be fairly even spread across both parties. Then starting in the 90s that …
Read 7 tweets
Oct 12
Completely fascinated by this technology. Partly because I work with wood a lot. But the real thing is the potential climate implications. The short version is that it transforms wood into a substance substantially stronger than steel … inventwood.com/mettlewood
2/ and dramatically lighter than steel. Its inventors believe it could replace about 80% of steel and concrete used in construction. That’s a big deal because construction materials and especially concrete make up about something like 11% of all carbon emissions.
3/ Concrete is a hugely carbon intensive production process, largely because of the heating involved. This is “embodied carbon” which you hear a lot about if you’re involved in the somewhat niche world of green construction. In any case, the engineering process is quite …
Read 8 tweets
Oct 10
Everybody who is maybe kinda possibly thinking Donald Trump is doing a rally in Madison Sq Garden is an electoral play: It's not. Donald Trump may win in a landslide. He still won't come close to winning New York State. A small part of this is a bluff. The real driver is that ..
2/ Donald Trump wants to hold a rally at MSG. That's the whole thing. To him, that's making it. That's real. MSG is real. I don't think the exurban and rural venues he hits in swing and red states are way out in the middle of bumfuck. But I guarantee you Donald Trump does.
3/ For all the Florida nonsense, NYC is Trump's home town. All his visions of success and failure are housed there. As blue as New York is NYC and Westchester and Long Island have tons of Trumpers way more than enough to fill MSG a bunch of times. And that's why it's ...
Read 4 tweets
Oct 9
I’ve been doing some ad hoc research on this. It’s growing very quickly. It picks up on the marginal use of cloud seeding which has been around for decades as well as theoretical and still fairly controversail study of geo engineering as a way to combat climate change …
2/ In other words, these are the fact smidgens which are adduced to make the conspiracy theories sound plausible to deeply stupid people. The more interesting part of this to me is that the last two or 3-5 years plus the back to back hurricanes of recent days has clearly …
3/ passed a threshold of people thinking: okay, something is changing with the climate and changing in a bad way. Like this isn’t normal. Something happened. But perhaps predictably for many in the MAGA thought world the conclusion is not: damn, climate change is real. It’s
Read 4 tweets
Sep 29
Becoming the norm. Primanti Bros asks JD not to film political event in their restaurant. Johnny Donuts goes outside to give a speech inciting supporters agsinst them. Now restaurant is getting various bomb threats and other threats of violence from pro-Trump extremists.
Big story of course is the mobs of violent pro-Trump extremists who go after anyone who offends Trump or Johnny Donuts. That seems normal now. But the specifics seem to be that JD just showed up outside the restaurant without any advance work and they said we can't have you ...
2/ come in here. But it's not clear that had anything to do with what candidate it was. Just that they hadn't given any warning. Apparently Harris campaign had done a planned event a week or so early and like normal people who coordinate in advance with management ...
Read 6 tweets
Sep 23
I mean, it’s the Post but what on earth is the point of this article? Is this some kind of weird oppo from the Kennedy team? nypost.com/2024/09/23/ent…
2/ Since some people weren't clear on this. Here's what's weird abt this article. Clearly it's the Trump/Kennedy folks dumping oppo agst Olivia. That's gross but utterly unsurprising. What's weird about the article is that they start with the hit on Olivia and then somehow ...
3/ get distracted and devote almost the entire article to highlights from Keith's dating history, the upshot of which is that Keith has apparently dated a substantial number of very attractive women. Other than having a lot of guys doing Waynes World we are not worthy stuff ...
Read 4 tweets

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