Important: A stolen 2024 becomes more likely if the GOP wins governors races in Wisconsin, Pennsylvania or Michigan. That's because govs play a role in appointing electors. The media should hound GOP gov candidates on their intentions for 2024. My latest: washingtonpost.com/opinions/2021/…
If we get GOP governors in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin or Michigan, it becomes more likely that rogue presidential electors get appointed and 2024 is stolen.
With a GOP House, it's actually possible. I gamed out what this would look like, with experts:
Some suggest Trump's incompetence and failed schemes are at least partial causes for reassurance.
I think this argument falters in the face of some basic facts. But regardless, this premise will soon face a test that I hope @DouthatNYT takes seriously:
Bernie has erupted at Joe Manchin, and rightly so: Manchin's awful "entitlement society" fearmongering deserves serious pushback. It betrays a deeply distorted understanding of the Biden agenda and what its investments are really designed to do. My latest: washingtonpost.com/opinions/2021/…
Joe Manchin has reportedly demanded that Biden and progressives choose one of three priorities and ditch the other two:
Child Tax Credit
Paid leave
Child care
This is absurdly arbitrary. Less spending = inherent good. No evaluation of actual tradeoffs:
This ugly saga with Manchin and Sinema should force a wholesale rethink about what constitutes "realism" in policy debates. Progressives are working overtime to come up with ways to make concessions to them, without even knowing what they want. My latest: washingtonpost.com/opinions/2021/…
On a call, Biden told progressives the target would be around $2 trillion. They discussed ways to reduce the cost, even as WH indicated no agreement from Manchin/Sinema on that target yet, aide tells me.
As expected, the postponement of the vote is being treated as a "crushing blow" and a "huge setback" to Biden's agenda. Utterly ludicrous. Such things happen all the time with complex legislation. This kind of coverage, which masquerades as savvy, is the opposite of savvy. 1/
Now, we don't know if the bills will survive. The whole house of cards very well may collapse. But the idea that this postponement is itself the harbinger of doom is nonsense. Again, it all very well may fail. But if anything, last night makes success marginally more likely. 2/2
CODA: As we wrote, a delay should NOT be seen as the sky falling. Instead of misinforming readers, tell them this is typical of major, complex legislation. Differences remain deep. But if the bills remain linked, bridging them is more likely, not less:
On MSNBC, Rep Katie Porter unleashed an epic beatdown on Kyrsten Sinema that captured a core truth: Her bad faith and caginess do profound disservice to her own voters. We need to bring this debate back to essentials. It's about people and public service: washingtonpost.com/opinions/2021/…
Crucially, Rep Katie Porter pointed out that Sinema and Manchin refuse to say what they want to "do for their constituents."
This is the essence of the matter. As public servants, what do you stand for? What do you want to do with your official position?
The bill is the heart of the Democratic Party agenda for the future.
Which provisions designed to provide a lift to millions, secure a more habitable planet, and make the tax code fairer and less prone to elite chicanery — which would they throw out?
Sinema's latest nonsense wrecks a key talking point: That the left is demanding "all or nothing." Progressives are asking her to say what concessions she wants *from them* on reconciliation. She won't say! The left is easily the more reasonable party here: washingtonpost.com/opinions/2021/…
At this point, the levels of bad faith coming from Kyrsten Sinema are genuinely hard to fathom. She seems to be insisting on passage of the infrastructure bill *entirely* on her own terms. That seems almost designed to make any accommodation impossible:
Dems hoped to "shame" McConnell on the debt limit. Instead they're sputtering with limp outrage while Mitch gets "savvy" points from the media. Time to nix the debt limit in reconciliation. Force Republicans to be the ones howling with ineffectual outrage: washingtonpost.com/opinions/2021/…
Right now, Dems are searching for *another* procedural trick on the debt limit.
This is absurd! Kill it already! It can be done in reconciliation, by simply tying it to the debt.
This solves Dems' substantive *and* political problems. Here's how: