Allen Weisselberg, Trump accountant will lose 5 criminal cases and unless he flips, will spend rest of his life in prison. His first criminal court case had first hearing in Sept
Let's do full update to Weisselberg path to take Trump to prison.
Weisselberg Oct Thread 2/
Donald Trump faces 5 paths to prison for LIFE
1. Weisselberg (NY Taxes etc) 2. Giuliani (Ukraine etc) 3. Matt Gaetz (leads to Trump selling pardons) 4. Roger Stone (Jan 6th) 5. Tom Barrack (UAE etc incl extortion of Qatar)
Plus DOZENS of lesser cases
Weisselberg Oct Thread 3/
Allen Weisselberg faces 5 CRIMINAL trials:
1. NY Taxes (Manhattan DA) 2. Money laundering for Mafia (NY Attorney General) 3. Sanctions busting (Federal) 4. Campaign finance & inaugration (DC and Federal) 5. Emoluments (Federal)
The THIRD = worst crime
Weisselberg Oct Thread 4/
Weisselberg 1, Manhattan DA, is SIMPLE tax fraud case, where prosecution has SLAM DUNK case
They have the 'smoking gun' - they have the DOUBLE BOOKKEEPING. He will lose this case
They ALSO have witnesses
Trump (& his sons) also CONFESSED THIS CRIME
Weisselberg Oct Thread 5/
In EVERY crime, Trump was Mafia boss. Mafia boss is ALWAYS tried last. Like with NY Taxes:
1. Michael Cohen 2. Weisselberg 3. Trump kids (Don Jr, Ivanka, Eric) 4. Trump himself
The Mafia boss is ALWAYS tried LAST. That is how this works, ALWAYS
Weisselberg Oct Thread 6/
We learned in August that prosecutors have 3 million pages of evidence against Weisselberg. The systematic intentional tax fraud ran 17 years
We learned in Sept that Allen DELETED incriminating evidence. It establishes his knowledge of guilt.
Weisselberg Oct Thread 7/
There are collaborating witnesses including Michael Cohen, Trump's former attorney; the number 2 accountant to Trump Jeff McConney (limited immunity); Weisselberg's son's former wife etc. Also Trump Org exec Calamari has attempted to negotiate plea deal
Weisselberg Oct Thread 8/
Now in the first court hearing in September, we learned that the Feds have discovered NEW evidence against Weisselberg (beyond all the above) from somebody's basement. This means the 'somebody' has flipped and is NEW to testify against Weisselberg
Weisselberg Oct Thread 9/
There is no way Weisselberg wins. He's a tax cheat in the jurisdiction with highest taxes in America (New York City: Manhattan borough). All New Yorkers hate tax cheats. His jury will want to fry him. Weisselberg owes nearly one million dollars in taxes
Weisselberg Oct Thread 10/
Weisselberg 1, Manhattan DA & NY Taxes is MORE than Weisselberg cheating on taxes. The DA has proof Weisselberg committed GRAND larceny. He falsified documents to STEAL money from NY (his fraud got Allen a false TAX RETURN)
THIS ADDS SERIOUS TIME
Weisselberg Oct Thread 11/
Normal tax fraud of one million dollars, gets Weisselberg about 5 years in prison (similar to New York billionaire Leona Helmsley, who owned Empire State Building)
The Grand Larceny pushes that to 12-15 years. This is on his FIRST criminal case of 5
Weisselberg Oct Thread 12/
There is no way New York will abandon million dollars in taxes owed (back taxes NEVER expire). Crimes this serious mean prison time. NY will levy a PENALTY of 2 million dollars more, so Weisselberg will pay $3 million and do at least 12 years in prison
Weisselberg Oct Thread 13/
Manhattan DA vs Weisselberg is simple tax fraud, nothing else
NY financial crimes unit is world's largest army of financial crime prosecutors & forensic accountants, because Wall Street is world's financial center. They win 90% of time
This they win
Weisselberg Oct Thread 14/
NEXT in Weisselberg 1, are the OTHER TAX CHEATS
In court documents Manhattan DA said there are others - plural - who cheated also on taxes (which must be Don Jr, Eric, Ivanka etc)
and at least 1 who cheated MORE than Weisselberg (that must be Trump)
Weisselberg Oct Thread 15/
Manhattan DA has a Special Grand Jury sitting NOW. The only purpose of Grand Juries is to issue indictments. Weisselberg's indictment took 30 days. The Grand Jury has seen 4 MONTHS MORE of testimony. More tax fraud indictments WILL COME, by November
Weisselberg Oct Thread 16/
It is certain that Don Jr, Eric & Ivanka will be indicted in this session. I am not sure if Donald Trump will be yet. They may wait to indict him AFTER his kids have been charged, & at least one of them flipped. This is Mafia trial, Trump will be last
Weisselberg Oct Thread 17/
On this first crime Allen faces 12 years + $3M back taxes & fines
Don Jr, Eric, Ivanka each face at least 5 years + $3M. Of course they flip
I estimate Trump faces 15 years + $60 million in back taxes & fines for this first Weisselberg criminal case
Weisselberg Oct Thread 18/
IN ADDITION - collateral damage from Weisselberg 1, includes likely Weisselberg's wife, his two sons; Calamari & some other Trump employees; possibly Melania if she signed Trump's tax returns too; Jared Kushner possibly too
Weisselberg Oct Thread 19/
Weisselberg's plea bargain negotiations will try to protect his wife and sons. He himself faces FIVE criminal cases, where at least 2 are FAR MORE SERIOUS than this (with life sentences). If Allen is wise, he flips fast.
Weisselberg Oct Thread 20/
Because of NEW evidence now found in Sept against Weisselberg of MORE CRIMES, his defense attorneys must be given chance to review it. This is why next hearing is in January
Allen's attorneys told judge, they expect MORE criminal charges against Allen
Weisselberg Oct Thread 21/
Weisselberg 2 (NY State Attorney General) is Money Laundering for US Mafia and Russian Mafia. This is FAR worse criminal case
Faces MULTIPLE COUNTS OF LIFE IN PRISON (for Weisselberg AND Trump)
They have been serving subpoenas.
Weisselberg Oct Thread 22/
Trump casinos in New Jersey were used for money laundering
Weisselberg's son Barry ran Trump Ice Rink in NY as a money laundering operation
Many Trump property deals with Russians are being investigated for money laundering like Scotland golf course
Weisselberg Oct Thread 23/
When Weisselberg flips, he has to confess ALL crimes and rat out ALL other criminals including his son (ie make the deal together with Barry to cut time for both of them) & testify against Trump. Is complex deal, but Allen's position is becoming WORSE
Weisselberg Oct Thread 24/
What we saw in Lev Parnas, his attorneys negotiated 9 months for deal, it fell through: no deal. Parnas WANTED a deal
Why did Feds lose interest suddenly? My guess is that was the evidence found in FBI raid of Giuliani's office
Allen in similar peril
Weisselberg Oct Thread 25/
Weisselberg 2 (NY Attorney General: Money Laundering) is now in subpoena stage of the investigation. Eric Trump saw one of his attorneys suddenly quit
It may be that Eric was asking the attorney to do something unethical (maybe I am being too cynical)
Weisselberg Oct Thread 26/
If Weisselberg does not cut a deal soon, he faces HUGE escallation of the criminal charges to money laundering, and NY state Life in Prison sentence (several of those). His attorneys told judge, attorneys expect more criminal charges from new evidence
Weisselberg Oct Thread 27/
Like ALL Weisselberg cases, Trump is the ultimate boss. As any mafia case, the boss is tried last. When Weisselberg flips, he has to confess all crimes, and rat out all other criminals. Case against Trump money laundering comes maybe 1 year after taxes
Weisselberg Oct Thread 28/
Weisselberg 3 is Allen's worst crime. It is Sanctions Busting (Federal) and a crime against the United States of America
Here he faces Natural Life Remaining Without Parole in federal pen. Same of course for Trump.
Weisselberg Oct Thread 29/
Sanctions Busting is such a rare crime, few people know of it, and what it is, how serious it is
When Putin annexed Crimea from Ukraine, President Obama slapped biggest sanctions in US history against Russia (bigger than Reagan: Soviets Afghanistan)
Weisselberg Oct Thread 30/
Donald Trump helped Putin & Putin oligarchs circumvent the sanctions. Trump aided an enemy of the United States when an ally of the US was at war with this enemy
Weisselberg begged Trump for a pardon for THIS Federal crime, not the NY state crimes
Weisselberg Oct Thread 31/
This Federal crime is in the investigation stage. When Weisselberg flips, he has to confess to this as well. It makes the plea bargaining difficult. How do you bargain down from life without parole? That involves Federal/DOJ not just New York
Weisselberg Oct Thread 32/
Weisselberg 4 is campaign finance & inaugration frauds (Federal & DC). Includes Ivanka, Melania, Tom Barrack
Weisselberg 5 is emoluments crimes while Trump was President. These are in investigation stages
Allen has to confess to all when he flips
Weisselberg Oct Thread 33/
I estimated in July Weisselberg TOTAL time (all 5 cases) is 122 years.
Trump related time, of JUST these same Weisselberg crimes (not Giuliani etc) to be 152 years
For Don Jr & Eric, on Weisselberg related crimes about 95 years. Ivanka about 25 years
Weisselberg Oct Thread 34/
America's most notorious gangster, Al Capone was not convicted on murders, extortion, smuggling etc. He was sent to life in prison on tax fraud
We do not care HOW we get Trump behind bars, as long as we do. Tax fraud is FASTEST way to get Trump there
Weisselberg Oct Thread 35/
Trump will go to prison for life on 5 separate paths (Weisselberg, Giuliani, Matt Gaetz, Roger Stone, Tom Barrack). He also loses dozens of other cases
This is criminal trial. It takes a long time. It is Mafia trial, boss is tried last
Have patience
PS - clarifying comment
I see from a couple of responses, I was not clear
About Sanctions Busting. This is NOT about President Trump. It is about Citizen Trump 2014-2016. THAT is when Donald Trump (& Weisselberg) circumvented US government sanctions on behalf of Russia & Putin
PS 2 - I noticed I had missed relevant detail. Not about Weisselberg, but about Trump relating to Weisselberg. In September court materials we learned there is a 'Donald J Trump General Ledger'. So apart from double bookkeeping as evidence of tax fraud, TRUMP is PERSONALLY caught
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On Monday Judge Chutkan in DC (Jack Smith 2) case will hold a hearing about putting a gag order on Herr Hezbollah, the nation's Terrorist-In-Chief. Trump was under protective order. He breached it many times. So this is now his 'final warning'
Let's do a Thread
GAG ORDER THREAD/2
Don't look at me like that! This is JUSTICE. It is EXACTLY the same legal standard that would apply to you and me. Nothing more, nothing less. Trump is a FIRST TIME OFFENDER; has NEVER been convicted of any crime (yet). He was put on a 'protective order' FIRST
GAG ORDER THREAD/3
Then Trump repeatedly broke that protective order. We WITNESSED IT LIVE on TV and on social media, REPEATEDLY
But the Judge CANNOT do anything about it. Until she is FORMALLY told by the prosecution. She CANNOT do anything yet. It would be same for you and me
We certainly feel it was taking too long. In reality this is about par for the course, in some ways FASTER than normal, for such a large criminal conspiracy. Timing is similar to Watergate
FIRST of PLANNERS of Jan 6 go to trial, in Georgia in two weeks !!!
So January 6th, 2021 was two years and 9 months ago. Over 1,000 of the violent mob have been caught, over half prosecuted, and prison sentences for those running up to more than a decade in prison. That is justice
The ORGANIZERS of the Jan 6th plot are Trump, the Seditious Six..
The ORGANIZERS of Jan 6 are
Trump
Seditious Six (Giuliani, Flynn etc)
Evil Eleven of Congress (Gosar, Gym, Gaetz etc)
and a handful others (Roger Stone, Bannon etc)
They are ALL CAUGHT
Jack Smith STARTED to prosecute the organizers. Look who he has as WITNESSES to this crime
Trump calls Hezbollah "very smart" for their terrorist attack? Same Senile Man called Putin smart for invading Ukraine. And called murdering dictators MBS and Kim Jong Un smart
Meanwhile Trump has called HIS OWN CABINET and HIS OWN GENERALS idiots & stupid
General Mattis: Trump's not mature, a 5th grader
General McMaster: he's a dope, kindergartner idiot
Colonel Esper: irresponsible
General Milley: crazy
General Hytin: an idiot
General Kelly: Trump's crazy, an unhinged idiot
Next...
Then let's ask Trump White House staff, people Trump selected:
VP Pence: Trump is reckless
CoS 1 Priebus: he's an idiot
CoS 2 (Kelly, in above)
CoS 3 Mulvaney: terrible human being, a clown show
CoS 4 Meadows: Trump is worthless
SoS Tillerson: he's a fucking moron
Trump was massively embarrassed in New York, and that trial still continues. But this incident (Trump sitting in NY court for 3 days and then bailed) exposes insight into how incredibly stupid, and self-destructive Trump is
Let's do a Thread
New York New York Thread /2
So what happened? Trump sat in the civil trial - he is NOT required to be there (he must attend all criminal trials which start in March 2024). He feuded with the judge, got hit with a gag order, then stormed out of New York. Let's see how dumb it was
New York New York Thread /3
Donald the Duck McTrump's whole brand is based on the carefully constructed fake illusion, that he is somehow a 'billionaire'. WE know he is not. That Trump is a fake, a con-artist, living on other people's money. But his SUPPORTERS believe that lie
What happens next? The House cannot conduct any other business until it has selected a new House Speaker. The GOP is in civil war. It may be chaos for a while. Most likely they find a suitable Republican Speaker
DEMs do not have votes for DEM Speaker
BUT DEMs could make a deal
If a slice of Republicans (as few as 6) ally with DEMs, then that alliance could select (a Republican) speaker
Realistically the most logical such choice is an EX House Republican, like Liz Cheney
Because of GOP civil war, DEMs have leverage now
This is the deal I suggest:
DEMs make deal for ANY Republican who they can trust (like Liz Cheney, Kinzinger) where promise is 2 House Votes every week. One vote on legislation provided by GOP, the other vote legislation provided by DEMs. Both will get a floor vote each week
With Friday's bombshell news in court filing by Jack Smith of 3 more prosecution witnesses - now just about as big as they come - let's do a Thread about the flippers in Trump's life, the rats who all testify under oath, in criminal courts, against Trump
Flipper Thread/2
Trump committed an act of insurgency against America. That word is rarely used. The legal EFFECT is the same as 'treason'. Trump committed a crime which is essentially as bad as treason
So who does Jack Smith have as a witness? Trump's OWN Attorney General Barr
Flipper Thread/3
Bill Barr was not just the nation's top lawyer, as Attorney General, when this plot was first hatched - Barr learned of the idea - and TOLD TRUMP IT IS ILLEGAL. That is what Barr will testify under oath. That Trump KNEW this plot is illegal