Not to pick on @ProfPaulPoast specifically, but analysis of policy taglines w external definitions, common understandings, theories is likely to be wrong -- policymakers frequently mean other things entirely than what the words 'really' mean 1/
To extent "strategic competition" means something other than "same stuff but not Trump", I think @kjmcinnis1 is right Biden is using it mostly as cover for to help justify "domestic renewal" that has at least vague indirect national security consequences 2/
It's not at all clear that you would call that set of policies "strategic competition", but, "strategic competition" sounds good while being totally vague, and lets you wrap a national security justification around what are basically domestic priorities 3/
In pure foreign policy terms I think -- think -- it's being used mostly to imply a wider range of policies than Trump pursued, but really that's unclear. You seem some sources saying it means *more* focus on China hard power competition, others clearly *less* 4/
That minor word changes often signal major bureaucratic fights is true as @kjmcinnis1 notes, though the phrase is being used with enough vaguenessx and inconsistently I suspect partly it signifies is that nobody won the fight, or all agreed to paper over with a platitude 5/
But again, external evidence is of limited value in trying to figure out what a word like "strategic" signals when it is the output of a political / policy process. 6/6

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More from @dburbach

18 Sep
I used to think geothermal only worked in very rare geologic hot spots, but I'm increasingly sold it can be done lots of places -- and by the same drilling firms / drilling workers who'd be displaced from oil & gas wellfields.
Tbf, "sold" overstates my ability to judge the technology and economics, but there are at least serious people making the case, which wasn't really true 20+ years ago.
Maybe I'm biased because my idea of a good vacation is being menaced by lava, but widespread geothermal could be a real game changer -- baseload power that's neither fossil nor nuclear
Read 4 tweets
17 May
For earlier generations, to see why just look at the New Deal housing maps where the federal govt redlined just about any neighborhood of with a concentration of immigrants -- even German, Poles, etc -- or significant use of languages other than English in public.
A bit earlier, my grandparents on one side were kids in recently-arrived German speaking households during World War 1, when the country became actively hostile to the use of the German language (more so in WW1 than WW2, actually)
They and their generational cohort could flip into German at home (e.g., argue w/o the kids following it), but I don't think they made a major effort to teach it to my parent's generation
Read 4 tweets
14 Mar
"uniformed military can't comment on military policy bc that's political" is just now how it works

Whether to buy a new ICBM is a very contentious political, even partisan issue, and yet @US_Stratcom and official USAF accounts tweet in support *constantly*.
Liberal TV commentator: "the Ford aircraft carrier does not work and the sailors crewing it are all stupid baby killers"

Navy: "we'll have to let the political debate play out, it would be inappropriate for the Navy to respond"
Q-following GOP official: "the U.S. military is spraying chemtrails that turn people woke!!!"

Reporter: "USAF, is that allegation true?!"

USAF: "we have no opinion on partisan political issues"
Read 4 tweets
14 Mar
Well, 19,516 pages later, replaced the laser printer I bought soon after starting at NWC in 2007 -- with more or less the same thing. I guess Brother found if you square off the corners it can print 50% faster, or maybe it's that Moore's Law thing
Fwiw the old printer was still running great. But needs toner ($99) and the drum will wear out on the next toner cartridge too, whereas a brand new one is under $200🤷‍♂️
COVID data: I figure I averaged 1,200 pages/yr in normal years, but about 3,500 the last 12 months, which coincidentally, is about the same number of miles I put on my car from March to March.
Read 4 tweets
14 Mar
The "lone bomb EMP" concept gets play because:

1. It's a way to turn Iran / NK / Grand Fenwick into existential threats we must invade

2. Masculine fantasies of social collapse but where fallout / plague / etc don't make life impossible no matter your skill with gun and grill
To elaborate #2, EMP is the *perfect* "Prepper" scenario. Society collapses and modern conveniences are gone. But everything else is fine -- no firestorms, no plague, no radiation sickness, sunlight not blocked by asteroid dust / volcanic ash / nuclear soot, etc 2/
EMP essentially resets the world to frontier life in 1850, they imagine, where brawny manly skills like shooting game, chopping firewood, carpentry and blacksmithery, chasing off rustlers, etc are what counts 3/
Read 4 tweets
13 Mar
US trying to cause political change in Russia is a fools errand and I largely agree w @DanielLarison and @EmmaMAshford a democratic govt could have similar security interests, but, one w more popular legitimacy might be better on not subverting *other* democracies 1/
Putin's govt has an interest making democracy as a concept appear unstable, weak, ineffective, promoting the notion that there is no "objective" truth to be found, supporting illiberal national & transnational groups, and against anti-corruption and financial transparency 2/
It's possible that if NATO had not expanded, Putin's govt wouldn't care about any of that. I'm dubious. They'd still have popular legitimacy doubts (and would have *less* of a nationalist card to play), and they're interest in personal kleptocracy would be similar 3/
Read 5 tweets

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