I don't know if everyone remembers when I drew those Fib retracement levels on $PROG, but one of the major levels of resistance at $2.40 were called out exactly on the exact fib timeline I used.
If these continue to play out, breakout will occur on or before fib marker 5 (10/22)
Options interest continues to be staggering, but it seems unlikely that the $5 strikes and above will expire ITM.
We are continuing to move up steadily toward $4 on this trend pattern, establishing higher highs and higher lows, but $5 before Friday is a tall order.
If we base above $2.50 before Thursday, gamma could carry the price well into $3-4. The 109k calls expiring this Friday above $3 would mean 10.9M shares, about 20% of those I suspect have not been hedged for.
The price is being pinned at $2.40 right now, major resistance.
We touched $2.50 8 times in the last two days and briefly broke through on 4 of those occurences.
The price WANTS to rise above $2.50 but shorts are using every available share to share to not let it happen.
Big fucking surprise, every share returned from Friday is already short again, just as I predicted they would. 🙄
Ortex shows that shorts returned a huge amount of shares yesterday as well (arrived today), and they are already being sold back against the stock.
The good news is that a ton of shorts entered their positions below $1.60 and are now firmly in a losing trade, as you can see from the security lending volume from last week.
Utilization remains maxed out. They have no ammo to work with. They're fucked.
Better yet, the average short's cost basis is all the way back at $0.95 according to the average short data, with over 202% average cost to borrow, putting continuous pressure on them to exit their trade.
Every short that entered had no idea that the patent news would hit today.
And the final nail in the coffin, Short Exempts have been over 3% for more than 6 out of the last 10 trading days while the price has risen more than 120% since 9/28.
I'm calling it. $PROG is a firm squeeze candidate, and it's gonna print. Not financial advice...
My thesis will remain bullish for $PROG. I will be attempting to buy every share I can afford in order to cash in on this play. Regardless of who may be shorting them or why, if it's some bizarre duality greed play by their shareholders or whatever... it's gonna backfire on them.
Further, @ORTEX and Fintel both agree that $PROG is meeting their squeeze criteria as well, with Ortex showing $PROG as all three squeeze types.
The latest dilution against $PROG , I suspect, only served to briefly delay it, but now no further dilutions can be made until Nov.
EPS has diverged massively from the stock price, and now that $PROG has 4 patents on life-changing products, one of which will compete with Humira, the world's most profitable drug, it's inevitable that $PROG will become a profitable biotech company.
Long term, they are a win.
My DD is done here. Make your own decisions and take control of your financial future. None of this is financial advice, and I'm not a financial advisor. Whatever trades you make are your decision, and this is not a solicitation to buy $PROG or any stock.
Good luck
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$BBBY might actually be a very real, very powerful squeeze opportunity of a combined gamma and short squeeze. This thread will unpack the opportunity and analyze the charts, ortex data, and options interest in Bed Bath and Beyond.
This is an opportunity, despite the bankruptcy
As always, none of this is financial advice. There is absolutely no way of knowing, predicting, or accurately forecasting market volatility with any degree of certainty.
Please make sure to perform your own research to understand the risks, and exercise proper risk management.
If you want the video version of this, here is the DD I put out recently that discusses this opportunity; however, it does not include the Ortex data. For that, please read on.
I think it's extremely hard for Finra to justify its actions, but we need to acknowledge this has happened before with no consequences...
- $SPRT war flashbacks -
The problem is, class actions and lawsuits take many years... $MMTLP investors have a very big fucking problem NOW.
The situation with this forced sale of $MMTLP and extraordinary halt by FINRA is going to force everyone's shares into settlement, which will force them to transfer to a private company.
You can't sell them.
However, this is a taxable action, so... this is gonna suck but...
For those who are unaware, Congress and the White House are terrified of a rail union strike because it would cripple the US economy and cause transportation/logistics to break down.
Despite that, Union Pacific refused to grant additional paid time off for workers.
In response, The White House has made it illegal for rail workers to strike in the face of what it calls a national emergency.
The Union Pacific Railroad has the money & resources to grant these benefits but refuses to do so out of greed, not necessity. time.com/6238361/joe-bi…
I'm going to clear up something regarding $AMC's share dividend and the fears about a "dilution" through an equity merger.
This will be a bit lengthy.
While you might argue that it is "dilution", what you fail to realize is that @CEOAdam is giving you all a gift of free equity.
If a merger between the preferred shares happens, it will because apes voted on it.
Here are the pros and cons we should consider...
First, $APE is a new equity which is separate from $AMC, tied together only by the value of the company.
They are priced separately.
By itself, $APE has no bearing on $AMC's value, but it *does* offer a separate dilution option for the company that has nothing to do with synthetic shares in $AMC.
It literally has no effect currently.
But if AA can sell those shares, the company can use that cash.
Just a reminder of this thread where I highlighted the last time $BBIG barcoded like crazy before it hit a liquidity pool about 10% below it's average price on the week and then took off for the stars within 30 days.
$BBIG has more than 250,000 call options hidden in the options chain with the potential to expire ITM and put unimaginable pain on market makers and the shorts who have beaten $BBIG into the dirt.
For context, 257,640 calls is over 25.7M shares, or 20% of the total Free Float.
Market makers have been anticipating $BBIG would not survive this beat-down, and have been dictating the price on these options as worthless for the past month to convince retail to sell for pennies on the dollar.
In driving the price down so far, they've created an opportunity.