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PLC

Oct 13, 2021 • 10 tweets • 3 min read • Read on X

The flu is back (multiple strains) - the Indian subcontinent from Pakistan through Bangladesh has seen the return of influenza alongside the rapid disappearance of covid-19.

Nearly 1/4 of the Earth's population reside within these four nations, each reporting high seroprevelance from natural infection and low rates of vaccination.

The evidence appears to indicate that natural infection can end a pandemic - but not vaccination (see Singapore).

None of these nations have fully vaccinated even 25% of their population and yet Covid is disappearing and the flu has returned.

It seems that the only way past a pandemic is through it - by natural infection.

In Bangladesh, the current estimate is that 70-80% of the population has already been infected and are thus immune:
daily-sun.com/post/581332/Co…

In India, nearly every state (outside of Kerala, which accounts for essentially all recent infections) report seroprevelance greater than 70%:

ndtv.com/india-news/95-…

In Pakistan, 36% of the population had antibodies by early summer of 2020, which is likely why they did not have as large a Delta wave - and why the flu returned to earliest here.

pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32940328/

Despite reporting the highest levels of seroprevelance from natural infection in the world, none of these nations have reported significant mortality compared to Europe and the Americas with implied IFRs ranging from 0.01% to 0.04% in this region, far below rates seen in the West

Why have so few died in the Indian subcontinent even though nearly everyone in this region has been infected? Youth, lack of obesity, and perhaps pre-existing immunity are the most likely answers (95% of those infected reported no symptoms at all).

aku.edu/news/Pages/New…

It truly does appear to be the case that having 80% of the population infected ends the pandemic (India, Nepal) where-as vaccinating 80% does not (Singapore) and the best indicator to watch out for is the return of the flu.

With that in mind... positive news from South Africa, as well:

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More from @Humble_Analysis

PLC

@Humble_Analysis

Jan 22

Stomach cancer was once the leading cause of cancer deaths in the United States but is no longer a significant cause of mortality.

What "cured" stomach cancer? Surprisingly, we don't really know - but we do know it didn't have anything to do with doctors or medicine.

There are many theories used to explain the sudden decline in stomach cancer mortality and all of them are likely partially true, but the bottom line is this:

We cured stomach cancer by changing behavior, not via chemo, radiation, or pharmaceuticals.

academic.oup.com/ije/article/30…

Lung cancer, while still the leading cause of cancer death, is also on it's way out - and for the same reason that stomach cancer declined: we stopped engaging in the behaviors that caused that cancer.

Again, doctors & pharma should get no credit for this decline in mortality.

Read 5 tweets

PLC

@Humble_Analysis

May 8, 2023

50K person study by Cleveland Clinic finds that the more doses of covid vaccine you've received, the more likely you are to become infected with covid.

Is this normally the way a "vaccine" works, by making you more susceptible to infection?

From the study:

"During an Omicron wave in Iceland, individuals who had previously received 2 or more doses were found to have a higher odds of reinfection than those who had received fewer than 2 doses of vaccine."

Also from the study:

"receipt of two or three doses of a mRNA vaccine following prior COVID-19 was associated with a higher risk of reinfection than receipt of a single dose"

Read 5 tweets

PLC

@Humble_Analysis

Mar 31, 2023

https://twitter.com/Rasmussen_Poll/status/1641808962868617217

New poll of American adults show same % claim to have had a member of their household die of covid (11%) or from covid vaccine side-effects (10%).

While it is somewhat interesting that these numbers are equivalent, the more interesting information is found in the crosstabs.

https://twitter.com/Rasmussen_Poll/status/1641808962868617217

The young are far more likely to report both covid deaths and vax deaths compare to the old, which doesn't make sense given what we know about covid.

Dems are more likely to report covid deaths and Reps more likely to report vax deaths...

Signaling, perhaps?

The rich are more likely to report both covid deaths and vax deaths (which doesn't align with reality) as are government employees:

Read 4 tweets

PLC

@Humble_Analysis

Mar 31, 2023

Australia has released all-cause mortality data for 2022 and the results are the worst since WWII with 13% excess mortality.

Australia vaccinated their entire vulnerable population in 2021 and boosted them all in 2022.

At best, Australia is proof of vaccine failure.

While there were 10K covid deaths recorded in Australia in 2022, 3K of those covid deaths merely displaced other expected respiratory disease deaths.

In other words, 67% of excess deaths in Australia can not be blamed on covid.

So, why are so many Australians dying?

While covid deaths in Australia followed a predicable seasonal pattern, non-covid excess was much more stable, averaging a consistent ~1000 excess deaths per month and showing no signs of decline.

Read 8 tweets

PLC

@Humble_Analysis

Mar 13, 2023

New Zealand, having vaccinated 80% of their population, boosted 52% and double-boosted 16%, experienced a dramatic uptick in mortality during 2022, most of which has been attributed to covid:

Sadly, excess mortality in New Zealand has continued into 2023 (during their Summer) with no sign of slowdown, yet:

The massive excess mortality experienced by New Zealand in 2022 did not display the normal seasonal waves of excess seen elsewhere - instead, NZ saw a persistent, week after week, 5% to 10% more deaths than expected.

Read 5 tweets

PLC

@Humble_Analysis

Mar 7, 2023

Excess mortality in Europe during covid hysteria is more strongly correlated with national income than with vaccination rates - and not all correlated with lockdown or masking policies (obviously).

Did Switzerland due better than Bulgaria because of vaccines or wealth?

During the most recent 12 months in Europe, vaccination rates have a weak negative correlation with excess mortality.

In fact, most of the excess mortality gap in Europe occurred before widespread adoption of vaccines (2020 & early 2021).

So, the answer is wealth, not vax.

For example, here are all-cause deaths in low-vax Czechia, by year. Notice that the excess occurs in 2020 & 2021 but there was no excess mortality in 2022.

Essentially, all the vulnerable people in Czechia died before the vaccines were even available.

Read 5 tweets

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