1/7
Every single year, even when elections are 2 years away, many make the claim that: πΉπ· is going to war solely for domestic electoral purposes
In short thread below, I explain the real reasons for war & why they insist on selling this unconvincing story, every single time
π
Every single year, even when elections are 2 years away, many make the claim that: πΉπ· is going to war solely for domestic electoral purposes
In short thread below, I explain the real reasons for war & why they insist on selling this unconvincing story, every single time
π
https://twitter.com/omermurat_eng/status/1448298377481949195
2/7
Convincing the electorate that Erdogan is willing to waste lives & $ for the sole purpose of furthering his own political career (& personal power) effectively clouds the genuine strategic & security concerns that πΉπ· faces, concerns which force it to go to war every year
π
Convincing the electorate that Erdogan is willing to waste lives & $ for the sole purpose of furthering his own political career (& personal power) effectively clouds the genuine strategic & security concerns that πΉπ· faces, concerns which force it to go to war every year
π
3/7
On top of these reckless insinuations, they also make it politically difficult for πΉπ· to chase its core strategic interests
If πΉπ· fails to grow its area of influence into its periphery, other powers will expand into these very areas & surround πΉπ· from all four side
π
On top of these reckless insinuations, they also make it politically difficult for πΉπ· to chase its core strategic interests
If πΉπ· fails to grow its area of influence into its periphery, other powers will expand into these very areas & surround πΉπ· from all four side
π
4/7
Then, they have every intention of coming to partition πΉπ· & taking Istanbul
A reading between the lines isn't even necessary to witness them unhesitantly musing over this prospect in their think tanks, books, academic papers & forecasting reports from the mid-late 90s+
π
Then, they have every intention of coming to partition πΉπ· & taking Istanbul
A reading between the lines isn't even necessary to witness them unhesitantly musing over this prospect in their think tanks, books, academic papers & forecasting reports from the mid-late 90s+
π
5/7
I'm not saying that a President in general could never change the time & date of a necessary limited conflict or cross-border operation, to, perhaps, a time more suitable for or nearer to an election
They can & I'm sure they do, especially if the timeframes are flexible
π
I'm not saying that a President in general could never change the time & date of a necessary limited conflict or cross-border operation, to, perhaps, a time more suitable for or nearer to an election
They can & I'm sure they do, especially if the timeframes are flexible
π
6/7
Rather, contrary to the dizzying array of articles that make these claims, I can't believe any conflict could ever have domestic political considerations as a primary war justification, even for the greatest of war hawks
π
Rather, contrary to the dizzying array of articles that make these claims, I can't believe any conflict could ever have domestic political considerations as a primary war justification, even for the greatest of war hawks
π
7/7
Can it belong somewhere beneath the top or further below in the justifications list as a secondary objective? I'm sure it does
But the primary, one of the primary or the only justification? And consistently 2 years before every election?
That's Impossible
Can it belong somewhere beneath the top or further below in the justifications list as a secondary objective? I'm sure it does
But the primary, one of the primary or the only justification? And consistently 2 years before every election?
That's Impossible
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