Every single year, even when elections are 2 years away, many make the claim that: πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡· is going to war solely for domestic electoral purposes

In short thread below, I explain the real reasons for war & why they insist on selling this unconvincing story, every single time

Convincing the electorate that Erdogan is willing to waste lives & $ for the sole purpose of furthering his own political career (& personal power) effectively clouds the genuine strategic & security concerns that πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡· faces, concerns which force it to go to war every year

On top of these reckless insinuations, they also make it politically difficult for πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡· to chase its core strategic interests

If πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡· fails to grow its area of influence into its periphery, other powers will expand into these very areas & surround πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡· from all four side

Then, they have every intention of coming to partition πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡· & taking Istanbul

A reading between the lines isn't even necessary to witness them unhesitantly musing over this prospect in their think tanks, books, academic papers & forecasting reports from the mid-late 90s+

I'm not saying that a President in general could never change the time & date of a necessary limited conflict or cross-border operation, to, perhaps, a time more suitable for or nearer to an election

They can & I'm sure they do, especially if the timeframes are flexible

Rather, contrary to the dizzying array of articles that make these claims, I can't believe any conflict could ever have domestic political considerations as a primary war justification, even for the greatest of war hawks

Can it belong somewhere beneath the top or further below in the justifications list as a secondary objective? I'm sure it does

But the primary, one of the primary or the only justification? And consistently 2 years before every election?

That's Impossible

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More from @InterestingTurk

28 Sep
This is a big deal

Turkey's NIIP/Net International Investment Position (the difference between Turkey's public & private external assets & liabilities), increased by 26.2% from -$393.1 billion (July 2020) to -$290 billion (July 2021)

The NIIP is pretty much the accumulation of a countries yearly Current Account Deficits & Surpluses

When the NIIP is negative, it represents the total debt accumulated by that country resulting from consuming more than what you produce (when imports exceed exports)πŸ‘‡
A 26.2% fall in this total (public & private) debt within one year is a staggering improvement & is indicative of a narrowing Current Account Deficit

Although this deficit had momentarily turned into a surplus, the COVID-19 era brought it back into deficitπŸ‘‡
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