@man_integrated As far as truck drivers go, the graduate degree & Silicon Valley tech head crowds have less than zero understanding of the work load.
It isn't just getting a commercial license for driving & driving.
Loads require different trailers & load plans the driver has to execute 1/
@man_integrated ...per thick federal, state, and company rule books.
Often the driver also has to be an all terrain fork lift operator as well in support of delivering to construction sites.
2/
@man_integrated Truckers carrying HAZMAT loads require additional training for signage, documentation, reporting and routing.
This is all long attention span theater through eye wateringly small text.
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@man_integrated Then there are the requirements to haul oversized loads.
Again, lots of eye wateringly small DoT text, signage, documentation, reporting, routing, and warning drivers ahead and behind the load. 4/
@man_integrated Then there is the risk. Truckers get in accidents, guaranteed.
It is a function of the amount of time they are diving and the road conditions.
A very small risk times a large enough number of times equals a certainty in a trucking career. 5/
@man_integrated Add to that long hours, truck stop food and no exercise, and you are going to get a stressed and morbidly obese individual in less than a decade.
I'm tempted to say the difference between military flag ranks who are competent at 2026 peer to peer warfare, and those who are not, is the understanding and application of attritional loss curves to combat loss rates, electronic warfare and logistics.
The set of curves I had an AI produce for me above have been used for air warfare many times starting at the end of WW2, in the USSBS after WW2 and by many classic RAND airpower studies from the 1950's to 1980's.
2/
All post 9/11/2001 Western flag ranks are counter-insurgency (COIN) trained & experienced.
They have no gut feel at all to statistical attrition models at all.
These "COIN-head" flags may prove to be highly resistant to changing this. Which is required to deal with drones.
2/
The effectiveness of drones is directly affected by the electronic warfare competence of the drone users.
The fact that the US Army defenestrated every EW practitioner in the 2000's and has compete "EW virgins" as flag rank leadership means it will fail with mass casualties in its first major drone war combat.
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3. The shooter arrived at the hotel the day before the event.😯
4. TSA rules require firearms to be transported in checked baggage, unloaded, and locked in a hard-sided container, declared to the airline at check-in.
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5. Local DC law requires firearms in vehicles to be inaccessible from the passenger compartment and unloaded.
6. Washington DC is not a "safe passage" jurisdiction for non-residents without a license. The shooter lacked this license.
3/
USN flag ranks & their staffers have been fighting the idea of distant economic blockade of China tooth an nail as a response to China invading Taiwan for 30 years.
They really don't want a recent precedent of a successful blockade...
...to prevent their Carrier fleet Pickett's charge into the South China Sea.
Specifically distant blockade as a strategy against China makes having/regaining 100 Cold War era
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...frigates and destroyer tenders supporting them on distant blockade stations outside the 2nd Island chain, "budget relevant" for a military strategy of conducting three years of blockade enforcement.
I was calling out two dead for every three Russian wounded in Sept 2022 as the more realistic Russian casualty ratio in Ukraine because it was taking more than 24 hours to get to the equivalent of a battalion aid station.