Marsilio Musing Profile picture
Oct 17, 2021 9 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Selected charts

DJI Weekly & Daily
First touch of weekly lower band since covid low
Lowest weekly RSI in about 1 year
Higher low 10/13 then very quickly back towards highs in next 2 days
Bulls in charge, per daily chart could see 36K
This chart may not mean much for crypto fans but I think interesting

Copper Gold ratio, weekly
Gundlach favorite (who's he most readers say lol)

There's that inflation pump
Bad for bonds (predicts higher yields, esp 10 year)
CL oil

Actually leading the market, notably higher highs compared to indexes

Seems like 90 is done deal, doesn't mean Monday is good entry though
Sensex / INDA

I was not on top of this but damn...

Smart $ play was not short China
But long India
VIX
VIX at levels that may turn based on technicals, daily band, QS1, OctS1, but based on astro think plunge lower more likely
If VIX closes under 15, bulls still winning, end of story
I also like to watch VXX SVXY
HYG high yield
A scare late Sept into last week
Sleeping at wheel while indexes down, but smart snap back also in line with stocks last week

Zone between arrows key to watch

If higher rates are going to cause problems will show here first so we will see divergence w/ indexes
Some of these charts probably more esoteric and perhaps of less immediate interest to crypto traders

However, I think ALL connected

India & Oil both huge new highs

Global growth! Sun in Libra / Venus in Sag combo.

Helps cryptos too with risk-on environment

For now...
Market getting the growth / inflation theme, but at same time, DJI leading among indexes, mega corps with pricing power

So inflation not a threat yet, good for cryptos too

~end~

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More from @MarsilioMusing

Mar 30, 2023
Astro (advanced)

Astro market data is often compelling, but also slippery, and it resists typical quant approaches.

Why?

Because the planets are always kaleidoscopically changing! The planet backdrop changes, & data changes - and this often makes sense from the astro view.
For example, how much data do we have for Moon in Cancer over the last 15 years that does NOT have an opposition to Pluto by sign?

Answer - almost none, this condition just started THIS WEEK!
Similarly, Saturn out of Aquarius also impacts Uranus, because Saturn in Aquarius was square Uranus by sign. And now that is fully out of the way, Uranus aspects might act differently!
Read 5 tweets
Oct 20, 2022
Financial Advisor🧵

US Gov't: trust us, eat lots of carbs & low protein & fat, it is the way to avoid heart disease
Result: Americans fatter & sicker than ever

Healthcare & Pharmaceuticals: trust us, take these pills, they are the only way to treat your condition
Result: ditto
Private Education: trust us, the cost of this degree will be worth the investment
Result: generations saddled with extreme student debt for decades

Financial Advisors: trust us, buy and hold is the only way. We will protect you with a diversified portfolio.
Result: see next
Result of following typical financial advisor advice was missing most gains in last 10 years as US tech was nearly the only thing winning, and FAs don't like to put all in 1 sector. Diversification into Europe, emerging markets, whatever, did not pay.
Read 7 tweets
Oct 14, 2022
Chief Strategist at Schwab saying yesterday's rally driven by "algorithms trading on technical indicators"

She is right! Which ones though? (see next)
NDX YS2 tag first touch since 2008 - green crosses touched yday

2020 Covid crash low NDX YS1
2016 correction low also NDX YS1

YS2s always below YS1s
NDX backing up now to show 2008-2016

major lows 2011 & 2015 on pivots (orange) not below

2008 reached YS3 and below though
Read 4 tweets
Oct 5, 2022
It's funny that after being pounding table bearish from 8/18 all the way to 9/28-30, and calling for a bounce week this week

It seems I did not nail it enough

Look, whether final low is in remains to be seen

I did not say this week would go lower however
9/28 FIRST TIME I started talking about turn

DXY high, VIX high, ZN ZB (bond futures) low remains 9/28

While maintaining that Friday would tank stocks & cryptos with FOMC chatter about inflation - nailed for Indexes
After looking at some other finastro / furu content out of curiosity, I realize that I set an impossibly high bar for myself

other finastros - this aspect up, but that aspect down - nearly always, sadly
Read 4 tweets
Oct 3, 2022
Saturn sqr Uranus charts

DJI 1900-current

1900-25
squares orange so marking wx for waxing and wn for waning

both of these involved in BOTH rallies & drops Image
1925-1950
waxing square involved in great depression crash so some of the stereotypes are because of this

next one (conjunction) also near a major low!

ps, for great depression I could also say Neptune out of Leo; major events like this have multiple factors Image
1950-1975

if you thought you had it pegged as bearish market was about to fool you

next 2 up

btw - hard aspects only on these charts, 0, 90, 180, 270, 10' applying Image
Read 5 tweets
Sep 24, 2022
Who wants to make some $? 🧵

The case for high leverage BTC short play for overnight in charts ahead

Also note Moon is applying to square Mars, exact about 1:50 PM ET - and this really should drop nearby to confirm Mars not being influenced positively by trine to Saturn yet
Moon in Virgo worst by far - here showing 2022 data but can go back further in time as well
Moon through terms
2022 data

Mars worst

This is showing all Moon signs together
Read 6 tweets

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