BSA on immigration. John Curtice reports that citizen deliberation somewhat depolarised views. Participants became warmer about economic and cultural impacts (Leavers shifted more) while those who voted Remain became more open to post-FoM controls bsa.natcen.ac.uk/latest-report/…
Summary of changes
Good for the economy went from 61% to 70%, good for culture went from 64% to 69% after citizen deliberation.
Leave voters became more positive, with some narrowing of Leave/Remain perspectives.
I was a small part of this citizen engagement exercise. One section of it was John Curtice chairing a panel for participants put their questions about immigration, integration & future policy choices to a panel including Migration Observatory, Migration Watch & British Future.
Participants converged on managed/controlled migration (rather than FoM), as well as on pro-migration choices with control. Became more positive about social care in particular.
Deliberation has a modest, but stat significant, narrowing of national preferences. Reduces hesitancy about Polish & Pakistani migrants, compared to French & Australian migrants.
One reason that deliberation depolarisers is that the "balancer" majority gets heard. This may well make people more open to give & take across moderately liberal and moderately sceptical views (in contrast to perception of very polarised arguments)
Massive danger for Reform if they really are bringing back the National Front's argument from 1984 that John Barnes can't be English. Does Isabel even realise she is doing that here?
Mad for Reform to say Shabana Mahmood and David Lammy + Marcus Rashford can't be English
The Daily Mail challenged that NF racist argument - that black goals did not count, because black people can not be English - strongly in 1984. A settled question by the time Ince captained England in 1993 + had blood on his shift in 1998
Its a 90% norm (everywhere except X)
That became a 90% norm by 2019 - because of the sporting symbolism settling it by the early 1990s.
Saying Englishness was exclusive by ethnicity fell from 20% to 10% in 2010s: a bigger age divide a decade earlier, but older people shifted too by 2019 theguardian.com/society/2019/j…
Just about every single thing this headteacher states so confidently - her hunches - in this thread about public attitudes is wrong , if she only did the homework first to check what actual public attitudes are. as @jydenham of Centre for English Identity has shown
This (2012, YouGov) is the gap in perceptions of British, Scottish, Welsh, English identity - and the importance of ethnicity of being white. There was a gap in 2012, but it is much narrower than @Miss_Snuffy thinks it is & the reasons she gives don't fit the data either
@Miss_Snuffy In 2012, this was important to be white data by England. Scotland and Wales. The English data shifts when this is re-run in 2019 and 2020-21. Fewer people think what @Miss_Snuffy and her teachers (apparently on pure hunches and zero data) claim that most people think
Elon Musk supports terrorism. He objects to 7.5 years for man who created Southport Wake-Up Group, proposed mosque as the target, championed attacking the police their, **took part in the real world violence, carrying a knife**, and promoted the list of 40 targets for violence
McIntyre was fortunate that his call to kill the Home Secretary was not pursued in the charges, which include being the key organiser of the riots online and a participant in the violence against the police in person
You would obviously go to prison in America for organising and participating in riots on this scale (even if the President Elect might later pardon you if the violence had a political motive of overturning an election and trying to intimidate or hang the vice president)
It weird that @GoodwinMJ could believe the false claim there was no media coverage of grooming before 2011. He wrote a book on the BNP. The extensive media 2004 coverage of Annie Hall's Channel 4 film about grooming being rescheduled could be used to support some of his points
I hope mainstream supporters of farmers/countryside alliance will challenge effort by overt racists of the Homeland Party to associate themselves with the protest. Extreme racism of Mr Laws (who seeks to deport *all* migrants *and* Uk-born minorities) obvs not shared by farmers!
I trust many farmers would on a values basis to reject his persistent calls for Sunak, Badenoch & myself to be deported (on grounds that minorities can never be British).
Opposition from farmers to his call to remove all migrants would also reflect a practical self-interest!
I doubt the organisers can do a great deal in advance about toxic racist fringe elements choosing to turn up.
Once such an overtly racist group does seek to use it for publicity & interviews, I think it is reasonable to ssk the decent mainstream organisers to disassociate
Policy Exchange's A Portrait of Modern Britain (2024) @rakibehsan & @IGMansfield offer a constructive centre-right response to Britain's growing ethnic diversity in a society where patterns of progress to equal opps & the discrimination which persists are more complex
Yes to recommendation 1. New govt should have a national integration strategy (identifying its own role/responsibility for key foundations). Should respect difference in a liberal society, promote equal opportunities & work on what brings us together