Share this page!

Enter URL or ID to Unroll

You can paste full URL like: https://x.com/threadreaderapp/status/1644127596119195649
or just the ID like: 1644127596119195649

How to get URL link on X (Twitter) App

  1. On the Twitter thread, click on or icon on the bottom
  2. Click again on or Share Via icon
  3. Click on Copy Link to Tweet
  4. Paste it above and click "Unroll Thread"!
  5. More info at Twitter Help
Sunder Katwala Profile picture
@sundersays
Oct 21, 2021 • 9 tweets • 3 min read • Read on X
Scrolly
BSA on immigration. John Curtice reports that citizen deliberation somewhat depolarised views. Participants became warmer about economic and cultural impacts (Leavers shifted more) while those who voted Remain became more open to post-FoM controls
bsa.natcen.ac.uk/latest-report/…
Summary of changes
Good for the economy went from 61% to 70%, good for culture went from 64% to 69% after citizen deliberation.
Leave voters became more positive, with some narrowing of Leave/Remain perspectives.
I was a small part of this citizen engagement exercise. One section of it was John Curtice chairing a panel for participants put their questions about immigration, integration & future policy choices to a panel including Migration Observatory, Migration Watch & British Future.
Participants converged on managed/controlled migration (rather than FoM), as well as on pro-migration choices with control. Became more positive about social care in particular.
Deliberation has a modest, but stat significant, narrowing of national preferences. Reduces hesitancy about Polish & Pakistani migrants, compared to French & Australian migrants.
One reason that deliberation depolarisers is that the "balancer" majority gets heard. This may well make people more open to give & take across moderately liberal and moderately sceptical views (in contrast to perception of very polarised arguments)
#BSA38 webinar summary of findings of impact of deliberating on immigration. Tended to promote balancer, pro-migration and pro-control pragmatism.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
　

Keep Current with Sunder Katwala

Sunder Katwala Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @sundersays

Sunder Katwala Profile picture
Jun 27
Can @Nigel_Farage or @TiceRichard or @Towler confirm if Reform yesterday suspended this extreme far right candidate Leslie Lilley running in Southend East. Can never been a clearer open & shut case of need to suspend immediately - unless the new party policy is now pro-fascist Image
An excessive amount of laughter in GB News clip, but 2/3 of them are clear you'd have to suspend this. Leo Kearse more mixed;whataboutery + blames those who called Reform racists for the racists;"wouldn't it be funny to see this guy stand up in parliament"
This extreme Reform candidate wrote "gas" with several laughing emojis on a picture of Muslims praying - on the Facebook page he runs his Reform parliamentary campaign from - as well as his violent fantasies about killing migrants and advocating for the death of asylum seekers Image
Read 13 tweets
Sunder Katwala Profile picture
Jun 1
It's interesting Martin so puzzled by why anti-immigration pitches are much harder to make to young British than young French people. His analysis ("identity politics") is a Very Online/Media Talking Point misperception of causality. The actual drivers offer important insights.
Big driver is UK has comparatively much better integration outcomes than France - for migrants & esp UK-born children (grandchildren) of migrants. In education, in residential segregation, in work, contact. Has big impacts on intergroup relations among young people at school. FT

Image
Image
Image
Vg 2017 paper by @ProfSobolewska illuminates a key consequence. Collapse in overt prejudice over generations reflects a deeper reciprocal change: "social distance" between the majority and minority groups much reduced, both ways around, with more contact
academia.edu/34481657/Is_et…
Read 7 tweets
Sunder Katwala Profile picture
May 16
Seems to be a trend towards large NGOs in Britain adopting "global majority" communities (to talk about all people who aren't white).

I think organisations should not adopt until have checked
- do most people understand the term?
- do most people it is being used about approve?
I would welcome your views about this term: for, against or neutral.

I am v.sceptical about it & don't identity with it (though I am in the 85% of people on this planet it is grouping together). Here are some of my reasons for finding it unfamiliar, incoherent and regressive.
1. Organisations should try to use language that most people understand (across different ages, levels of education, social class)

People can argue for novel, unfamiliar terms & try to build awareness. Only a small group - mainly uni graduates - will know this term.
Read 26 tweets
Sunder Katwala Profile picture
Apr 17
There is a persistent pattern of CCHQ/government investigations burying very serious issues (including credible allegations of criminality) until they act rapidly, after exposure in the media, months after knowing the content
Peter Bone: party did not investigate for 5 years
Sexual assault of a minor. CCHQ received this allegation before Dec 2019 election but did not investigate. Victim went to police instead after the election. MP Khan (Wakefield) suspended by party 15 months later, when charged & expelled him in 2022 after he was convicted in court Image
Read 9 tweets
Sunder Katwala Profile picture
Apr 11
Spoke to Guardian about this. My view is politics of dealignment have been v successful for Labour - advancing most where weaker - & & time for a change will hold most core votes too. Bigger challenge to come in trying to retain that coalition in power theguardian.com/politics/2024/…
Excellent visualisation by @Dylan_Difford of Labour's advances 2019-24 Image
In 2024 this is an "every silver lining has a cloud" thought. No risk to 99%+ of Lab-held seats, though Greens hope to challenge in Bristol. A 10%+ swing would sweep all target seats

Maybe turnout worries with young voters if many people thought result was foregone conclusion.
Read 16 tweets
Sunder Katwala Profile picture
Apr 7
Sunday Telegraph news report on a poll of British Muslim attitudes, with comments from Fiyaz Mughal responding to it. This survey found that 4/10 Muslim respondents say Hamas did not commit atrocities on October 7th. Thread on these findings follows.
telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/04/0…
The poll results are published here by JL Partners. It was conducted for the Henry Jackson Society. (HJS don't seem to have published a report; there is nothing I could find on their website or socials beyond media reports/press releaase)
jlpartners.com/polling-results
Press release note = what is avaiable on the methodology. It is tricky to sample Muslims & other minority groups. JL Partners have used Number Cruncher/Matt Singh who are good at this. Eg, 14th Feb - 12th March period is one way to avoid over-sampling the highly engaged. Image
Read 49 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

Send Email!

:(