BSA on immigration. John Curtice reports that citizen deliberation somewhat depolarised views. Participants became warmer about economic and cultural impacts (Leavers shifted more) while those who voted Remain became more open to post-FoM controls bsa.natcen.ac.uk/latest-report/…
Summary of changes
Good for the economy went from 61% to 70%, good for culture went from 64% to 69% after citizen deliberation.
Leave voters became more positive, with some narrowing of Leave/Remain perspectives.
I was a small part of this citizen engagement exercise. One section of it was John Curtice chairing a panel for participants put their questions about immigration, integration & future policy choices to a panel including Migration Observatory, Migration Watch & British Future.
Participants converged on managed/controlled migration (rather than FoM), as well as on pro-migration choices with control. Became more positive about social care in particular.
Deliberation has a modest, but stat significant, narrowing of national preferences. Reduces hesitancy about Polish & Pakistani migrants, compared to French & Australian migrants.
One reason that deliberation depolarisers is that the "balancer" majority gets heard. This may well make people more open to give & take across moderately liberal and moderately sceptical views (in contrast to perception of very polarised arguments)
I hope mainstream supporters of farmers/countryside alliance will challenge effort by overt racists of the Homeland Party to associate themselves with the protest. Extreme racism of Mr Laws (who seeks to deport *all* migrants *and* Uk-born minorities) obvs not shared by farmers!
I trust many farmers would on a values basis to reject his persistent calls for Sunak, Badenoch & myself to be deported (on grounds that minorities can never be British).
Opposition from farmers to his call to remove all migrants would also reflect a practical self-interest!
I doubt the organisers can do a great deal in advance about toxic racist fringe elements choosing to turn up.
Once such an overtly racist group does seek to use it for publicity & interviews, I think it is reasonable to ssk the decent mainstream organisers to disassociate
Policy Exchange's A Portrait of Modern Britain (2024) @rakibehsan & @IGMansfield offer a constructive centre-right response to Britain's growing ethnic diversity in a society where patterns of progress to equal opps & the discrimination which persists are more complex
Yes to recommendation 1. New govt should have a national integration strategy (identifying its own role/responsibility for key foundations). Should respect difference in a liberal society, promote equal opportunities & work on what brings us together
Obviously Laws is entirely racist. He does not accept that Badenoch or Sunak are British.
Laws got 0.4% of the vote in Dover in July.
The tweet itself isn't racist seems exceptionally naive when it is a matter of record that Laws primary goal/priority is the deportation of all ethnic minority Britons, including Badenoch, Sunak and myself
Has never been a bigger financial champion of a Presidential candidate, nor a more xenophobic Pres campaign (deport legal migrants) less committed to basic democratuc norms (eg: accept defeat if you lose) than this one which Musk sees as an existential necessity for USA & world
I doubt anybody in the world since 1945 can have spent quire so much money, energy or capacity into actively facilitating racism and xenophobia as Elon Musk, the billionaire who now believes he can personally change history by tipping 2024 US Presidential election to Donald Trump
Nobody alive did more to extend reach of racial hate in last 12 months
- replatformed those dedicated to hate, big increase in reach (eg Britain First. Patriotic Alternative. Tommy)
- introduced £ incentives that groom escalating hate
Where & how does the metaphor become actual scrutiny and sanctions?
What can existing tools be used to do?
What new bespoke or general interventions can govt/parliament consider this Autumn?
Elon Musk has personally by both his acts & omissions played a consequential role in making racist violence possible that would have been impossible at such pace & scale without his personal decisions as a corp leader. He is a live threat to our national security & cohesion
"The public will have to go in, & the public will have to sort this out themselves, & it'll be very, very brutal. I don't want them here. I don't want them to live here. They came under false pretences" - Douglas Murray widespread violence
"Probably hundreds of thousands... We have a couple of choices. One of them is - and I say this metaphorically *for the time being*, BUT its NOT that metaphorical. One is to stand up and the other is to beg on your knees ... the British soul is awakening and stirring with rage"
Full transcript. Murray foresees public violence at scale & says he would support, metaphorically for now + actually soon if govt doesn't remove. His targets for state/vigilante removal both asylum seekers who cross Channel+ those Muslims who are pro Hamas