Finally got around to reading @RottenInDenmark's piece on the "cancel culture" moral panic & it's every bit as good as I expected. Its lessons extend well beyond this particular phenomenon to shitty journalism generally. michaelhobbes.substack.com/p/moral-panic-…
Cannot tell you how many times I've asked this question: "Why are readers of national publications constantly being told that they should worry about the left potentially, sometime in the future, becoming *as bad as Republicans are now*?"
The fact that this moral panic is taking place *while Republicans are actively trying to ban books, dictate curriculum, & deprive their opponents of the right to vote* is just so surreal. Your country is literally crumbling & *this* is what you're writing about?
The US chattering classes have long preferred punching lefties to pushing back against actual fascists, but at a certain point -- say, when RW violence is on the rise & the leaders of the GOP are openly emulating Orban -- it reaches the point of self-parody.
Virtually every bit of cancel-culture commentary I've seen strikes me the same way: this string of obscure anecdotes & portentous overstatements could seem convincing *only if you are already convinced*, if you already "know" the conclusion. It offers *permission*, not evidence.
And most mainstream punditry on the right wing is the precise mirror image: what you write/say if you *don't want to believe* that normal politics is dead & there's a fascist uprising, if you refuse to see the pattern amidst the disparate episodes. It's permission *not* to see.
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
That's it -- the last remaining policy in the BBB Act that actually restrained fossil fuels. Now the bill is exactly what Manchin wanted: a bunch of subsidies for new stuff; zero punitive policies to wind down old stuff.
Worth saying: there is NO path to the US hitting its climate targets that does not involve rapidly shutting down all coal power plants & sharply reducing methane leaks. None. This isn't a subject of reasonable debate. Manchin is rendering Biden's stated target unreachable.
We (left-leaning nerds) are also in collective denial about how people experience harm/benefits. It has almost nothing to do w/ objective reality, ie, the actual # of deaths. Everything is mediated & experienced through a filter of culture.
There is a fact -- 40,000 Americans die in car wrecks each year -- but in & of itself, the fact doesn't *mean* anything. Is that a high number or low? Are those deaths avoidable or inevitable? Are they the drivers' fault or policymakers' fault? Is it a crisis or a nuisance?
Libs love saying they care about "facts." They love saying shit like, "the science says we have to do X." There's so much naive realism out there. The thing is, the facts ("science") don't tell us *anything*. They don't speak for themselves. Our entire experience of them...
I'm extremely not an economist, but I will put this prediction on record: within a few years, it will become clear that inflation was temporary, most things most people said about it were bullshit, & the whole thing was used, deliberately, to block the Dems' agenda.
This conclusion comes not from any particular economic theory or model, but from a simple heuristic: for the last 40 years or so, inflation fears have a) been used as a cudgel by the "we can't have nice things" crew, & b) turned out to be bullshit. The pattern will probably hold!
Because I'm no longer an Official Journalist, just a Dude With a Newsletter, I don't have to approach these situations with baby mind: "Maybe the oligarchs' concerns about deficits & inflation are sincere this time & they're just looking out for us! No way to know!"
Whenever these torturous intra-Dem strategy debates break out, I like to remind people that, if the question is how to operate a decent modern society when 1 of 2 parties has become lawless illiberal authoritarians, the answer very well could be: there is no way!
Ultimately, democracy depends on a base level of social trust & fealty to a set of principles that transcend party. If half the political system abandons that, the other half may not be able to drag them along, no matter how clever its tactics.
We've settled into this fucked-up equilibrium in recent decades: the right has tantrums, violates norms, breaks laws, destroys public agencies, starves the public sector, erodes democracy ... & Dems come along to clean it up & patch it together again. That can't go on forever.
Whoa: a wireless charging network that you connect to like a LAN. It wirelessly charges your electronic devices, even when they're in motion. nature.com/articles/s4159…
For years I've been jazzed about wireless charging. I really think when it breaks a few key tech/cost barriers it's going to Change Everything. Here's the startup using the wireless charging network: wi-gl.com
Today on Volts: Manchin has killed the Clean Electricity Performance Program (CEPP), the centerpiece of Democratic climate policy. Is Biden's 2030 target still within reach? I take a close look at several recent analyses to help determine the damage done. volts.wtf/p/can-the-us-r…
My post today features analyses from @EnergyInnovLLC, @rff, & @rhodium_group. One thing they all basically agree on is that losing the CEPP is a big blow, the but the BBB Act, even without it, is still the biggest climate bill in US history.
It was too late to get in my post, but a new Princeton rapid-modeling project, REPEAT, *also* analyses the infrastructure bills with & without the CEPP. Its conclusions are roughly similar: losing CEPP whacks about 25% of the emission reductions. repeatproject.org